Florida at Auburn - 2026 Matchup Preview
Florida logo Florida Gators at Auburn TigersAuburn logo
Saturday, September 19th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Jordan-Hare Stadium - Auburn, AL

 
Gators (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 24 (13 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#96)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
AUB 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Auburn -6  (SP+ AUB -8)
Projected Score: FLA: 20 - AUB: 26 (45)
AUB Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
FLA Travel: 276 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Tigers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (26 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#84)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Florida's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Florida vs Florida Atlantic-22
Sat 9/12 Florida vs Campbell-33
Sat 9/19 Florida at Auburn+6
Sat 9/26 Florida vs Ole Miss+8.5
Sat 10/3 Florida at Missouri+10.5
Sat 10/10 Florida vs South Carolina-2.5
Sat 10/17 Florida at Texas+14.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Florida at Georgia+19.5
Sat 11/7 Florida vs Oklahoma+8
Sat 11/14 Florida at Kentucky-4
Sat 11/21 Florida vs Vanderbilt+4.5
Fri 11/27 Florida at Florida State+1

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida's Schedule
Auburn's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Auburn vs Baylor-13
Sat 9/12 Auburn vs Southern Miss-24.5
Sat 9/19 Auburn vs Florida-6
Sat 9/26 Auburn vs Vanderbilt+1.5
Sat 10/3 Auburn at Tennessee+5.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 Auburn at Georgia+16
Sat 10/24 Auburn vs LSU+2
Sat 10/31 Auburn at Ole Miss+10
Sat 11/7 Auburn vs Arkansas-11.5
Sat 11/14 Auburn at Mississippi State-4
Sat 11/21 Auburn vs Samford-36.5
Sat 11/28 Auburn at Alabama+7.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FLA#87 (.14)42% (83)21.647% (36)3.26 (18)13738% (112)2054 (41)#84 (.18)43% (90)2443% (71)44% (109)3.46 (53)43.71.51.4
AUB#72 (.17)43% (56)26.847% (30)3.19 (23)17740% (90)1973.9 (51)#19 (.07)38% (26)20.733% (5)44% (99)3.37 (42)63.70.71.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
AUB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FLA Offense1221.61341.6%41.5193411372054.347%52%47%38%15%.14
AUB Defense1220.716.438.3%3.371.4 - - - - - 48%51%33%44%17%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FLA Defense122430.443.3%3.461.4 - - - - - 53%45%43%44%15%.18
AUB Offense1226.826.443.4%3.90.7213741771974.751%48%47%40%17%.17

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida1229:461934%42%5.143.71.51.452.1027.7
Auburn1229:2520.839%52%7.863.70.71.46.62.6326.8
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FLA Offense1247% (87)47% (36)32136.84.310 (122).14 (55)3.26 (18)76% (42)10% (74)0.8 (129)
AUB Defense1248% (44)33% (5) - - - - -.11 (2)2.25 (4)70% (59)11% (20)0.89 (29)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FLA Defense1253% (106)43% (71) - - - - .08 (57)2.79 (50)79% (115)9% (86)0.93 (52)
AUB Offense1251% (60)47% (30)37.8176.94.723 (36).24 (13)3.19 (23)80% (17)11% (116)1 (54)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FLA Offense1252% (41)38% (112)19.531.2204.66.610.518 (61)14 (127).17 (110)1.5 (82)30% (42)27% (103).24 (93)6% (55)1.9 (97)
AUB Defense1251% (97)44% (99) - - - - - - 11 (75).27 (80)1.6 (81)32% (54)31% (90).3 (70)5% (90)2 (59)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FLA Defense1245% (27)44% (109) - - - - - - 10 (38).3 (94)1.6 (86)31% (86)28% (48).3 (72)5% (90)2.3 (131)
AUB Offense1248% (78)40% (90)18.430.2197.16.510.711 (121)4 (3).13 (120)1.3 (134)31% (61)27% (106).21 (105)6% (51)2 (87)

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 15.32  #19
Florida's Offense Rating: 17.17  #24
Florida's Defense Rating: 6.85  #14
2026 Talent Rating: 982.00  #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 52%  #12
Florida's 2026 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Florida's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.5  #63
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5  #89
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6  #43

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida: 15.32   Auburn: 15.33

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida: 3.5   Auburn: 11.6




Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 15.33  #21
Auburn's Offense Rating: 16.44  #28
Auburn's Defense Rating: 7.38  #18
2026 Talent Rating: 950.00  #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 52  #12
Auburn's 2026 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Auburn's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.6  #29
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3  #59
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.4  #16

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Florida Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.4

Florida's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Auburn 26
Florida 20

Projected Total Points: 45
Auburn Scoring
Offense: 26.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.4
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.4

Auburn's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201910/05Florida24Auburn13Auburn -2.5Florida48.5Under
201110/15Auburn17Florida6
200709/29Florida17Auburn20
200610/14Auburn27Florida17
200210/19Florida30Auburn23
200110/13Auburn23Florida20
200010/13Florida38Auburn7
200012/01Florida28Auburn6
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Auburn400 Overs
Florida411 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams1 - 70 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#19) FLA at (#21) AUB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFLAAUB
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #19 #21
SP+SP+ #63 #29
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #14 #21
Blue ChipsBC% #12 #12
Florida on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
FLA OffAUB Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #83 #26
ExplosiveExp #130 #89
PPAPPA #87 #19
PowerPwr #24 #18
SP+SP+ #89 #16
Pts POPPO #41 #42
HavocHav #61 #50
Florida Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
FLA OffAUB Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #36 #5
Run ExplRExp #129 #29
PPAExp #55 #2
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #18 #4
Stuff RateStuff #22 #5
TackleTak - NR
Florida Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
FLA OffAUB Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #112 #99
Pass ExplPExl #82 #81
PPAExp #110 #80
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #74 #20
DB HavocDB #55 #90
Auburn on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatAUB OffFLA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #56 #90
ExplosiveExp #131 #68
PPAPPA #72 #84
PowerPwr #28 #14
SP+SP+ #59 #43
Pts POPPO #51 #53
HavocHav #99 #98
Auburn Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
AUB OffFLA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #30 #71
Run ExplRExp #54 #52
PPAExp #13 #57
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #23 #50
Stuff RateStuff #20 #91
TackleTak - NR
Auburn Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatAUB OffFLA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #90 #109
Pass ExplPExl #134 #86
PPAExp #120 #94
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #116 #86
DB HavocDB #51 #90
Program Comparison
AUB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'26 Profile: Remains Average P4

FLA 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
FLA's OC Buster Faulkner (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tramell Jones Jr.213560%191205.5
Aaron Philo (Tr)212875%3731113.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jadan Baugh220117085.326
London Montgomery (Tr)15674274.851
Evan Pryor (Tr)7652236.946
Eric Singleton Jr. (Tr)146104.416
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric Singleton Jr. (Tr)5853439.248
Vernell Brown III40524013.160
Micah Mays Jr. (Tr)18302216.852
Evan Chieca (Tr)3125548.234

View Florida's Full Roster

FLA's DC Brad White (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myles Graham767274
Bryce Thornton563156
Aaron Chiles523111
Jaden Robinson514243
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Emmanuel Oybadejo417565
Jayden Woods275431
Kamran James445332
Brendan Bett404310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Thornton563156
Emmanuel Oybadejo417565
Myles Graham767274

AUB's OC Kodi Burns (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Byrum Brown (Tr)22634166%31582879.3
Tristan Ti'a (Tr)375370%385327.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Byrum Brown (Tr)1751008145.860
Jeremiah Cobb17596955.546
Bryson Washington (Tr)15478865.141
Tae Meadows (Tr)15969564.447
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keshaun Singleton (Tr)50877817.566
Jeremiah Koger (Tr)38597815.763
Chas Nimrod (Tr)23466320.355
Christian Neptune (Tr)3833518.843

View Auburn's Full Roster

AUB's DC D. J. Durkin (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Atkins8417971
Fred Gaskin (Tr)533112
Kaleb Harris502101
Cody Sigler (Tr)347566
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Atkins8417971
Cody Sigler (Tr)347566
Jared Smith54210
Da'Shawn Womack (Tr)275270
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andre Jordan1900010
Cody Sigler (Tr)347566
Sylvester Smith282003