Bowling Green at Memphis - 2016 Matchup Preview

Bowling Green Falcons at Memphis Tigers

Saturday, September 24th 2016 (8:00 PM EDT)
Memphis -16.5 (67.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Memphis 77 - Bowling Green: 3

Falcons (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (24 - 29 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MEM 3rd straight Home Game
BGSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -9.5 (SP+ MEM -14)
Projected Score: BGSU: 23 - MEM: 30 (53)
MEM Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
BGSU Travel: 553 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Tigers (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (34 - 24 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BGSU Players
MEM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Bowling Green's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Bowling Green at Ohio State	+27.0	64.0	L 10 - 77	O	N
Sat 9/10	Bowling Green vs North Dakota	-20.0
Sat 9/17	Bowling Green vs Middle Tennessee	+3.5	73.0	L 21 - 41	U	N
Sat 9/24	Bowling Green at Memphis	+16.5	67.5	L 3 - 77	O	N
Sat 10/1	Bowling Green vs Eastern Michigan	-6.5	64.5	L 25 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/8	Bowling Green at Ohio	+15.5	60.0	L 24 - 30	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Bowling Green at Toledo	+24.0	71.0	L 35 - 42	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Bowling Green vs Miami (OH)	-3.5	52.0	L 26 - 40	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1	Bowling Green at Northern Illinois	+17.0	72.0	L 20 - 45	U	N
Wed 11/9	Bowling Green at Akron	+11.5	73.0	W 38 - 28	U	Y
Tue 11/15	Bowling Green vs Kent State	+3.0	54.0	W 42 - 7	U	Y
Fri 11/25	Bowling Green vs Buffalo	-11.0	60.0	W 27 - 19	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule

Memphis's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Memphis vs Southeast Missouri State	-24.0
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/17	Memphis vs Kansas	-20.0	60.0	W 43 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Memphis vs Bowling Green	-16.5	67.5	W 77 - 3	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Memphis at Ole Miss	+15.5	71.5	L 28 - 48	O	N
Thu 10/6	Memphis vs Temple	-6.5	57.5	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Fri 10/14	Memphis at Tulane	-10.5	52.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/22	Memphis at Navy	-2.0	57.0	L 28 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/29	Memphis vs Tulsa	-7.5	74.5	L 30 - 59	O	N
Sat 11/5	Memphis at SMU	-6.5	65.0	W 51 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Memphis vs South Florida	+3.0	76.5	L 42 - 49	O	N
Fri 11/18	Memphis at Cincinnati	-7.5	61.5	W 34 - 7	U	Y
Fri 11/25	Memphis vs Houston	+3.0	60.5	W 48 - 44	O	Y
Tue 12/20	Memphis vs Western Kentucky	+6.5	79.0	L 31 - 51	O	N

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU	.35	50%	20.5	50%	3.18	180	50%	367	4.58	.16	44%	24.3	45%	41%	3.41	80.2	1.1	1.9
MEM	.25	46%	32.5	43%	2.82	179	47%	307	4.19	.18	44%	23.2	44%	43%	3.83	72.8	1.1	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MEM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Offense	14	20.5	24	50.3%	4.58	1.1	28	547	180	367	4.7	44%	56%	50%	50%	2%	.35
MEM Defense	13	23.2	24.2	44.1%	3.83	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	44%	43%	3%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Defense	14	24.3	29	44.2%	3.41	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	45%	41%	2%	.16
MEM Offense	13	32.5	34.2	46.3%	4.19	1.1	25	487	179	307	4.1	49%	48%	43%	47%	1%	.25

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Bowling Green	14	27:55	27.8	50%	53%	8.8	80.2	1.1	1.9	0	0	1	29.7
Memphis	13	30:21	24.8	48%	56%	7.5	72.8	1.1	1.7	0	0	3	32.8

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense	14	44%	50%	38.7	180	4.7	34	.28	3.18	74%	0%	1.07
MEM Defense	13	53%	44%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.91	55%	0%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense	14	49%	45%	-	-	-	-	.15	2.99	69%	0%	1
MEM Offense	13	49%	43%	43.3	179.5	4.1	29	.12	2.82	78%	0%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense	14	56%	50%	28.4	42.4	366.8	8.6	12.9	47	8	.41	1.6	28%	42%	.71	2%	2.3
MEM Defense	13	46%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.28	1.7	31%	36%	.37	3%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense	14	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	20	.18	1.6	35%	42%	.44	2%	1.6
MEM Offense	13	48%	47%	23.9	35.8	307.5	8.6	12.9	30	5	.39	1.6	33%	39%	.36	1%	1.5

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Bowling Green's 2016 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #93
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #93
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #87

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: Memphis: 6.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -6.6 Memphis: 7.7

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 6.35 NR
Memphis's Offense Rating: NR
Memphis's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Memphis's 2016 Expected Record: -
Memphis's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7 #49
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.8 #43
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #74

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Bowling Green's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Memphis 30
Bowling Green 23

Projected Total Points: 53

Memphis Scoring
Offense: 32.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Memphis's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2016	09/24	Memphis	77	Bowling Green	3	Memphis -16.5	Memphis	67.5	Over
2015	09/19	Bowling Green	41	Memphis	44	Memphis -4	Bowling Green	71.5	Over
2004	12/22	Memphis	35	Bowling Green	52

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Memphis	2	1	2 Overs
Bowling Green	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 2	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 1	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1

(#) BGSU at (#) MEM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BGSU	MEM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#93	#49
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#98	#79
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Bowling Green Injury Report

Memphis Injury Report

Bowling Green on Offense


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	MEM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#93	#74
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Bowling Green Run Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	MEM Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Bowling Green Pass Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	MEM Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Memphis on Offense


CategoryCat	MEM Off	BGSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#43	#87
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Memphis Run Game


CategoryCat	MEM Off	BGSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Memphis Pass Game


CategoryCat	MEM Off	BGSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MEM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

BGSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Memphis -16.5 (67.5)
Memphis won vs Bowling Green this year (77-3)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

BGSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MEM's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Memphis's Full Roster

MEM's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD