Ball State at Miami (OH) - 2016 Matchup Preview

Ball State Cardinals at Miami (OH) RedHawks

Tuesday, November 22nd 2016 (7:00 PM EST)
Miami (OH) -6 (55.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Miami (OH) 21 - Ball State: 20 (Mid-American)

Cardinals (4 - 8) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (25 - 26 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BALL 2nd straight Road Game
M-OH coming off BYE
BALL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -3 (SP+ M-OH -1)
Projected Score: BALL: 22 - M-OH: 32 (54)
M-OH Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
BALL Travel: 60 miles

RedHawks (6 - 7) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (21 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BALL Players
M-OH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ball State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Ball State at Georgia State	-5.5	56.0	W 31 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Ball State at Indiana	+17.5	63.5	L 20 - 30	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Ball State vs Eastern Kentucky	-13.0
Sat 9/24	Ball State at Florida Atlantic	-3.0	53.5	W 31 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Ball State vs Northern Illinois	-1.0	57.5	L 24 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/8	Ball State at Central Michigan	+13.5	56.0	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Ball State at Buffalo	-9.0	52.5	W 31 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Ball State vs Akron	-2.0	62.5	L 25 - 35	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1	Ball State vs Western Michigan	+16.0	64.5	L 20 - 52	O	N
Tue 11/8	Ball State vs Eastern Michigan	-3.5	59.5	L 41 - 48	O	N
Wed 11/16	Ball State at Toledo	+19.0	68.5	L 19 - 37	U	Y
Tue 11/22	Ball State at Miami (OH)	+6.0	55.0	L 20 - 21	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule

Miami (OH)'s 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Miami (OH) at Iowa	+32.0	52.5	L 21 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Miami (OH) vs Eastern Illinois	-10.0
Sat 9/17	Miami (OH) vs Western Kentucky	+15.0	64.5	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Miami (OH) at Cincinnati	+19.5	55.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Miami (OH) vs Ohio	+3.5	50.0	L 7 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/8	Miami (OH) at Akron	+7.5	54.0	L 13 - 35	U	N
Sat 10/15	Miami (OH) vs Kent State	+2.0	43.0	W 18 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Miami (OH) at Bowling Green	+3.5	52.0	W 40 - 26	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Miami (OH) at Eastern Michigan	+7.0	50.0	W 28 - 15	U	Y
Fri 11/4	Miami (OH) vs Central Michigan	+6.0	46.5	W 37 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Miami (OH) at Buffalo	-12.0	50.5	W 35 - 24	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/22	Miami (OH) vs Ball State	-6.0	55.0	W 21 - 20	U	N
Mon 12/26	Miami (OH) vs Mississippi State	+11.5	58.0	L 16 - 17	U	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL	.14	49%	27	53%	3.38	220	43%	229	3.45	.21	44%	30.1	40%	46%	3.34	35.5	2	1.2
M-OH	.16	43%	22.8	38%	2.72	136	46%	231	3.01	.08	43%	23.8	45%	39%	3.03	55.4	1.5	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL	#98 (.14)	42% (78)		44% (70)	3.06 (61)	103	41% (72)	245	3.94 (65)	#128 (.32)	46% (118)		46% (103)	47% (121)	4.81 (133)	45.3	1.2	1.3
M-OH	#95 (.15)	41% (97)		38% (119)	3.1 (51)	121	44% (48)	204	3.43 (108)	#38 (.12)	44% (92)		46% (100)	42% (74)	2.91 (6)	38.6	1.1	1.4

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Offense	12	27	24.7	49.2%	3.45	2	25	449	220	229	5.1	52%	46%	53%	43%	15%	.14
M-OH Defense	13	23.8	20	42.6%	3.03	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	45%	39%	17%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Defense	12	30.1	25.9	44.1%	3.34	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	42%	56%	40%	46%	17%	.21
M-OH Offense	13	22.8	20.7	42.8%	3.01	1.5	20	367	136	231	3.7	52%	47%	38%	46%	16%	.16

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ball State	12	31:03	24.5	45%	52%	4	35.5	2	1.2	7	2.7	1	30.5
Miami (OH)	13	32:24	19.5	38%	47%	6.8	55.4	1.5	1.5	5.4	1.8	1	28.7

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Offense	12	52%	53%	43.3	220	5.1	25	.2	3.38	73%	7%	0.86
M-OH Defense	13	50%	45%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.83	77%	10%	0.87

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Defense	12	42%	40%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.76	65%	11%	1.11
M-OH Offense	13	52%	38%	37.2	136.3	3.7	9	.05	2.72	71%	11%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Offense	12	46%	43%	21.9	36.3	229.2	6.3	10.5	14	15	.09	1.3	27%	39%	.24	7%	1.4
M-OH Defense	13	48%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.13	1.5	32%	31%	.12	7%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Defense	12	56%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.31	1.5	33%	38%	.45	6%	1.9
M-OH Offense	13	47%	46%	16.3	27.5	230.6	8.4	14.1	27	7	.31	1.6	34%	32%	.28	5%	1.9

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: NR
Ball State's Offense Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ball State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Ball State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.0 #96
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #73
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #100

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State: Miami (OH): -0.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -7.0 Miami (OH): -6.1

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -0.55 NR
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: NR
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Miami (OH)'s 2016 Expected Record: -
Miami (OH)'s 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.1 #91
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #100
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #72

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Ball State Scoring
Offense: 27 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.7
Defense: 30.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.9

Ball State's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 7 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Miami (OH) 32
Ball State 22

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Miami (OH) 38
Ball State 21

Total Points: 59

Based on Entire Season
Miami (OH) 25
Ball State 24

Total Points: 49

Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.7
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 20

Miami (OH)'s 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Miami (OH)	45	Ball State	24	Miami (OH) -16.5	Miami (OH)	40.5	Over
2024	11/05	Ball State	21	Miami (OH)	27	Miami (OH) -12.5	Ball State	48.5	Under
2023	11/25	Ball State	15	Miami (OH)	17	Miami (OH) -3.5	Ball State	34.5	Under
2022	11/22	Miami (OH)	18	Ball State	17	Miami (OH) -2.5	Ball State	45.0	Under
2021	10/23	Ball State	17	Miami (OH)	24	Ball State -3.5	Miami (OH)	53.0	Under
2020	11/04	Miami (OH)	38	Ball State	31	Ball State -1	Miami (OH)	56.5	Over
2019	11/29	Ball State	41	Miami (OH)	27	Ball State -3	Ball State	55.5	Over
2018	11/20	Miami (OH)	42	Ball State	21	Miami (OH) -16.5	Miami (OH)	55.0	Over
2017	11/21	Ball State	7	Miami (OH)	28	Miami (OH) -17.5	Miami (OH)	54.5	Under
2016	11/22	Miami (OH)	21	Ball State	20	Miami (OH) -6	Ball State	55.0	Under
2013	11/29	Ball State	55	Miami (OH)	14	Ball State -34	Ball State	0
2012	11/23	Miami (OH)	24	Ball State	31
2008	11/11	Miami (OH)	16	Ball State	31
2007	08/30	Ball State	13	Miami (OH)	14
2006	10/28	Miami (OH)	17	Ball State	20
2003	10/18	Ball State	3	Miami (OH)	49
2001	09/29	Ball State	20	Miami (OH)	28
2000	10/06	Miami (OH)	10	Ball State	15

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Miami (OH)	12	5	4 Overs
Ball State	6	6	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 11	7 - 4	4 - 3	3 - 1
Road Teams	11 - 7	4 - 7	1 - 3	3 - 4

(#) BALL at (#) M-OH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BALL	M-OH
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#96	#91
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#109	#89
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Ball State Injury Report

Miami (OH) Injury Report

Ball State on Offense


CategoryCat	BALL Off	M-OH Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#73	#72
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ball State Run Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	M-OH Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Ball State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	M-OH Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Miami (OH) on Offense


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	BALL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#100	#100
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Miami (OH) Run Game


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	BALL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Miami (OH) Pass Game


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	BALL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
M-OH 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

BALL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Yager Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 35°

Rematch from Week 13
Miami (OH) -6.0 (55.0)
Miami (OH) won vs Ball State this year (21-20)

Previous Matchups
Miami (OH) beat Ball State last year (27-21)
Miami (OH) beat Ball State in 2023 (17-15)
Miami (OH) beat Ball State in 2022 (18-17)

BALL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ball State's Full Roster

BALL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

M-OH's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD