Central Michigan at New Mexico - 2026 Matchup Preview
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Central Michigan Chippewas at New Mexico Lobos

New Mexico logo
Saturday, September 5th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
University Stadium - Albuquerque, NM

 
Chippewas (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Matt Drinkall (7 - 6)
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (19 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#104)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: New Mexico -10.5  (SP+ UNM -10)
Projected Score: CMU: 18 - UNM: 29 (47)
UNM Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
CMU Travel: 1303 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Lobos (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jason Eck (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (28 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 3.5 (#40)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
 
Central Michigan's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Central Michigan at New Mexico+10.5————
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/19Central Michigan vs Wyoming-3.5————
Sat 9/26Central Michigan at Miami+35————
Record: 0–0Projected spreads in italics

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Central Michigan's Schedule
New Mexico's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5New Mexico vs Central Michigan-10.5————
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/19New Mexico at Oklahoma+24.5————
Sat 9/26New Mexico at New Mexico State-13.5————
Sat 10/3New Mexico vs UTEP-17.5————
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/17New Mexico at Hawai'i+1————
Sat 10/24New Mexico vs North Dakota State-3.5————
Sat 10/31New Mexico at San José State-13————
Sat 11/7New Mexico at Nevada-14————
Sat 11/14New Mexico vs UNLV-0.5————
Sat 11/21New Mexico at Wyoming-6.5————
Sat 11/28New Mexico vs Air Force-10————
Record: 0–0Projected spreads in italics

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CMU#71 (.17)41% (89)22.540% (102)2.79 (103)16544% (42)1673.6 (80)#36 (.1)40% (47)23.541% (56)39% (43)3.14 (26)48.71.21.6
UNM#65 (.18)42% (78)27.143% (77)3.15 (32)15242% (69)2053.96 (44)#47 (.11)40% (50)22.340% (49)40% (58)3.12 (24)48.51.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CMU Offense1322.519.141.1%3.61.217332165167463%35%40%44%16%.17
UNM Defense1322.318.740%3.121.3 - - - - - 47%52%40%40%17%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CMU Defense1323.52839.6%3.141.6 - - - - - 47%51%41%39%17%.1
UNM Offense1327.128.341.8%3.961.8193571522054.353%45%43%42%14%.18

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Central Michigan1332:0616.934%58%648.71.21.65.32.2229
New Mexico1330:0319.439%66%5.848.51.81.35.92.8328.4
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CMU Offense1363% (7)40% (102)41.4165.1417 (78).07 (91)2.79 (103)75% (47)12% (120)0.92 (84)
UNM Defense1347% (35)40% (49) - - - - .04 (36)2.63 (21)83% (128)11% (32)0.97 (74)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CMU Defense1347% (40)41% (56) - - - - .04 (34)2.83 (55)62% (12)10% (62)0.9 (38)
UNM Offense1353% (41)43% (77)35.7152.44.322 (49).14 (54)3.15 (32)75% (45)9% (67)0.99 (59)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CMU Offense1335% (130)44% (42)13.519.5167.18.612.316 (106)7 (3).4 (22)1.6 (40)32% (73)26% (117).31 (67)4% (15)2.1 (36)
UNM Defense1352% (108)40% (58) - - - - - - 9 (100).24 (64)1.5 (42)34% (33)28% (42).27 (59)6% (52)1.9 (38)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CMU Defense1351% (96)39% (43) - - - - - - 13 (12).19 (46)1.5 (63)32% (61)27% (32).26 (55)7% (22)2 (73)
UNM Offense1345% (97)42% (69)17.526.9204.87.611.717 (61)10 (119).27 (63)1.6 (50)30% (50)30% (71).33 (59)5% (22)1.9 (112)

Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -7.07  #103
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: 7.87  #100
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: 19.94  #97
2026 Talent Rating: 558.00  #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #103
Central Michigan's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
Central Michigan's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.8  #100
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.6  #120
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #65

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 546.62
Average Power Five Talent: 910.63
Average FBS Talent: 728.81

Power Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -7.07   New Mexico: 2.73

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -8.8   New Mexico: 0.9




New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: 2.73  #78
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 12.81  #70
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 18.25  #85
2026 Talent Rating: 526.00  #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #64
New Mexico's 2026 Expected Record: 7.5 - 3.5
New Mexico's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9  #73
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4  #82
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1  #66

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 486.6
Average Power Five Talent: 910.63
Average FBS Talent: 728.81


Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.1
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

Central Michigan's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
New Mexico 29
Central Michigan 18

Projected Total Points: 47
New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

New Mexico's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
New Mexico000 Overs
Central Michigan000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#103) CMU at (#78) UNM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCMUUNM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #103 #78
SP+SP+ #100 #73
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #107 #116
Blue ChipsBC% #103 #64
Central Michigan Notes
(3/4) Vibes: Strong, Off could be really good, Def is ?
(3/4) QB Flores (PT LY) can scoot, but didn't throw much
(3/4) RB good unit, Townsend back, 2 prod portals
(3/4) WRs Lewis & McIntosh decent duo, have depth
(3/4) OL has more prod than 1/2 MAC combined. Wow
(3/4) F7 is ?, DL only 3 with exp, LB only has 2.
(3/4) DB best Def unit by far, CB really good, S has 1
Central Michigan Injury Report
New Mexico Notes
(3/3) Vibes: Eck a fast rising HC, have talent, lack exp
(3/3) OL has 4 solid starters returning, depth is light
(3/3) DL looks OK, 5 with exp + 3 portals. Big DTs
(3/3) DBs have good exp, 4 portal adds. Lack dudes
(3/3) Big crootin class of 25, solid future foundation
(3/3) QB Jack Layne back, decent LY but TD/TO is ?
(3/3) RB rebuild, have 2 w exp but not a lot of prod
(3/3) WR Williams (FCS) + Omeire portals help rebuild
New Mexico Injury Report
Central Michigan on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat
CMU OffUNM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #89 #50
ExplosiveExp #109 #58
PPAPPA #71 #47
PowerPwr #100 #85
SP+SP+ #120 #66
Pts POPPO #80 #24
HavocHav #70 #36
Central Michigan Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat
CMU OffUNM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #102 #49
Run ExplRExp #84 #74
PPAExp #91 #36
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #103 #21
Stuff RateStuff #80 #18
TackleTak - NR
Central Michigan Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat
CMU OffUNM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #42 #58
Pass ExplPExl #40 #42
PPAExp #22 #64
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #120 #32
DB HavocDB #15 #52
New Mexico on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatUNM OffCMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #78 #47
ExplosiveExp #55 #55
PPAPPA #65 #36
PowerPwr #70 #97
SP+SP+ #82 #65
Pts POPPO #44 #26
HavocHav #45 #42
New Mexico Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
UNM OffCMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #77 #56
Run ExplRExp #59 #38
PPAExp #54 #34
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #32 #55
Stuff RateStuff #11 #28
TackleTak - NR
New Mexico Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatUNM OffCMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #69 #43
Pass ExplPExl #50 #63
PPAExp #63 #46
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #67 #62
DB HavocDB #22 #22
Program Comparison
UNM 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'26 Profile: Up to Top G5

CMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in University Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
CMU's OC Jim Chapin (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Angel H Flores192868%195217.0
Jadyn Glasser7978%78008.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayden Clerveaux (Tr)16176254.767
Angel H Flores10752784.937
Brock Townsend8241845.146
Vaughn Blue (Tr)4723425.022
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Langston Lewis43596313.977
Tommy Mcintosh31422313.647
Jaden Allen (Tr)1918719.831
Brock Townsend13145411.251

View Central Michigan's Full Roster

CMU's DC Sean Cronin (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaion Jackson454227
Korver Demma289451
Xavier White261000
JJ Douglas232221
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Korver Demma289451
Jaion Jackson454227
JJ Douglas232221
Landon Swanson61110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaion Jackson454227
Donavan Philord (Tr)110001
Keyton Jones20001

UNM's OC Luke Schleusner (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jack Layne21332765%248613107.6
Luke Moga (Tr)3560%580011.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Scottre Humphrey7734954.561
Kiefer Sibley4527456.145
Jack Layne8715241.754
Luke Moga (Tr)349016.325
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Miles Williams (Tr)41524212.846
Troy Omeire (Tr)32521516.368
Cade Keith20253312.745
Shawn Miller15199113.342

View New Mexico's Full Roster

UNM's DC Spence Nowinsky (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaxton Eck1287232
Tavian Combs721103
Mercury Swaim527212
Frankie Edwards471000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mercury Swaim527212
Darren Agu304221
Jaxton Eck1287232
Jalen McIver103211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Drew Speech100008
Kevin Longstreet40004
Ormanie Arnold (Tr)150003