Miami (OH) at Bowling Green - 2016 Matchup Preview

Miami (OH) RedHawks at Bowling Green Falcons

Saturday, October 22nd 2016 (12:00 PM EDT)
Bowling Green -3.5 (52.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Miami (OH) 40 - Bowling Green: 26 (Mid-American)

RedHawks (6 - 7) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (20 - 21 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BGSU is playing their 8th straight game
M-OH is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ M-OH -0.5)
Projected Score: M-OH: 22 - BGSU: 20 (42)
BGSU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
M-OH Travel: 141 miles

Falcons (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (17 - 20 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
M-OH Players
BGSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Miami (OH)'s 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Miami (OH) at Iowa	+32.0	52.5	L 21 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Miami (OH) vs Eastern Illinois	-10.0
Sat 9/17	Miami (OH) vs Western Kentucky	+15.0	64.5	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Miami (OH) at Cincinnati	+19.5	55.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Miami (OH) vs Ohio	+3.5	50.0	L 7 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/8	Miami (OH) at Akron	+7.5	54.0	L 13 - 35	U	N
Sat 10/15	Miami (OH) vs Kent State	+2.0	43.0	W 18 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Miami (OH) at Bowling Green	+3.5	52.0	W 40 - 26	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Miami (OH) at Eastern Michigan	+7.0	50.0	W 28 - 15	U	Y
Fri 11/4	Miami (OH) vs Central Michigan	+6.0	46.5	W 37 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Miami (OH) at Buffalo	-12.0	50.5	W 35 - 24	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/22	Miami (OH) vs Ball State	-6.0	55.0	W 21 - 20	U	N
Mon 12/26	Miami (OH) vs Mississippi State	+11.5	58.0	L 16 - 17	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule

Bowling Green's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Bowling Green at Ohio State	+27.0	64.0	L 10 - 77	O	N
Sat 9/10	Bowling Green vs North Dakota	-20.0
Sat 9/17	Bowling Green vs Middle Tennessee	+3.5	73.0	L 21 - 41	U	N
Sat 9/24	Bowling Green at Memphis	+16.5	67.5	L 3 - 77	O	N
Sat 10/1	Bowling Green vs Eastern Michigan	-6.5	64.5	L 25 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/8	Bowling Green at Ohio	+15.5	60.0	L 24 - 30	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Bowling Green at Toledo	+24.0	71.0	L 35 - 42	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Bowling Green vs Miami (OH)	-3.5	52.0	L 26 - 40	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1	Bowling Green at Northern Illinois	+17.0	72.0	L 20 - 45	U	N
Wed 11/9	Bowling Green at Akron	+11.5	73.0	W 38 - 28	U	Y
Tue 11/15	Bowling Green vs Kent State	+3.0	54.0	W 42 - 7	U	Y
Fri 11/25	Bowling Green vs Buffalo	-11.0	60.0	W 27 - 19	U	N

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
M-OH	.04	35%	23.5	35%	2.63	130	34%	209	2.7	.13	41%	21.7	36%	45%	3.69	60	2.6	1.4
BGSU	.35	50%	20.5	50%	3.18	180	50%	367	4.58	.16	44%	24.3	45%	41%	3.41	80.2	1.1	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
M-OH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BGSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
M-OH Offense	12	23.5	19.8	35.3%	2.7	2.6	17	338	130	209	3.6	48%	51%	35%	34%	3%	.04
BGSU Defense	14	24.3	19.5	44.2%	3.41	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	45%	41%	2%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
M-OH Defense	12	21.7	21.2	41.5%	3.69	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	36%	45%	2%	.13
BGSU Offense	14	20.5	17	50.3%	4.58	1.1	28	547	180	367	4.7	44%	56%	50%	50%	2%	.35

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Miami (OH)	12	28:42	16.6	31%	44%	7.4	60	2.6	1.4	0	0	2	25.7
Bowling Green	14	27:55	27.8	50%	53%	8.8	80.2	1.1	1.9	0	0	1	29.7

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
M-OH Offense	12	48%	35%	35.7	129.7	3.6	7	-.03	2.63	60%	0%	0.91
BGSU Defense	14	49%	45%	-	-	-	-	.15	2.99	69%	0%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
M-OH Defense	12	52%	36%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.5	76%	0%	1.05
BGSU Offense	14	44%	50%	38.7	180	4.7	34	.28	3.18	74%	0%	1.07

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
M-OH Offense	12	51%	34%	14.8	31.2	208.5	6.7	14.1	18	19	.12	1.8	39%	27%	.17	3%	1.7
BGSU Defense	14	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	20	.18	1.6	35%	42%	.44	2%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
M-OH Defense	12	46%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.22	1.5	33%	35%	.2	2%	1.6
BGSU Offense	14	56%	50%	28.4	42.4	366.8	8.6	12.9	47	8	.41	1.6	28%	42%	.71	2%	2.3

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: NR
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: NR
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Miami (OH)'s 2016 Expected Record: -
Miami (OH)'s 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.1 #91
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #100
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #72

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): Bowling Green: -0.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -6.1 Bowling Green: -6.6

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -0.8 NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Bowling Green's 2016 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #93
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #93
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #87

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.2

Miami (OH)'s 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Miami (OH) 22
Bowling Green 20

Projected Total Points: 42

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 17
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.5

Bowling Green's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/29	Bowling Green	12	Miami (OH)	28	Bowling Green -3	Miami (OH)	37.5	Over
2023	10/07	Miami (OH)	27	Bowling Green	0	Miami (OH) -7.5	Miami (OH)	43.0	Under
2022	10/15	Bowling Green	17	Miami (OH)	13	Miami (OH) -7	Bowling Green	45.0	Under
2021	11/16	Miami (OH)	34	Bowling Green	7	Miami (OH) -17	Miami (OH)	52.0	Under
2019	11/13	Miami (OH)	44	Bowling Green	3	Miami (OH) -17	Miami (OH)	48.0	Under
2018	09/22	Bowling Green	23	Miami (OH)	38	Miami (OH) -6.5	Miami (OH)	55.0	Over
2017	10/07	Miami (OH)	29	Bowling Green	37	Miami (OH) -16.5	Bowling Green	50.5	Over
2016	10/22	Bowling Green	26	Miami (OH)	40	Bowling Green -3.5	Miami (OH)	52.0	Over
2013	11/05	Miami (OH)	3	Bowling Green	45	Bowling Green -24.5	Bowling Green	0
2012	10/13	Bowling Green	37	Miami (OH)	12
2011	09/24	Miami (OH)	23	Bowling Green	37
2010	11/10	Bowling Green	21	Miami (OH)	24
2009	11/12	Miami (OH)	14	Bowling Green	35
2008	10/18	Bowling Green	20	Miami (OH)	27
2007	10/13	Miami (OH)	47	Bowling Green	14
2006	11/15	Bowling Green	7	Miami (OH)	9
2005	11/15	Miami (OH)	14	Bowling Green	42
2003	12/04	Bowling Green	27	Miami (OH)	49
2003	11/04	Miami (OH)	33	Bowling Green	10
2001	11/03	Bowling Green	21	Miami (OH)	24
2000	10/13	Miami (OH)	24	Bowling Green	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Bowling Green	7	3	4 Overs
Miami (OH)	14	6	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 13	4 - 5	3 - 3	1 - 2
Road Teams	13 - 8	5 - 4	2 - 1	3 - 3

(#) M-OH at (#) BGSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	M-OH	BGSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#91	#93
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#89	#98
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Miami (OH) Injury Report

Bowling Green Injury Report

Miami (OH) on Offense


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	BGSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#100	#87
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Miami (OH) Run Game


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	BGSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Miami (OH) Pass Game


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	BGSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Bowling Green on Offense


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	M-OH Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#93	#72
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Bowling Green Run Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	M-OH Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Bowling Green Pass Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	M-OH Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BGSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

M-OH 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Doyt Perry Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 8
Bowling Green -3.5 (52.0)
Miami (OH) won at Bowling Green this year (40-26)

Previous Matchups
Miami (OH) beat Bowling Green in 2024 (28-12)
Miami (OH) beat Bowling Green in 2023 (27-0)

M-OH's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BGSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD