UConn at Navy - 2016 Matchup Preview
UConn logo UConn Huskies at Navy MidshipmenNavy logo
Saturday, September 10th 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
Navy -7.5 (43.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Navy 28 - UConn: 24  (American Athletic)

 
Huskies (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 15 - 28 (14 - 37 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 12.7 MPH
NAVY 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -11.5  (SP+ NAVY -18)
Projected Score: CONN: 20 - NAVY: 33 (53)
NAVY Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
CONN Travel: 280 miles
Midshipmen (9 - 5) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 38 - 31 (37 - 30 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UConn's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 UConn vs Maine-27.0
Sat 9/10 UConn at Navy+7.543.5L 24 - 28OY
Sat 9/17 UConn vs Virginia-6.547.5W 13 - 10UN
Sat 9/24 UConn vs Syracuse-6.058.0L 24 - 31UN
Thu 9/29 UConn at Houston+24.549.0L 14 - 42ON
Sat 10/8 UConn vs Cincinnati+2.549.5W 20 - 9UY
Sat 10/15 UConn at South Florida+17.053.5L 27 - 42OY
Sat 10/22 UConn vs UCF+2.046.5L 16 - 24UN
Sat 10/29 UConn at East Carolina+7.554.0L 3 - 41UN
Fri 11/4 UConn vs Temple+9.544.0L 0 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/19 UConn at Boston College+7.036.0L 0 - 30UN
Sat 11/26 UConn vs Tulane-2.036.5L 13 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UConn's Schedule
Navy's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Navy vs Fordham-24.0
Sat 9/10 Navy vs UConn-7.543.5W 28 - 24ON
Sat 9/17 Navy at Tulane-10.542.0W 21 - 14UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1 Navy at Air Force+10.550.5L 14 - 28UN
Sat 10/8 Navy vs Houston+17.052.0W 46 - 40OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Navy vs Memphis+2.057.0W 42 - 28OY
Fri 10/28 Navy at South Florida+9.066.0L 45 - 52OY
Sat 11/5 Navy vs Notre Dame-4.563.0W 28 - 27UN
Sat 11/12 Navy vs Tulsa-1.071.5W 42 - 40OY
Sat 11/19 Navy at East Carolina-8.064.0W 66 - 31OY
Sat 11/26 Navy at SMU-8.065.5W 75 - 31OY
Sat 12/3 Navy vs Temple-1.559.5L 10 - 34UN
Sat 12/10 Navy vs Army-11.546.5L 17 - 21UN
Fri 12/23 Navy vs Louisiana Tech-1.067.0L 45 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CONN.0439%14.836%2.611739%2032.54.2246%28.143%49%3.4728.31.60.9
NAVY.3352%37.954%3.4631044%1284.57.2848%3145%49%4.0924.41.11.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CONN#67 (.19)42% (82)43% (82)3.07 (58)18440% (84)1874.09 (51)#25 (.1)39% (37)42% (63)37% (23)3.36 (26)50.41.21.1
NAVY#12 (.31)44% (51)46% (43)3.27 (32)23139% (101)1174.39 (26)#28 (.1)41% (61)46% (95)37% (24)3.48 (35)41.91.11.8



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CONN Offense1214.813.638.5%2.541.6173201172033.450%48%36%39%20%.04
NAVY Defense143130.347.8%4.091.3 - - - - - 54%44%45%49%14%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CONN Defense1228.136.646.3%3.470.9 - - - - - 49%50%43%49%13%.22
NAVY Offense1437.936.752.1%4.571.1214383101285.978%21%54%44%11%.33

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UConn1229:5217.134%48%3.628.31.60.94.51.4027.5
Navy1431:1121.154%61%2.824.41.11.34.11.4231.8
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CONN Offense1250%36%34.8117.33.4112.667%14%0.94
NAVY Defense1454%45% - - - - .163.1879%8%0.99
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CONN Defense1249%43% - - - - .082.8470%8%0.93
NAVY Offense1478%54%53310.15.961.323.4682%9%1.06

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CONN Offense1248%39%17.831.7202.76.411.4811.11.534%28%.126%1.8
NAVY Defense1444%49% - - - - - - 7.461.730%41%.516%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CONN Defense1250%49% - - - - - - 7.361.531%37%.355%1.7
NAVY Offense1421%44%6.611.3128.111.419.397.41.924%38%.512%1.9

UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: NR
UConn's Offense Rating: NR
UConn's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UConn's 2016 Expected Record: -
UConn's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.6  #106
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.8  #117
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.9  #82

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UConn:    Navy: 5.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UConn: -11.6   Navy: 6.8




Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: 5.9 NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Navy's 2016 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8  #52
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.8  #16
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #96

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


UConn Scoring
Offense: 14.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 13.6
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.6

UConn's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 33
UConn 20

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Navy 30
UConn 17

Total Points: 47

Based on Entire Season
Navy 35
UConn 23

Total Points: 58
Navy Scoring
Offense: 37.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 31 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Navy's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201911/01UConn10Navy56Navy -25.5Navy55.0Over
201609/10Navy28UConn24Navy -7.5UConn43.5Over
201509/26UConn18Navy28Navy -8Navy48.5Under
200609/30UConn17Navy41
200211/16Navy0UConn38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Navy422 Overs
UConn111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 40 - 30 - 10 - 2
Road Teams4 - 13 - 02 - 01 - 0

(#) CONN at (#) NAVY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCONNNAVY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #106 #52
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #87 #117
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UConn on Offense
CategoryCat
CONN OffNAVY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #117 #96
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UConn Run Game
CategoryCat
CONN OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UConn Pass Game
CategoryCat
CONN OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Navy on Offense
CategoryCatNAVY OffCONN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #16 #82
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffCONN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCatNAVY OffCONN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NAVY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

CONN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 86° - Wind: 13 mph
Rematch from Week 2
Navy -7.5 (43.5)
Navy won vs UConn this year (28-24)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
CONN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UConn's Full Roster

CONN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NAVY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD