Florida at Kentucky - 2026 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 14th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Commonwealth Stadium - Lexington, KY

Gators (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 24 (13 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#96)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Florida -4 (SP+ FLA -1.5)
Projected Score: FLA: 27 - UK: 23 (49)
FLA Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
FLA Travel: 592 miles

Wildcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Will Stein (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (32 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#84)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FLA Players
UK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Florida vs Florida Atlantic	-22
Sat 9/12	Florida vs Campbell	-33
Sat 9/19	Florida at Auburn	+6
Sat 9/26	Florida vs Ole Miss	+8.5
Sat 10/3	Florida at Missouri	+10.5
Sat 10/10	Florida vs South Carolina	-2.5
Sat 10/17	Florida at Texas	+14.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31	Florida at Georgia	+19.5
Sat 11/7	Florida vs Oklahoma	+8
Sat 11/14	Florida at Kentucky	-4
Sat 11/21	Florida vs Vanderbilt	+4.5
Fri 11/27	Florida at Florida State	+1

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida's Schedule

Kentucky's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Kentucky vs Youngstown State	-26
Sat 9/12	Kentucky vs Alabama	+12.5
Sat 9/19	Kentucky at Texas A&M	+23
Sat 9/26	Kentucky vs South Alabama	-17
Sat 10/3	Kentucky at South Carolina	+9
Sat 10/10	Kentucky vs LSU	+12
Sat 10/17	Kentucky at Oklahoma	+20
Sat 10/24	Kentucky vs Vanderbilt	+11.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7	Kentucky at Tennessee	+15.5
Sat 11/14	Kentucky vs Florida	+4
Sat 11/21	Kentucky at Missouri	+17
Sat 11/28	Kentucky vs Louisville	+5.5

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FLA	#87 (.14)	42% (83)	21.6	47% (36)	3.26 (18)	137	38% (112)	205	4 (41)	#84 (.18)	43% (90)	24	43% (71)	44% (109)	3.46 (53)	43.7	1.5	1.4
UK	#115 (.08)	42% (81)	23	45% (53)	3.05 (51)	139	40% (96)	202	3.84 (57)	#85 (.18)	44% (97)	26.4	44% (84)	45% (112)	3.98 (99)	41	1.8	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FLA Offense	12	21.6	13	41.6%	4	1.5	19	341	137	205	4.3	47%	52%	47%	38%	15%	.14
UK Defense	12	26.4	22.6	43.7%	3.98	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	44%	45%	15%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FLA Defense	12	24	30.4	43.3%	3.46	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	43%	44%	15%	.18
UK Offense	12	23	31.7	41.6%	3.84	1.8	20	341	139	202	3.9	51%	47%	45%	40%	18%	.08

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida	12	29:46	19	34%	42%	5.1	43.7	1.5	1.4	5	2.1	0	27.7
Kentucky	12	30:38	19.7	40%	52%	4.9	41	1.8	1.2	5.8	2.1	0	29.6

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FLA Offense	12	47% (87)	47% (36)	32	136.8	4.3	10 (122)	.14 (55)	3.26 (18)	76% (42)	10% (74)	0.8 (129)
UK Defense	12	52% (94)	44% (84)	-	-	-	-	.09 (63)	2.89 (71)	68% (44)	10% (57)	0.9 (41)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FLA Defense	12	53% (106)	43% (71)	-	-	-	-	.08 (57)	2.79 (50)	79% (115)	9% (86)	0.93 (52)
UK Offense	12	51% (52)	45% (53)	35.9	139.3	3.9	19 (70)	.06 (98)	3.05 (51)	70% (84)	11% (111)	0.82 (124)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FLA Offense	12	52% (41)	38% (112)	19.5	31.2	204.6	6.6	10.5	18 (61)	14 (127)	.17 (110)	1.5 (82)	30% (42)	27% (103)	.24 (93)	6% (55)	1.9 (97)
UK Defense	12	46% (37)	45% (112)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (38)	.31 (99)	1.5 (64)	30% (91)	31% (85)	.31 (76)	5% (110)	2 (53)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FLA Defense	12	45% (27)	44% (109)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (38)	.3 (94)	1.6 (86)	31% (86)	28% (48)	.3 (72)	5% (90)	2.3 (131)
UK Offense	12	47% (85)	40% (96)	19.1	30.6	201.9	6.6	10.6	15 (128)	14 (60)	.19 (101)	1.6 (59)	31% (62)	26% (113)	.02 (134)	7% (95)	1.7 (131)

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 15.32 #19
Florida's Offense Rating: 17.17 #24
Florida's Defense Rating: 6.85 #14
2026 Talent Rating: 982.00 #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 52% #12
Florida's 2026 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Florida's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.5 #63
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #89
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #43

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida: 15.32 Kentucky: 5.19

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida: 3.5 Kentucky: 1.8

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 5.19 #51
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 13.98 #42
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 15.40 #57
2026 Talent Rating: 826.00 #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 25 #23
Kentucky's 2026 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Kentucky's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.8 #66
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #80
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #48

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Florida Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.4

Florida's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Florida 27
Kentucky 23

Projected Total Points: 49

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.7
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.6

Kentucky's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/08	Kentucky	38	Florida	7	Florida -4.5	Kentucky	44.5	Over
2024	10/19	Florida	48	Kentucky	20	Kentucky -2.5	Florida	42.5	Over
2023	09/30	Kentucky	33	Florida	14	Kentucky -1	Kentucky	44.0	Over
2022	09/10	Florida	16	Kentucky	26	Florida -6	Kentucky	53.0	Under
2021	10/02	Kentucky	20	Florida	13	Florida -7.5	Kentucky	56.5	Under
2020	11/28	Florida	34	Kentucky	10	Florida -23.5	Florida	60.5	Under
2019	09/14	Kentucky	21	Florida	29	Florida -10	Kentucky	46.5	Over
2018	09/08	Florida	16	Kentucky	27	Florida -13.5	Kentucky	52.5	Under
2017	09/23	Kentucky	27	Florida	28	Florida -3	Kentucky	44.0	Over
2016	09/10	Florida	45	Kentucky	7	Florida -16.5	Florida	48.5	Over
2015	09/19	Kentucky	9	Florida	14	Florida -4.5	Florida	52.5	Under
2014	09/13	Florida	36	Kentucky	30	Florida -17	Kentucky	0
2013	09/28	Kentucky	7	Florida	24	Florida -12.5	Florida	0
2012	09/22	Florida	38	Kentucky	0
2011	09/24	Kentucky	10	Florida	48
2010	09/25	Florida	48	Kentucky	14
2009	09/26	Kentucky	7	Florida	41
2008	10/25	Florida	63	Kentucky	5
2007	10/20	Kentucky	37	Florida	45
2006	09/23	Florida	26	Kentucky	7
2005	09/24	Kentucky	28	Florida	49
2004	09/25	Florida	20	Kentucky	3
2003	09/27	Kentucky	21	Florida	24
2002	09/28	Florida	41	Kentucky	34
2001	09/22	Kentucky	10	Florida	44
2000	09/22	Florida	59	Kentucky	31

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kentucky	5	8	6 Overs
Florida	21	5	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 12	8 - 5	3 - 3	5 - 2
Road Teams	12 - 14	5 - 8	2 - 5	3 - 3

(#19) FLA at (#51) UK

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FLA	UK
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#19	#51
SP+SP+	#63	#66
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#14	#45
Blue ChipsBC%	#12	#23

Florida Injury Report

Kentucky Injury Report

Florida on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	FLA Off	UK Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#83	#97
ExplosiveExp	#130	#57
PPAPPA	#87	#85
PowerPwr	#24	#57
SP+SP+	#89	#48
Pts POPPO	#41	#99
HavocHav	#61	#93

Florida Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	FLA Off	UK Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#36	#84
Run ExplRExp	#129	#41
PPAExp	#55	#63
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#18	#71
Stuff RateStuff	#22	#53
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	FLA Off	UK Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#112	#112
Pass ExplPExl	#82	#64
PPAExp	#110	#99
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#74	#57
DB HavocDB	#55	#110

Kentucky on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	UK Off	FLA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#81	#90
ExplosiveExp	#128	#68
PPAPPA	#115	#84
PowerPwr	#42	#14
SP+SP+	#80	#43
Pts POPPO	#57	#53
HavocHav	#110	#98

Kentucky Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	UK Off	FLA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#53	#71
Run ExplRExp	#124	#52
PPAExp	#98	#57
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#51	#50
Stuff RateStuff	#51	#91
TackleTak	-	NR

Kentucky Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	UK Off	FLA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#96	#109
Pass ExplPExl	#59	#86
PPAExp	#101	#94
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#111	#86
DB HavocDB	#95	#90

Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Down to Top G5

FLA 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Kentucky beat Florida last year (38-7)
Florida beat Kentucky in 2024 (48-20)
Kentucky beat Florida in 2023 (33-14)

FLA's OC Buster Faulkner (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tramell Jones Jr.	21	35	60%	191	2	0	5.5
Aaron Philo (Tr)	21	28	75%	373	1	1	13.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jadan Baugh	220	1170	8	5.3	26
London Montgomery (Tr)	156	742	7	4.8	51
Evan Pryor (Tr)	76	522	3	6.9	46
Eric Singleton Jr. (Tr)	14	61	0	4.4	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eric Singleton Jr. (Tr)	58	534	3	9.2	48
Vernell Brown III	40	524	0	13.1	60
Micah Mays Jr. (Tr)	18	302	2	16.8	52
Evan Chieca (Tr)	31	255	4	8.2	34

View Florida's Full Roster

FLA's DC Brad White (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Myles Graham	76	7	2	7	4
Bryce Thornton	56	3	1	5	6
Aaron Chiles	52	3	1	1	1
Jaden Robinson	51	4	2	4	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Emmanuel Oybadejo	41	7	5	6	5
Jayden Woods	27	5	4	3	1
Kamran James	44	5	3	3	2
Brendan Bett	40	4	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryce Thornton	56	3	1	5	6
Emmanuel Oybadejo	41	7	5	6	5
Myles Graham	76	7	2	7	4

UK's OC Joe Sloan (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kenny Minchey (Tr)	20	26	77%	196	0	0	7.5
JacQai Long (Tr)	6	18	33%	31	0	0	1.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jason Patterson	57	225	1	3.9	29
CJ Baxter Jr.	54	196	0	3.6	18
Kenny Minchey (Tr)	7	84	1	12.0	34
Jovantae Barnes (Tr)	19	45	1	2.4	10

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Willie Rodriguez	23	310	1	13.5	53
Josh Kattus	17	195	2	11.5	34
Xavier Daisy (Tr)	18	177	1	9.8	21
DJ Miller	13	175	2	13.5	56

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC Jay Bateman (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ty Bryant	76	2	0	0	1
Jordan Castell (Tr)	54	0	0	2	0
Grant Godfrey	34	2	1	1	0
Mi'Quise Grace	31	7	4	6	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mi'Quise Grace	31	7	4	6	2
Tavion Gadson	28	4	3	3	0
Lorenzo Cowan	13	5	3	0	0
Jamarrion Harkless (Tr)	13	2	3	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Terhyon Nichols	18	1	0	2	4
Grant Grayton	16	0	0	0	3
Mi'Quise Grace	31	7	4	6	2