Sat, Sep 4 2021
·
Week 1
·
🏟 Williams-Brice Stadium
Columbia, SC
·
Turf
·
80,250 cap
Eastern Illinois✈ 549 mi+1 hr TZ
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
50.6%
—
Toss-up
Vegas Spread
South Carolina -31.5
O/U 55.5
consensus
Eastern Illinois 2021 Schedule
Eastern Illinois's 2021 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 9/4 | Eastern Illinois at South Carolina | +31.5L0–46 | 55.5 | L0–46 | U | N |
South Carolina 2021 Schedule
South Carolina's 2021 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 9/4 | South Carolina vs Eastern Illinois | -31.5W46–0 | 55.5 | W46–0 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/11 | South Carolina at East Carolina | -3.0W20–17 | 56.5 | W20–17 | U | N |
| Sat 9/18 | South Carolina at Georgia | +31.5L13–40 | 47.5 | L13–40 | O | Y |
| Sat 9/25 | South Carolina vs Kentucky | +4.5L10–16 | 49.0 | L10–16 | U | N |
| Sat 10/2 | South Carolina vs Troy | -6.5W23–14 | 43.0 | W23–14 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/9 | South Carolina at Tennessee | +10.5L20–45 | 57.0 | L20–45 | O | N |
| Sat 10/16 | South Carolina vs Vanderbilt | -19.0W21–20 | 50.0 | W21–20 | U | N |
| Sat 10/23 | South Carolina at Texas A&M | +19.0L14–44 | 46.0 | L14–44 | O | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 11/6 | South Carolina vs Florida | +20.5W40–17 | 52.0 | W40–17 | O | Y |
| Sat 11/13 | South Carolina at Missouri | +1.0L28–31 | 56.5 | L28–31 | O | N |
| Sat 11/20 | South Carolina vs Auburn | +7.0W21–17 | 45.5 | W21–17 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/27 | South Carolina vs Clemson | +11.5L0–30 | 42.5 | L0–30 | U | N |
| Thu 12/30 | South Carolina vs North Carolina | +12.5W38–21 | 57.5 | W38–21 | O | Y |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Eastern Illinois Edge
Eastern Illinois +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 0 games this season
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Eastern Illinois Edge
Eastern Illinois +0.0
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 50.6% of games historically
Based on 0 games this season
Actual Result
CSS Battle
South Carolina
2 — 0 sequences
✗ Predicted incorrectly
GC Battle
South Carolina
98.2 — 0.2 GC score
✗ Predicted incorrectly
Game Result
South Carolina won by 46
Spread Context
ATS Historical Context
Based on 2021–2025 backtest · FBS vs FBS · Regular season
Both metrics agree on South Carolina, but the GC edge is small. When metrics agree but GC is near-neutral, the agreed-upon team has covered only 46.7% of the time historically (n=224) — potentially a fade signal.
ATS data is informational only. Past cover rates do not guarantee future results.
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓