Memphis at Navy - 2016 Matchup Preview
Memphis logo (#22)Memphis Tigers at Navy MidshipmenNavy logo
Saturday, October 22nd 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
Memphis -2 (57.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Navy 42 - Memphis: 28  (American Athletic)

 
Tigers (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 39 - 29 (33 - 24 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 17.2 MPH
MEM 2nd straight Road Game
NAVY coming off BYE
MEM is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2  (SP+ MEM -1)
Projected Score: MEM: 32 - NAVY: 31 (63)
MEM Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
MEM Travel: 788 miles, 1 hrs behind
Midshipmen (9 - 5) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 38 - 31 (37 - 30 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Memphis's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Memphis vs Southeast Missouri State-24.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/17 Memphis vs Kansas-20.060.0W 43 - 7UY
Sat 9/24 Memphis vs Bowling Green-16.567.5W 77 - 3OY
Sat 10/1 Memphis at Ole Miss+15.571.5L 28 - 48ON
Thu 10/6 Memphis vs Temple-6.557.5W 34 - 27OY
Fri 10/14 Memphis at Tulane-10.552.5W 24 - 14UN
Sat 10/22 Memphis at Navy-2.057.0L 28 - 42ON
Sat 10/29 Memphis vs Tulsa-7.574.5L 30 - 59ON
Sat 11/5 Memphis at SMU-6.565.0W 51 - 7UY
Sat 11/12 Memphis vs South Florida+3.076.5L 42 - 49ON
Fri 11/18 Memphis at Cincinnati-7.561.5W 34 - 7UY
Fri 11/25 Memphis vs Houston+3.060.5W 48 - 44OY
Tue 12/20 Memphis vs Western Kentucky+6.579.0L 31 - 51ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule
Navy's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Navy vs Fordham-24.0
Sat 9/10 Navy vs UConn-7.543.5W 28 - 24ON
Sat 9/17 Navy at Tulane-10.542.0W 21 - 14UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1 Navy at Air Force+10.550.5L 14 - 28UN
Sat 10/8 Navy vs Houston+17.052.0W 46 - 40OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Navy vs Memphis+2.057.0W 42 - 28OY
Fri 10/28 Navy at South Florida+9.066.0L 45 - 52OY
Sat 11/5 Navy vs Notre Dame-4.563.0W 28 - 27UN
Sat 11/12 Navy vs Tulsa-1.071.5W 42 - 40OY
Sat 11/19 Navy at East Carolina-8.064.0W 66 - 31OY
Sat 11/26 Navy at SMU-8.065.5W 75 - 31OY
Sat 12/3 Navy vs Temple-1.559.5L 10 - 34UN
Sat 12/10 Navy vs Army-11.546.5L 17 - 21UN
Fri 12/23 Navy vs Louisiana Tech-1.067.0L 45 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM.2446%38.843%2.7615946%3043.78.2246%28.847%44%3.4459.31.62.2
NAVY.3352%37.954%3.4631044%1284.57.2848%3145%49%4.0924.41.11.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM#23 (.27)44% (57)46% (40)3.27 (31)17541% (71)2704.66 (14)#87 (.19)40% (47)40% (45)40% (62)4.05 (96)480.61.9
NAVY#12 (.31)44% (51)46% (43)3.27 (32)23139% (101)1174.39 (26)#28 (.1)41% (61)46% (95)37% (24)3.48 (35)41.91.11.8



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Offense1338.83345.8%3.781.6234641593044.342%55%43%46%18%.24
NAVY Defense143130.347.8%4.091.3 - - - - - 54%44%45%49%14%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Defense1328.823.646.1%3.442.2 - - - - - 51%48%47%44%16%.22
NAVY Offense1437.936.752.1%4.571.1214383101285.978%21%54%44%11%.33

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Memphis1327:1323.440%59%6.359.31.62.25.71.8632.7
Navy1431:1121.154%61%2.824.41.11.34.11.4231.8
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Offense1342%43%37.5159.34.323.092.7662%12%0.99
NAVY Defense1454%45% - - - - .163.1879%8%0.99
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Defense1351%47% - - - - .243.0974%9%1.03
NAVY Offense1478%54%53310.15.961.323.4682%9%1.06

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Offense1355%46%23.336.7304.48.313.13410.361.732%36%.427%2
NAVY Defense1444%49% - - - - - - 7.461.730%41%.516%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Defense1348%44% - - - - - - 16.221.531%34%.377%1.9
NAVY Offense1421%44%6.611.3128.111.419.397.41.924%38%.512%1.9

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: NR
Memphis's Offense Rating: NR
Memphis's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Memphis's 2016 Expected Record: -
Memphis's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7  #49
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.8  #43
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #74

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Memphis:    Navy: 5.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 7.7   Navy: 6.8




Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: 5.9 NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Navy's 2016 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8  #52
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.8  #16
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #96

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Memphis Scoring
Offense: 38.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6

Memphis's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Memphis 32
Navy 31

Total Points: 63

Based on Last 4 Games
Memphis 31
Navy 30

Total Points: 61

Based on Entire Season
Memphis 33
Navy 32

Total Points: 65
Navy Scoring
Offense: 37.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 31 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Navy's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/27Memphis17Navy28Memphis -3.5Navy57.5Under
202409/21Navy56Memphis44Memphis -9.5Navy47.0Over
202309/14Memphis28Navy24Memphis -12.5Navy47.0Over
202209/10Navy13Memphis37Memphis -4.5Memphis47.5Over
202110/14Memphis35Navy17Memphis -11Memphis55.5Under
202011/28Navy7Memphis10Memphis -13.5Navy62.5Under
201909/26Memphis35Navy23Memphis -11Memphis53.5Over
201809/08Navy22Memphis21Memphis -7Navy67.0Under
201710/14Memphis30Navy27Memphis -3.5Navy73.0Under
201610/22Navy42Memphis28Memphis -2Navy57.0Over
201511/07Memphis20Navy45Memphis -8.5Navy62.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Navy586 Overs
Memphis635 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 46 - 52 - 44 - 1
Road Teams4 - 75 - 61 - 44 - 2

(#) MEM at (#) NAVY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMEMNAVY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #49 #52
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #79 #117
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Memphis on Offense
CategoryCat
MEM OffNAVY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #43 #96
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Memphis Run Game
CategoryCat
MEM OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Memphis Pass Game
CategoryCat
MEM OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Navy on Offense
CategoryCatNAVY OffMEM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #16 #74
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffMEM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCatNAVY OffMEM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NAVY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

MEM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 61° - Wind: 17 mph
Rematch from Week 8
Memphis 2.0 (57.0)
Navy won vs Memphis this year (42-28)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat Memphis last year (56-44)
Memphis beat Navy in 2023 (28-24)
Memphis beat Navy in 2022 (37-13)

  
MEM's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Memphis's Full Roster

MEM's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NAVY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD