South Carolina at East Carolina Week 2 College Football Matchup South Carolina at East Carolina Matchup - Week 2
Sat, Sep 11 2021 · Week 2 · 🏟 Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium Greenville, NC · Turf · 50,000 cap
South Carolina✈ 235 miSame TZ
20 17
Final
📊 Punt & Rally Projection
South Carolina
28
ECU +3
East Carolina
27
P&R Line South Carolina -1
P&R Total O/U 54
Confidence 75 Good
Vegas South Carolina -3 · O/U 56.5
Matchup Prediction
South Carolina has the edge in this matchup
Both Momentum Control (CSS) and Game Control metrics favor South Carolina entering this game.
Momentum Control
73.7%
South Carolina wins
Solid
Game Control
75.9%
South Carolina wins
Solid
Vegas Spread
South Carolina -3
O/U 56.5
teamrankings
Advanced Stats
Advanced factors are split · No strong agreement signal
↓ See full breakdown
South Carolina 2021 Schedule
South Carolina's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4South Carolina vs Eastern Illinois-31.5W46–055.5W46–0UY
Sat 9/11South Carolina at East Carolina-3.0W20–1756.5W20–17UN
Sat 9/18South Carolina at Georgia+31.5L13–4047.5L13–40OY
Sat 9/25South Carolina vs Kentucky+4.5L10–1649.0L10–16UN
Sat 10/2South Carolina vs Troy-6.5W23–1443.0W23–14UY
Sat 10/9South Carolina at Tennessee+10.5L20–4557.0L20–45ON
Sat 10/16South Carolina vs Vanderbilt-19.0W21–2050.0W21–20UN
Sat 10/23South Carolina at Texas A&M+19.0L14–4446.0L14–44ON
— Bye Week —
Sat 11/6South Carolina vs Florida+20.5W40–1752.0W40–17OY
Sat 11/13South Carolina at Missouri+1.0L28–3156.5L28–31ON
Sat 11/20South Carolina vs Auburn+7.0W21–1745.5W21–17UY
Sat 11/27South Carolina vs Clemson+11.5L0–3042.5L0–30UN
Thu 12/30South Carolina vs North Carolina+12.5W38–2157.5W38–21OY
East Carolina 2021 Schedule
East Carolina's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2East Carolina at App State+9.0L19–3355.5L19–33UN
Sat 9/11East Carolina vs South Carolina+3.0L17–2056.5L17–20UY
Sat 9/18East Carolina at Marshall+11.0W42–3858.5W42–38OY
Sat 9/25East Carolina vs Charleston Southern-24.5W31–2859.0W31–28UN
Sat 10/2East Carolina vs Tulane+3.0W52–2965.0W52–29OY
Sat 10/9East Carolina at UCF+10.0L16–2065.0L16–20UY
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/23East Carolina at Houston+13.5L24–3156.0L24–31UY
Thu 10/28East Carolina vs South Florida-9.5W29–1455.5W29–14UY
Sat 11/6East Carolina vs Temple-15.5W45–352.0W45–3UY
Sat 11/13East Carolina at Memphis+4.0W30–2958.5W30–29OY
Sat 11/20East Carolina at Navy-3.5W38–3546.0W38–35ON
Fri 11/26East Carolina vs Cincinnati+14.5L13–3556.5L13–35UN
Mon 12/27East Carolina vs Boston College+3.052.5
Advanced Stats
Advanced Analytics Matchup
Matchup-adjusted (offense vs opponent defense) · 2021 season
South Carolina PPA Edge
Agreement Signals — When All Metrics Agree
Elite · 83.1% ATS
PPA + PPO + SR + Havoc
Split
Metrics disagree
Elite · 82.4% ATS
PPA + PPO + Havoc
Split
Metrics disagree
Elite · 73.9% ATS
PPA + Success Rate
Split
Metrics disagree
Individual Factors — Ranked by Predictive Strength
PPA Overall
Points added per play · Elite predictor
South Carolina
+0.394
East Carolina
+0.379
South Carolina Edge
PPA Passing
Pass efficiency edge · Strong predictor
South Carolina
+0.600
East Carolina
+0.468
South Carolina Edge
Havoc Total
Def. disruption rate · Strong predictor
South Carolina
0.177
East Carolina
0.186
TFLs, sacks, PBUs, forced fumbles — higher is better
East Carolina Edge
Points Per Opp
Drive-finishing edge · Strong predictor
South Carolina
+6.940
East Carolina
+7.034
East Carolina Edge
Success Rate
Play consistency edge · Solid predictor
South Carolina
+0.805
East Carolina
+0.840
East Carolina Edge
Field Position
Avg start (lower=better) · Solid predictor
South Carolina
70.4
East Carolina
70.5
Avg yards from own endzone to average start — lower is better · longer bar = better field position
South Carolina Edge
Advanced stats sourced from CFBD · 2021 season · Edges are matchup-adjusted (offense vs opponent defense)
Power Ratings
Team Power Ratings
Overall · Offense · Defense ratings · Updated as season progresses
South Carolina Rated Higher
Overall Power Rating
South Carolina
5.3
East Carolina
1.4
Offense Rating
South Carolina
18.3
East Carolina
15.8
Defense Rating (lower = better defense)
South Carolina
13.0
East Carolina
14.3
Power ratings updated throughout the season as results accumulate
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences Who builds scoring momentum? South Carolina Edge
Avg sequences created per game
South Carolina #70
2.00
East Carolina #26
1.00
Avg sequences allowed per game (lower is better)
South Carolina #95
0.00
East Carolina #82
3.00
South Carolina +1.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 73.7% of games historically
Based on 1 game this season
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance Who controls games start to finish? South Carolina Edge
Avg GC score per game (offense)
South Carolina #1
98.2
East Carolina #1
5.4
Avg GC score allowed per game (lower is better)
South Carolina #101
0.2
East Carolina #65
86.3
South Carolina +92.8
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 75.9% of games historically
Based on 1 game this season
Spread Context
ATS Historical Context
Based on 2021–2025 backtest · FBS vs FBS · Regular season

Both metrics agree on South Carolina with a large edge. Historically, dominant teams like this are fully priced into the spread — the agreed-upon team covers just 50.2% of the time. The metrics predict game control better than they beat the number.

ATS data is informational only. Past cover rates do not guarantee future results.

Coaching Matchup
South Carolina
Shane Beamer #1
2–1 (67%) · Yr 1 at school
OC Marcus Satterfield Yr 1 #1
DC Clayton White Yr 1 #1
Staff Rating
0.00 #1
East Carolina
Mike Houston #1
8–16 (33%) · Yr 3 at school
OC Donnie Kirkpatrick Yr 1 #1
DC Blake Harrell Yr 1 #1
Staff Rating
0.00 #1
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games.

Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set.

Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set.

Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself