Alabama at Kentucky - 2026 Matchup Preview

Alabama Crimson Tide at Kentucky Wildcats

Saturday, September 12th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Commonwealth Stadium - Lexington, KY

Crimson Tide (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (20 - 8)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (26 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.3 - 3.7 (#10)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UK 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Alabama -12.5 (SP+ ALA -13)
Projected Score: ALA: 31 - UK: 19 (50)
ALA Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
ALA Travel: 374 miles, 1 hrs behind

Wildcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Will Stein (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (32 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#84)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ALA Players
UK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Alabama's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Alabama vs East Carolina	-18.5
Sat 9/12	Alabama at Kentucky	-12.5
Sat 9/19	Alabama vs Florida State	-12.5
Sat 9/26	Alabama vs South Carolina	-11
Sat 10/3	Alabama at Mississippi State	-9
Sat 10/10	Alabama vs Georgia	+6.5
Sat 10/17	Alabama at Tennessee	+0.5
Sat 10/24	Alabama vs Texas A&M	+3
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7	Alabama at LSU	+2
Sat 11/14	Alabama at Vanderbilt	+1.5
Sat 11/21	Alabama vs Chattanooga	-41.5
Sat 11/28	Alabama vs Auburn	-7.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule

Kentucky's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Kentucky vs Youngstown State	-26
Sat 9/12	Kentucky vs Alabama	+12.5
Sat 9/19	Kentucky at Texas A&M	+23
Sat 9/26	Kentucky vs South Alabama	-17
Sat 10/3	Kentucky at South Carolina	+9
Sat 10/10	Kentucky vs LSU	+12
Sat 10/17	Kentucky at Oklahoma	+20
Sat 10/24	Kentucky vs Vanderbilt	+11.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7	Kentucky at Tennessee	+15.5
Sat 11/14	Kentucky vs Florida	+4
Sat 11/21	Kentucky at Missouri	+17
Sat 11/28	Kentucky vs Louisville	+5.5

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ALA	#48 (.2)	43% (62)	29.5	40% (103)	2.73 (109)	104	45% (33)	264	4.04 (38)	#27 (.08)	38% (23)	19.2	39% (31)	38% (33)	3.65 (66)	39.4	0.9	1.3
UK	#115 (.08)	42% (81)	23	45% (53)	3.05 (51)	139	40% (96)	202	3.84 (57)	#85 (.18)	44% (97)	26.4	44% (84)	45% (112)	3.98 (99)	41	1.8	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ALA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ALA Offense	15	29.5	26.3	42.7%	4.04	0.9	20	368	104	264	3.4	43%	56%	40%	45%	14%	.2
UK Defense	12	26.4	22.6	43.7%	3.98	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	44%	45%	15%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ALA Defense	15	19.2	23.7	37.9%	3.65	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	39%	38%	18%	.08
UK Offense	12	23	31.7	41.6%	3.84	1.8	20	341	139	202	3.9	51%	47%	45%	40%	18%	.08

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Alabama	15	31:34	20.3	42%	61%	4.5	39.4	0.9	1.3	5.7	2.2	3	30.3
Kentucky	12	30:38	19.7	40%	52%	4.9	41	1.8	1.2	5.8	2.1	0	29.6

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ALA Offense	15	43% (118)	40% (103)	31	104.2	3.4	21 (99)	.02 (115)	2.73 (109)	67% (100)	8% (33)	0.83 (122)
UK Defense	12	52% (94)	44% (84)	-	-	-	-	.09 (63)	2.89 (71)	68% (44)	10% (57)	0.9 (41)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ALA Defense	15	50% (74)	39% (31)	-	-	-	-	.1 (66)	2.81 (53)	75% (101)	11% (19)	1 (91)
UK Offense	12	51% (52)	45% (53)	35.9	139.3	3.9	19 (70)	.06 (98)	3.05 (51)	70% (84)	11% (111)	0.82 (124)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ALA Offense	15	56% (15)	45% (33)	22.9	34.9	263.5	7.6	11.5	32 (2)	5 (3)	.35 (37)	1.6 (54)	30% (49)	33% (30)	.4 (29)	5% (42)	2 (72)
UK Defense	12	46% (37)	45% (112)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (38)	.31 (99)	1.5 (64)	30% (91)	31% (85)	.31 (76)	5% (110)	2 (53)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ALA Defense	15	48% (60)	38% (33)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (31)	.11 (17)	1.5 (50)	35% (19)	28% (46)	.25 (53)	6% (47)	2 (72)
UK Offense	12	47% (85)	40% (96)	19.1	30.6	201.9	6.6	10.6	15 (128)	14 (60)	.19 (101)	1.6 (59)	31% (62)	26% (113)	.02 (134)	7% (95)	1.7 (131)

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 20.70 #13
Alabama's Offense Rating: 18.92 #18
Alabama's Defense Rating: 3.22 #13
2026 Talent Rating: 1016.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 73% #2
Alabama's 2026 Expected Record: 11.3 - 3.7
Alabama's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.8 #20
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2 #36
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.1 #11

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 20.70 Kentucky: 5.19

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 14.8 Kentucky: 1.8

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 5.19 #51
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 13.98 #42
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 15.40 #57
2026 Talent Rating: 826.00 #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 25 #23
Kentucky's 2026 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Kentucky's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.8 #66
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #80
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #48

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.7

Alabama's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Alabama 31
Kentucky 19

Projected Total Points: 50

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.7
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.6

Kentucky's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/11	Kentucky	21	Alabama	49	Alabama -10	Alabama	45.5	Over
2020	11/21	Alabama	63	Kentucky	3	Alabama -31.5	Alabama	57.5	Over
2016	10/01	Alabama	34	Kentucky	6	Alabama -32.5	Kentucky	54.5	Under
2013	10/12	Kentucky	7	Alabama	48	Alabama -27	Alabama	0
2009	10/03	Kentucky	20	Alabama	38
2008	10/04	Alabama	17	Kentucky	14
2004	10/09	Kentucky	17	Alabama	45
2003	09/13	Alabama	27	Kentucky	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kentucky	0	1	2 Overs
Alabama	8	3	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 4	1 - 3	1 - 1	0 - 2
Road Teams	4 - 4	3 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 1

(#13) ALA at (#51) UK

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ALA	UK
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#13	#51
SP+SP+	#20	#66
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#11	#45
Blue ChipsBC%	#2	#23

Alabama Injury Report

Kentucky Injury Report

Alabama on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	ALA Off	UK Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#62	#97
ExplosiveExp	#50	#57
PPAPPA	#48	#85
PowerPwr	#18	#57
SP+SP+	#36	#48
Pts POPPO	#38	#99
HavocHav	#39	#93

Alabama Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	ALA Off	UK Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#103	#84
Run ExplRExp	#122	#41
PPAExp	#115	#63
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#109	#71
Stuff RateStuff	#109	#53
TackleTak	-	NR

Alabama Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	ALA Off	UK Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#33	#112
Pass ExplPExl	#54	#64
PPAExp	#37	#99
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#33	#57
DB HavocDB	#42	#110

Kentucky on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	UK Off	ALA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#81	#23
ExplosiveExp	#128	#61
PPAPPA	#115	#27
PowerPwr	#42	#13
SP+SP+	#80	#11
Pts POPPO	#57	#66
HavocHav	#110	#26

Kentucky Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	UK Off	ALA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#53	#31
Run ExplRExp	#124	#91
PPAExp	#98	#66
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#51	#53
Stuff RateStuff	#51	#66
TackleTak	-	NR

Kentucky Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	UK Off	ALA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#96	#33
Pass ExplPExl	#59	#50
PPAExp	#101	#17
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#111	#19
DB HavocDB	#95	#47

Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Down to Top G5

ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'26 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Kentucky in 2023 (49-21)

ALA's OC Ryan Grubb (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Austin Mack	24	32	75%	228	2	0	7.1
Keelon Russell	11	15	73%	143	2	0	9.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Daniel Hill	75	284	6	3.8	30
Kevin Riley	59	224	2	3.8	22
AK Dear	19	140	3	7.4	56
Austin Mack	9	22	1	2.4	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ryan Williams	49	689	4	14.1	75
Lotzeir Brooks	32	441	2	13.8	53
Noah Rogers (Tr)	31	413	2	13.3	48
Daniel Hill	28	203	1	7.3	41

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC Kane Wommack (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brayson Hubbard	74	5	2	1	8
Caleb Woodson (Tr)	57	3	0	1	1
Keon Sabb	52	3	2	1	3
Yhonzae Pierre	52	15	8	8	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Yhonzae Pierre	52	15	8	8	1
Devan Thompkins (Tr)	30	7	3	1	2
Brayson Hubbard	74	5	2	1	8
Keon Sabb	52	3	2	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brayson Hubbard	74	5	2	1	8
Zabien Brown	39	3	0	0	6
Dijon Lee Jr.	32	5	0	0	5

UK's OC Joe Sloan (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kenny Minchey (Tr)	20	26	77%	196	0	0	7.5
JacQai Long (Tr)	6	18	33%	31	0	0	1.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jason Patterson	57	225	1	3.9	29
CJ Baxter Jr.	54	196	0	3.6	18
Kenny Minchey (Tr)	7	84	1	12.0	34
Jovantae Barnes (Tr)	19	45	1	2.4	10

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Willie Rodriguez	23	310	1	13.5	53
Josh Kattus	17	195	2	11.5	34
Xavier Daisy (Tr)	18	177	1	9.8	21
DJ Miller	13	175	2	13.5	56

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC Jay Bateman (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ty Bryant	76	2	0	0	1
Jordan Castell (Tr)	54	0	0	2	0
Grant Godfrey	34	2	1	1	0
Mi'Quise Grace	31	7	4	6	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mi'Quise Grace	31	7	4	6	2
Tavion Gadson	28	4	3	3	0
Lorenzo Cowan	13	5	3	0	0
Jamarrion Harkless (Tr)	13	2	3	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Terhyon Nichols	18	1	0	2	4
Grant Grayton	16	0	0	0	3
Mi'Quise Grace	31	7	4	6	2