Vanderbilt at Florida - 2026 Matchup Preview
Vanderbilt logo Vanderbilt Commodores at Florida GatorsFlorida logo
Saturday, November 21st 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium - Gainesville, FL

 
Commodores (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (26 - 36)
Avg Score : 39 - 23 (33 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 2.4 (#14)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FLA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Vanderbilt -4.5  (SP+ VAN -17)
Projected Score: VAN: 28 - FLA: 24 (52)
VAN Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
VAN Travel: 518 miles, 1 hrs behind
Gators (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 24 (29 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#96)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Vanderbilt's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Vanderbilt vs Austin Peay-40
Sat 9/12 Vanderbilt vs Delaware-33
Sat 9/19 Vanderbilt vs NC State-12
Sat 9/26 Vanderbilt at Auburn-1.5
Sat 10/3 Vanderbilt at Georgia+12.5
Sat 10/10 Vanderbilt vs Ole Miss+1.5
Sat 10/17 Vanderbilt vs Arkansas-15
Sat 10/24 Vanderbilt at Kentucky-11.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 Vanderbilt at Mississippi State-7.5
Sat 11/14 Vanderbilt vs Alabama-1.5
Sat 11/21 Vanderbilt at Florida-4.5
Sat 11/28 Vanderbilt vs Tennessee-3

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule
Florida's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Florida vs Florida Atlantic-22
Sat 9/12 Florida vs Campbell-33
Sat 9/19 Florida at Auburn+6
Sat 9/26 Florida vs Ole Miss+8.5
Sat 10/3 Florida at Missouri+10.5
Sat 10/10 Florida vs South Carolina-2.5
Sat 10/17 Florida at Texas+14.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Florida at Georgia+19.5
Sat 11/7 Florida vs Oklahoma+8
Sat 11/14 Florida at Kentucky-4
Sat 11/21 Florida vs Vanderbilt+4.5
Fri 11/27 Florida at Florida State+1

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN#1 (.44)52% (1)38.550% (8)3.37 (9)17654% (3)2875 (3)#99 (.2)42% (68)22.840% (46)43% (91)3.9 (90)59.70.91.2
FLA#87 (.14)42% (83)21.647% (36)3.26 (18)13738% (112)2054 (41)#84 (.18)43% (90)2443% (71)44% (109)3.46 (53)43.71.51.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Offense1338.53351.9%50.9244631762875.747%52%50%54%13%.44
FLA Defense122418.743.3%3.461.4 - - - - - 53%45%43%44%15%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Defense1322.82341.7%3.91.2 - - - - - 44%54%40%43%17%.2
FLA Offense1221.62941.6%41.5193411372054.347%52%47%38%15%.14

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Vanderbilt1331:1824.151%56%6.859.70.91.26.22.4129.5
Florida1229:461934%42%5.143.71.51.452.1027.7
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Offense1347% (92)50% (8)30.9175.95.735 (4).35 (1)3.37 (9)76% (38)8% (30)1.21 (2)
FLA Defense1253% (106)43% (71) - - - - .08 (57)2.79 (50)79% (115)9% (86)0.93 (52)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Defense1344% (11)40% (46) - - - - .04 (31)2.66 (24)72% (75)11% (20)0.93 (54)
FLA Offense1247% (87)47% (36)32136.84.310 (122).14 (55)3.26 (18)76% (42)10% (74)0.8 (129)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Offense1352% (44)54% (3)21.530.8287.39.313.430 (22)8 (34).55 (1)1.5 (74)26% (13)49% (1).78 (1)5% (28)2 (78)
FLA Defense1245% (27)44% (109) - - - - - - 10 (38).3 (94)1.6 (86)31% (86)28% (48).3 (72)5% (90)2.3 (131)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Defense1354% (124)43% (91) - - - - - - 8 (75).35 (115)1.6 (76)34% (25)30% (78).38 (109)6% (69)2 (78)
FLA Offense1252% (41)38% (112)19.531.2204.66.610.518 (61)14 (127).17 (110)1.5 (82)30% (42)27% (103).24 (93)6% (55)1.9 (97)

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 12.88  #22
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 22.11  #10
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 14.23  #45
2026 Talent Rating: 818.00  #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 6%  #49
Vanderbilt's 2026 Expected Record: 10.6 - 2.4
Vanderbilt's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.3  #11
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.9  #5
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4  #39

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: 12.88   Florida: 11.91

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: 20.3   Florida: 3.5




Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 11.91  #19
Florida's Offense Rating: 17.17  #24
Florida's Defense Rating: 6.85  #14
2026 Talent Rating: 982.00  #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 52  #12
Florida's 2026 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Florida's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.5  #63
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5  #89
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6  #43

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 38.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

Vanderbilt's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Vanderbilt 28
Florida 24

Projected Total Points: 52
Florida Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

Florida's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/07Florida38Vanderbilt14Florida -18Florida51.0Over
202211/19Vanderbilt31Florida24Florida -14Vanderbilt58.0Under
202110/09Florida42Vanderbilt0Florida -39Florida60.5Under
202011/21Vanderbilt17Florida38Florida -31.5Vanderbilt68.5Under
201911/09Florida56Vanderbilt0Florida -26.5Florida50.0Over
201810/13Vanderbilt27Florida37Florida -9.5Florida51.0Over
201709/30Florida38Vanderbilt24Florida -9Florida39.0Over
201610/01Vanderbilt6Florida13Florida -8.5Vanderbilt40.5Under
201511/07Florida9Vanderbilt7Florida -19Vanderbilt38.5Under
201411/08Vanderbilt10Florida34Florida -13.5Florida0
201311/09Florida17Vanderbilt34Florida -10Vanderbilt0
201210/13Vanderbilt17Florida31
201111/05Florida26Vanderbilt21
201011/06Vanderbilt14Florida55
200911/07Florida27Vanderbilt3
200811/08Vanderbilt14Florida42
200711/03Florida49Vanderbilt22
200611/04Vanderbilt19Florida25
200511/05Florida49Vanderbilt42
200411/06Vanderbilt17Florida34
200311/08Florida35Vanderbilt17
200211/09Vanderbilt17Florida21
200111/03Florida71Vanderbilt13
200011/03Vanderbilt20Florida43
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida2264 Overs
Vanderbilt255 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 127 - 44 - 23 - 2
Road Teams12 - 124 - 72 - 32 - 4

(#22) VAN at (#19) FLA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatVANFLA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #22 #19
SP+SP+ #11 #63
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #49 #14
Blue ChipsBC% #49 #12
Vanderbilt on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
VAN OffFLA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #1 #90
ExplosiveExp #9 #68
PPAPPA #1 #84
PowerPwr #10 #14
SP+SP+ #5 #43
Pts POPPO #3 #53
HavocHav #25 #98
Vanderbilt Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
VAN OffFLA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #8 #71
Run ExplRExp #2 #52
PPAExp #1 #57
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #9 #50
Stuff RateStuff #25 #91
TackleTak - NR
Vanderbilt Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
VAN OffFLA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #3 #109
Pass ExplPExl #74 #86
PPAExp #1 #94
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #30 #86
DB HavocDB #28 #90
Florida on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatFLA OffVAN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #83 #68
ExplosiveExp #130 #103
PPAPPA #87 #99
PowerPwr #24 #45
SP+SP+ #89 #39
Pts POPPO #41 #90
HavocHav #61 #39
Florida Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
FLA OffVAN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #36 #46
Run ExplRExp #129 #54
PPAExp #55 #31
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #18 #24
Stuff RateStuff #22 #31
TackleTak - NR
Florida Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatFLA OffVAN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #112 #91
Pass ExplPExl #82 #76
PPAExp #110 #115
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #74 #20
DB HavocDB #55 #69
Program Comparison
FLA 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Down to Top G5

VAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'26 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Florida beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (38-14)

  
VAN's OC Tim Beck (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Blaze Berlowitz91753%131107.7
Whit Muschamp2367%400013.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sedrick Alexander106570115.465
Makhilyn Young4541169.180
Jamezell Lassiter9143215.948
Blaze Berlowitz118117.443
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Junior Sherrill54784714.546
Ja'Cory Thomas (Tr)41714517.455
Jayvontay Conner (Tr)23333314.579
Cole Spence15233215.533

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

VAN's DC Steve Gregory (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Heard714253
Bryan Longwell709142
Talan Carter (Tr)557232
Nicholas Rinaldi477491
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nicholas Rinaldi477491
Bryce Cowan324351
C.J. Heard714253
Talan Carter (Tr)557232
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Heard714253
Ricardo Jones (Tr)391003
Jordan Matthews191003

FLA's OC Buster Faulkner (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tramell Jones Jr.213560%191205.5
Aaron Philo (Tr)212875%3731113.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jadan Baugh220117085.326
London Montgomery (Tr)15674274.851
Evan Pryor (Tr)7652236.946
Eric Singleton Jr. (Tr)146104.416
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric Singleton Jr. (Tr)5853439.248
Vernell Brown III40524013.160
Micah Mays Jr. (Tr)18302216.852
Evan Chieca (Tr)3125548.234

View Florida's Full Roster

FLA's DC Brad White (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myles Graham767274
Bryce Thornton563156
Aaron Chiles523111
Jaden Robinson514243
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Emmanuel Oybadejo417565
Jayden Woods275431
Kamran James445332
Brendan Bett404310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Thornton563156
Emmanuel Oybadejo417565
Myles Graham767274