Miami (OH) at Cincinnati - 2016 Matchup Preview
Miami (OH) logo   Miami (OH) RedHawks at Cincinnati Bearcats  Cincinnati logo
Saturday, September 24th 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
Cincinnati -19.5 (55.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Cincinnati 27 - Miami (OH): 20

 
RedHawks (6 - 7) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (20 - 21 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CIN 2nd straight Home Game
CIN is playing their 4th straight game
M-OH is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -4  (SP+ CIN -3)
Projected Score: M-OH: 22 - CIN: 27 (49)
CIN Win prob: 88% | Cover: 46%
M-OH Travel: 29 miles
Bearcats (4 - 8) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (34 - 20 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Miami (OH)'s 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Miami (OH) at Iowa+32.052.5L 21 - 45OY
Sat 9/10 Miami (OH) vs Eastern Illinois-10.0
Sat 9/17 Miami (OH) vs Western Kentucky+15.064.5L 24 - 31UY
Sat 9/24 Miami (OH) at Cincinnati+19.555.5L 20 - 27UY
Sat 10/1 Miami (OH) vs Ohio+3.550.0L 7 - 17UN
Sat 10/8 Miami (OH) at Akron+7.554.0L 13 - 35UN
Sat 10/15 Miami (OH) vs Kent State+2.043.0W 18 - 14UY
Sat 10/22 Miami (OH) at Bowling Green+3.552.0W 40 - 26OY
Sat 10/29 Miami (OH) at Eastern Michigan+7.050.0W 28 - 15UY
Fri 11/4 Miami (OH) vs Central Michigan+6.046.5W 37 - 17OY
Sat 11/12 Miami (OH) at Buffalo-12.050.5W 35 - 24ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/22 Miami (OH) vs Ball State-6.055.0W 21 - 20UN
Mon 12/26 Miami (OH) vs Mississippi State+11.558.0L 16 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule
Cincinnati's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Cincinnati vs UT Martin-24.0
Sat 9/10 Cincinnati at Purdue-7.057.5W 38 - 20OY
Thu 9/15 Cincinnati vs Houston+7.563.0L 16 - 40UN
Sat 9/24 Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)-19.555.5W 27 - 20UN
Sat 10/1 Cincinnati vs South Florida+6.064.5L 20 - 45ON
Sat 10/8 Cincinnati at UConn-2.549.5L 9 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Cincinnati vs East Carolina-2.063.0W 31 - 19UY
Sat 10/29 Cincinnati at Temple+8.553.0L 13 - 34UN
Sat 11/5 Cincinnati vs BYU+10.054.0L 3 - 20UN
Sat 11/12 Cincinnati at UCF+10.055.0L 3 - 24UN
Fri 11/18 Cincinnati vs Memphis+7.561.5L 7 - 34UN
Fri 11/25 Cincinnati at Tulsa+18.563.0L 37 - 40OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH.0435%23.535%2.6313034%2092.7.1341%21.736%45%3.69602.61.4
CIN.2349%30.347%2.8317849%3603.71.1743%25.644%40%3.4172.92.51.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CIN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Offense1223.519.835.3%2.72.6173381302093.648%51%35%34%3%.04
CIN Defense1325.619.642.9%3.411.1 - - - - - 51%47%44%40%2%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Defense1221.721.241.5%3.691.4 - - - - - 52%46%36%45%2%.13
CIN Offense1330.334.449.1%3.712.5285381783604.544%54%47%49%3%.23

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami (OH)1228:4216.631%44%7.4602.61.400225.7
Cincinnati1330:5228.551%64%872.92.51.100027.4
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Offense1248%35%35.7129.73.67-.032.6360%0%0.91
CIN Defense1351%44% - - - - .143.1665%0%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Defense1252%36% - - - - .032.576%0%1.05
CIN Offense1344%47%39.4177.94.525.132.8377%0%0.88

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Offense1251%34%14.831.2208.56.714.11819.121.839%27%.173%1.7
CIN Defense1347%40% - - - - - - 9.221.632%33%.282%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Defense1246%45% - - - - - - 10.221.533%35%.22%1.6
CIN Offense1354%49%26.242.1359.98.613.72922.321.631%39%.353%1.8

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: NR
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: NR
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Miami (OH)'s 2016 Expected Record: -
Miami (OH)'s 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.1  #91
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 23.8  #100
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0  #72

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH):    Cincinnati: 0.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -6.1   Cincinnati: -3.6




Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 0.7 NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Cincinnati's 2016 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.6  #82
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5  #98
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3  #53

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.2

Miami (OH)'s 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Cincinnati 27
Miami (OH) 22

Projected Total Points: 49
Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.4
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6

Cincinnati's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/14Miami (OH)16Cincinnati27Cincinnati -3.5Cincinnati47.5Under
202309/16Cincinnati24Miami (OH)31Cincinnati -14.5Miami (OH)44.5Over
202209/17Miami (OH)17Cincinnati38Cincinnati -24Miami (OH)51.0Over
202109/04Cincinnati49Miami (OH)14Cincinnati -22.5Cincinnati49.0Over
201909/14Cincinnati35Miami (OH)13Cincinnati -17Cincinnati49.5Under
201809/08Miami (OH)0Cincinnati21Miami (OH) -1.5Cincinnati48.0Under
201709/16Miami (OH)17Cincinnati21Miami (OH) -3.5Cincinnati49.0Under
201609/24Cincinnati27Miami (OH)20Cincinnati -19.5Miami (OH)55.5Under
201509/19Miami (OH)33Cincinnati37Cincinnati -19Miami (OH)59.5Over
201409/20Cincinnati31Miami (OH)24Cincinnati -32Miami (OH)0
201309/21Miami (OH)0Cincinnati14Cincinnati -24Miami (OH)0
201210/06Cincinnati52Miami (OH)14
201110/01Miami (OH)0Cincinnati27
201010/09Cincinnati45Miami (OH)3
200910/03Miami (OH)13Cincinnati37
200809/20Cincinnati45Miami (OH)20
200709/15Miami (OH)10Cincinnati47
200609/30Cincinnati24Miami (OH)10
200509/28Miami (OH)44Cincinnati16
200409/11Cincinnati45Miami (OH)26
200309/27Miami (OH)42Cincinnati37
200210/05Cincinnati26Miami (OH)31
200109/22Miami (OH)21Cincinnati14
200010/27Cincinnati45Miami (OH)15
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Cincinnati1954 Overs
Miami (OH)565 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 115 - 62 - 53 - 1
Road Teams11 - 136 - 51 - 35 - 2

(#) M-OH at (#) CIN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatM-OHCIN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #91 #82
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #89 #58
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Miami (OH) on Offense
CategoryCat
M-OH OffCIN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #100 #53
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Miami (OH) Run Game
CategoryCat
M-OH OffCIN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Miami (OH) Pass Game
CategoryCat
M-OH OffCIN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Cincinnati on Offense
CategoryCatCIN OffM-OH Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #98 #72
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Cincinnati Run Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffM-OH Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Cincinnati Pass Game
CategoryCatCIN OffM-OH Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CIN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

M-OH 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nippert Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
Cincinnati -19.5 (55.5)
Cincinnati won vs Miami (OH) this year (27-20)

Previous Matchups
Cincinnati beat Miami (OH) in 2024 (27-16)
Miami (OH) beat Cincinnati in 2023 (31-24)

  
M-OH's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

CIN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD