Virginia Tech at North Carolina - 2016 Matchup Preview

Virginia Tech Hokies at North Carolina Tar Heels

Saturday, October 8th 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
North Carolina -5.5 (49.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Virginia Tech 34 - North Carolina: 3 (ACC)

Hokies (10 - 4) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (30 - 24 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Heavy Rain Predicted
Wind: 24.2 MPH
VT coming off BYE
UNC is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -3 (SP+ UNC -1)
Projected Score: VT: 27 - UNC: 29 (56)
UNC Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
VT Travel: 118 miles

Tar Heels (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (34 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
VT Players
UNC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Virginia Tech's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Virginia Tech vs Liberty	-35.0
Sat 9/10	Virginia Tech vs Tennessee	+9.0	52.5	L 24 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/17	Virginia Tech vs Boston College	-7.0	39.0	W 49 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Virginia Tech vs East Carolina	-9.5	57.0	W 54 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8	Virginia Tech at North Carolina	+5.5	49.5	W 34 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Virginia Tech at Syracuse	-17.0	65.0	L 17 - 31	U	N
Thu 10/20	Virginia Tech vs Miami	-4.5	52.5	W 37 - 16	O	Y
Thu 10/27	Virginia Tech at Pittsburgh	-4.0	53.5	W 39 - 36	O	N
Sat 11/5	Virginia Tech at Duke	-10.0	55.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/12	Virginia Tech vs Georgia Tech	-14.5	55.0	L 20 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/19	Virginia Tech at Notre Dame	+3.0	53.5	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Virginia Tech vs Virginia	-18.5	53.5	W 52 - 10	O	Y
Sat 12/3	Virginia Tech vs Clemson	+8.5	58.5	L 35 - 42	O	Y
Thu 12/29	Virginia Tech vs Arkansas	-6.0	61.0	W 35 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia Tech's Schedule

North Carolina's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	North Carolina vs Georgia	+3.5	60.0	L 24 - 33	U	N
Sat 9/10	North Carolina at Illinois	-7.0	59.5	W 48 - 23	O	Y
Sat 9/17	North Carolina vs James Madison	-24.5
Sat 9/24	North Carolina vs Pittsburgh	-7.0	67.0	W 37 - 36	O	N
Sat 10/1	North Carolina at Florida State	+12.0	72.5	W 37 - 35	U	Y
Sat 10/8	North Carolina vs Virginia Tech	-5.5	49.5	L 3 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/15	North Carolina at Miami	+7.0	67.0	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/22	North Carolina at Virginia	-9.0	68.5	W 35 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	North Carolina vs Georgia Tech	-9.5	63.5	W 48 - 20	O	Y
Thu 11/10	North Carolina at Duke	-10.5	66.5	L 27 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/19	North Carolina vs The Citadel	-24.0
Fri 11/25	North Carolina vs NC State	-10.0	63.0	L 21 - 28	U	N
Fri 12/30	North Carolina vs Stanford	+2.5	55.0	L 23 - 25	U	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VT	.16	46%	35	42%	2.82	183	48%	262	3.57	.1	38%	22.8	41%	34%	3.1	46.9	1.9	1.6
UNC	.29	46%	32.3	45%	2.89	146	46%	293	4.13	.17	45%	24.9	47%	42%	3	61.3	1.2	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VT	#75 (.18)	42% (87)		44% (66)	3.01 (76)	173	39% (102)	178	4.22 (40)	#18 (.09)	39% (34)		42% (56)	36% (15)	2.97 (7)	46.3	1.2	1.8
UNC	#65 (.2)	42% (80)		47% (34)	3.32 (22)	175	37% (114)	216	4.08 (52)	#70 (.17)	41% (53)		44% (82)	37% (26)	4.01 (90)	59.8	1.2	1.2

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VT Offense	14	35	29.6	45.7%	3.57	1.9	24	445	183	262	4	53%	45%	42%	48%	15%	.16
UNC Defense	13	24.9	25.5	45.5%	3	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	62%	37%	47%	42%	14%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VT Defense	14	22.8	24.4	38%	3.1	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	41%	34%	22%	.1
UNC Offense	13	32.3	34.3	46.3%	4.13	1.2	22	439	146	293	4.7	43%	55%	45%	46%	17%	.29

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Virginia Tech	14	31:15	23.6	42%	56%	5.1	46.9	1.9	1.6	8.1	2.3	1	34.2
North Carolina	13	24:23	21.7	45%	40%	7.6	61.3	1.2	0.8	5.2	1.9	3	30.2

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VT Offense	14	53%	42%	45.6	183.1	4	27	.04	2.82	73%	11%	0.78
UNC Defense	13	62%	47%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.09	68%	10%	0.84

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VT Defense	14	51%	41%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.56	74%	14%	0.91
UNC Offense	13	43%	45%	30.8	145.8	4.7	21	.12	2.89	64%	11%	1.01

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VT Offense	14	45%	48%	19.9	32.1	261.9	8.2	13.1	31	8	.33	1.5	32%	38%	.38	4%	1.7
UNC Defense	13	37%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	.21	1.5	29%	35%	.22	5%	1.5

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VT Defense	14	47%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.18	1.7	37%	25%	.17	8%	1.9
UNC Offense	13	55%	46%	24.1	35.2	293.2	8.3	12.2	30	6	.45	1.7	33%	41%	.57	6%	2

Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: NR
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Virginia Tech's 2016 Expected Record: -
Virginia Tech's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.2 #22
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5 #37
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #21

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: North Carolina: 10.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: 15.2 North Carolina: 15.9

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 10.45 NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Carolina's 2016 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9 #17
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.5 #21
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #41

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 35 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.6
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.4

Virginia Tech's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
North Carolina 29
Virginia Tech 27

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
North Carolina 28
Virginia Tech 26

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Virginia Tech 29
North Carolina 29

Total Points: 58

North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.3
Defense: 24.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.5

North Carolina's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	10/01	North Carolina	41	Virginia Tech	10	North Carolina -9.5	North Carolina	57.0	Under
2021	09/03	Virginia Tech	17	North Carolina	10	North Carolina -5.5	Virginia Tech	63.5	Under
2020	10/10	North Carolina	56	Virginia Tech	45	North Carolina -3.5	North Carolina	59.0	Over
2019	10/19	Virginia Tech	43	North Carolina	41	North Carolina -4.5	Virginia Tech	57.5	Over
2018	10/13	North Carolina	19	Virginia Tech	22	Virginia Tech -6.5	North Carolina	57.5	Under
2017	10/21	Virginia Tech	59	North Carolina	7	Virginia Tech -20	Virginia Tech	52.5	Over
2016	10/08	North Carolina	3	Virginia Tech	34	North Carolina -5.5	Virginia Tech	49.5	Under
2015	11/21	Virginia Tech	27	North Carolina	30	North Carolina -7.5	Virginia Tech	61.0	Under
2014	10/04	North Carolina	17	Virginia Tech	34	Virginia Tech -1.5	Virginia Tech	0
2013	10/05	Virginia Tech	27	North Carolina	17	Virginia Tech -7	Virginia Tech	0
2012	10/06	North Carolina	48	Virginia Tech	34
2011	11/17	Virginia Tech	24	North Carolina	21
2010	11/13	North Carolina	10	Virginia Tech	26
2009	10/29	Virginia Tech	17	North Carolina	20
2008	09/20	North Carolina	17	Virginia Tech	20
2007	09/29	Virginia Tech	17	North Carolina	10
2006	09/09	North Carolina	10	Virginia Tech	35
2005	11/26	Virginia Tech	30	North Carolina	3
2004	11/06	North Carolina	24	Virginia Tech	27

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
North Carolina	5	3	3 Overs
Virginia Tech	14	7	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 9	8 - 2	4 - 1	4 - 1
Road Teams	9 - 10	2 - 8	1 - 4	1 - 4

(#) VT at (#) UNC

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	VT	UNC
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#22	#17
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#36	#29
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Virginia Tech Injury Report

North Carolina Injury Report

Virginia Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	VT Off	UNC Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#37	#41
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Virginia Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	VT Off	UNC Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Virginia Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	VT Off	UNC Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

North Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	UNC Off	VT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#21	#21
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

North Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	UNC Off	VT Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

North Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNC Off	VT Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

VT 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Heavy Rain
Temp: 67° - Wind: 24 mph
Rain: 0.811

Rematch from Week 6
North Carolina -5.5 (49.5)
Virginia Tech won at North Carolina this year (34-3)

Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat Virginia Tech in 2022 (41-10)

VT's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster

VT's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UNC's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View North Carolina's Full Roster

UNC's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD