San Diego State at Northern Illinois - 2016 Matchup Preview
San Diego State logo   San Diego State Aztecs at Northern Illinois Huskies  Northern Illinois logo
Saturday, September 17th 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
San Diego State -8 (48.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
San Diego State 42 - Northern Illinois: 28

 
Aztecs (11 - 3) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 15 (18 - 18 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -4.5  (SP+ SDSU -14)
Projected Score: SDSU: 22 - NIU: 17 (39)
SDSU Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
SDSU Travel: 1671 miles, 2 hrs behind
Huskies (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 24 (18 - 21 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
San Diego State's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 San Diego State vs New Hampshire-34.0
Sat 9/10 San Diego State vs California-7.059.5W 45 - 40ON
Sat 9/17 San Diego State at Northern Illinois-8.048.0W 42 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1 San Diego State at South Alabama-17.549.0L 24 - 42ON
Sat 10/8 San Diego State vs UNLV-17.553.5W 26 - 7UY
Fri 10/14 San Diego State at Fresno State-17.551.0W 17 - 3UN
Fri 10/21 San Diego State vs San José State-22.548.0W 42 - 3UY
Fri 10/28 San Diego State at Utah State-3.045.0W 40 - 13OY
Sat 11/5 San Diego State vs Hawai'i-19.550.5W 55 - 0OY
Sat 11/12 San Diego State at Nevada-20.550.5W 46 - 16OY
Sat 11/19 San Diego State at Wyoming-7.554.5L 33 - 34ON
Sat 11/26 San Diego State vs Colorado State-12.553.5L 31 - 63ON
Sat 12/3 San Diego State at Wyoming-7.057.5W 27 - 24UN
Sat 12/17 San Diego State vs Houston+3.051.0W 34 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule
Northern Illinois's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Northern Illinois at Wyoming-10.554.0L 34 - 40ON
Sat 9/10 Northern Illinois at South Florida+11.555.0L 17 - 48ON
Sat 9/17 Northern Illinois vs San Diego State+8.048.0L 28 - 42ON
Sat 9/24 Northern Illinois vs Western Illinois-7.0
Sat 10/1 Northern Illinois at Ball State+1.057.5W 31 - 24UY
Sat 10/8 Northern Illinois at Western Michigan+19.068.5L 30 - 45OY
Sat 10/15 Northern Illinois vs Central Michigan+4.060.0L 28 - 34ON
Sat 10/22 Northern Illinois vs Buffalo-20.061.0W 44 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1 Northern Illinois vs Bowling Green-17.072.0W 45 - 20UY
Wed 11/9 Northern Illinois vs Toledo+7.569.5L 24 - 31UY
Wed 11/16 Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan-4.063.0W 31 - 24UY
Fri 11/25 Northern Illinois at Kent State-5.045.5W 31 - 21OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northern Illinois's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SDSU.244%26.444%3.0123340%1423.78.0437%15.437%36%2.3958.10.92.4
NIU.1442%17.141%2.7319041%2083.54.0743%24.341%41%2.9349.61.92.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SDSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NIU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SDSU Offense1426.418.244.1%3.780.9193752331424.869%29%44%40%3%.2
NIU Defense1424.320.842.7%2.932.1 - - - - - 50%48%41%41%3%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SDSU Defense1415.418.337.1%2.392.4 - - - - - 53%46%37%36%5%.04
NIU Offense1417.117.841.8%3.541.9203991902084.158%41%41%41%2%.14

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
San Diego State1432:4118.642%80%6.458.10.92.400832.9
Northern Illinois1426:2420.238%52%5.749.61.92.100431.2
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SDSU Offense1469%44%48.2233.34.832.153.0172%0%0.98
NIU Defense1450%41% - - - - .012.9285%0%0.77
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SDSU Defense1453%37% - - - - -.022.5257%0%0.88
NIU Offense1458%41%45.9190.14.131.082.7372%0%0.98

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SDSU Offense1429%40%10.1181427.914.1173.341.830%34%.43%1.9
NIU Defense1448%41% - - - - - - 22.171.532%31%.183%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SDSU Defense1446%36% - - - - - - 23.121.734%24%.095%1.9
NIU Offense1441%41%17.128.9208.47.212.22210.241.631%31%.242%1.8

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: NR
San Diego State's Offense Rating: NR
San Diego State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
San Diego State's 2016 Expected Record: -
San Diego State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.4  #31
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0  #50
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.5  #29

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
San Diego State:    Northern Illinois: 1.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: 11.4   Northern Illinois: -2.4




Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: 1.3 NR
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Northern Illinois's 2016 Expected Record: -
Northern Illinois's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.4  #77
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0  #50
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7  #91

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.2
Defense: 15.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.3

San Diego State's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
San Diego State 22
Northern Illinois 17

Projected Total Points: 39
Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 17.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.8
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.8

Northern Illinois's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/27Northern Illinois3San Diego State6San Diego State -1.5San Diego State41.5Under
201709/30San Diego State34Northern Illinois28San Diego State -9.5Northern Illinois47.5Over
201609/17Northern Illinois28San Diego State42San Diego State -8San Diego State48.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northern Illinois012 Overs
San Diego State321 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 20 - 30 - 10 - 2
Road Teams2 - 13 - 02 - 01 - 0

(#) SDSU at (#) NIU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSDSUNIU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #31 #77
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #74 #94
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
San Diego State on Offense
CategoryCat
SDSU OffNIU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #50 #91
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
San Diego State Run Game
CategoryCat
SDSU OffNIU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
San Diego State Pass Game
CategoryCat
SDSU OffNIU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Northern Illinois on Offense
CategoryCatNIU OffSDSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #50 #29
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Northern Illinois Run Game
CategoryCat
NIU OffSDSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Northern Illinois Pass Game
CategoryCatNIU OffSDSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NIU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

SDSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
San Diego State 8.0 (48.0)
San Diego State won at Northern Illinois this year (42-28)

Previous Matchups
San Diego State beat Northern Illinois last year (6-3)

  
SDSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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SDSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NIU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NIU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD