Florida Atlantic at Florida - 2026 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 5th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium - Gainesville, FL

Owls (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Zach Kittley (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 30 - 36 (22 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#96)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Florida -22 (SP+ FLA -12)
Projected Score: FAU: 17 - FLA: 39 (55)
FLA Win prob: 96% | Cover: 52%
FAU Travel: 264 miles

Gators (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 24 (29 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#96)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FAU Players
FLA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida Atlantic's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Florida Atlantic at Florida	+22

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule

Florida's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Florida vs Florida Atlantic	-22
Sat 9/12	Florida vs Campbell	-33
Sat 9/19	Florida at Auburn	+6
Sat 9/26	Florida vs Ole Miss	+8.5
Sat 10/3	Florida at Missouri	+10.5
Sat 10/10	Florida vs South Carolina	-2.5
Sat 10/17	Florida at Texas	+14.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31	Florida at Georgia	+19.5
Sat 11/7	Florida vs Oklahoma	+8
Sat 11/14	Florida at Kentucky	-4
Sat 11/21	Florida vs Vanderbilt	+4.5
Fri 11/27	Florida at Florida State	+1

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FAU	#43 (.21)	42% (80)	29.5	40% (97)	2.76 (104)	105	43% (55)	341	3.49 (93)	#123 (.26)	45% (121)	36.3	49% (127)	42% (76)	4.58 (132)	56	2.4	0.7
FLA	#87 (.14)	42% (83)	21.6	47% (36)	3.26 (18)	137	38% (112)	205	4 (41)	#84 (.18)	43% (90)	24	43% (71)	44% (109)	3.46 (53)	43.7	1.5	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FAU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FAU Offense	12	29.5	21.8	41.7%	3.49	2.4	25	446	105	341	3.6	36%	62%	40%	43%	18%	.21
FLA Defense	12	24	18.7	43.3%	3.46	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	43%	44%	15%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FAU Defense	12	36.3	37.2	45.5%	4.58	0.7	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	49%	42%	14%	.26
FLA Offense	12	21.6	29	41.6%	4	1.5	19	341	137	205	4.3	47%	52%	47%	38%	15%	.14

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida Atlantic	12	28:32	24.8	37%	66%	6.6	56	2.4	0.7	5.4	1.8	2	30.5
Florida	12	29:46	19	34%	42%	5.1	43.7	1.5	1.4	5	2.1	0	27.7

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FAU Offense	12	36% (135)	40% (97)	29.5	105.2	3.6	13 (99)	.04 (108)	2.76 (104)	77% (30)	10% (91)	1.04 (40)
FLA Defense	12	53% (106)	43% (71)	-	-	-	-	.08 (57)	2.79 (50)	79% (115)	9% (86)	0.93 (52)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FAU Defense	12	54% (111)	49% (127)	-	-	-	-	.25 (133)	3.07 (103)	86% (133)	9% (89)	1.09 (122)
FLA Offense	12	47% (87)	47% (36)	32	136.8	4.3	10 (122)	.14 (55)	3.26 (18)	76% (42)	10% (74)	0.8 (129)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FAU Offense	12	62% (4)	43% (55)	32	48.4	340.5	7	10.6	28 (22)	20 (134)	.33 (42)	1.6 (49)	34% (111)	31% (64)	.39 (33)	8% (125)	2.1 (25)
FLA Defense	12	45% (27)	44% (109)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (38)	.3 (94)	1.6 (86)	31% (86)	28% (48)	.3 (72)	5% (90)	2.3 (131)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FAU Defense	12	45% (26)	42% (76)	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	.31 (96)	1.6 (80)	29% (114)	29% (59)	.38 (108)	5% (110)	2.2 (117)
FLA Offense	12	52% (41)	38% (112)	19.5	31.2	204.6	6.6	10.5	18 (61)	14 (127)	.17 (110)	1.5 (82)	30% (42)	27% (103)	.24 (93)	6% (55)	1.9 (97)

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -11.79 #105
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 7.05 #87
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 23.84 #116
2026 Talent Rating: 580.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Florida Atlantic's 2026 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Florida Atlantic's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.7 #98
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #64
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #131

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 534.71
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -11.79 Florida: 11.91

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -8.7 Florida: 3.5

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 11.91 #19
Florida's Offense Rating: 17.17 #24
Florida's Defense Rating: 6.85 #14
2026 Talent Rating: 982.00 #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #12
Florida's 2026 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Florida's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.5 #63
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #89
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #43

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.2

Florida Atlantic's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Florida 39
Florida Atlantic 17

Projected Total Points: 55

Florida Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

Florida's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	09/04	Florida	35	Florida Atlantic	14	Florida -23.5	Florida Atlantic	51.5	Under
2015	11/21	Florida	20	Florida Atlantic	14	Florida -31	Florida Atlantic	45.0	Under
2011	09/03	Florida	41	Florida Atlantic	3
2007	11/17	Florida	59	Florida Atlantic	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida	4	0	0 Overs
Florida Atlantic	0	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 0	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 4	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0

(#105) FAU at (#19) FLA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FAU	FLA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#105	#19
SP+SP+	#98	#63
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#92	#14
Blue ChipsBC%	#88	#12

Florida Atlantic Injury Report

Florida Injury Report

Florida Atlantic on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat	FAU Off	FLA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#80	#90
ExplosiveExp	#7	#68
PPAPPA	#43	#84
PowerPwr	#87	#14
SP+SP+	#64	#43
Pts POPPO	#93	#53
HavocHav	#111	#98

Florida Atlantic Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat	FAU Off	FLA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#97	#71
Run ExplRExp	#40	#52
PPAExp	#108	#57
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#104	#50
Stuff RateStuff	#52	#91
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida Atlantic Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat	FAU Off	FLA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#55	#109
Pass ExplPExl	#49	#86
PPAExp	#42	#94
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#91	#86
DB HavocDB	#125	#90

Florida on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	FLA Off	FAU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#83	#121
ExplosiveExp	#130	#100
PPAPPA	#87	#123
PowerPwr	#24	#116
SP+SP+	#89	#131
Pts POPPO	#41	#132
HavocHav	#61	#106

Florida Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	FLA Off	FAU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#36	#127
Run ExplRExp	#129	#122
PPAExp	#55	#133
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#18	#103
Stuff RateStuff	#22	#122
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	FLA Off	FAU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#112	#76
Pass ExplPExl	#82	#80
PPAExp	#110	#96
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#74	#89
DB HavocDB	#55	#110

Program Comparison
FLA 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Down to Top G5

FAU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

No Matchups Past 4 Years

FAU's OC Zach Kittley (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Caden Veltkamp	345	514	67%	3652	24	17	7.1
Drew Devillier (Tr)	10	21	48%	123	1	0	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kaden Shields-Dutton	83	460	6	5.5	50
RJ Garcia II (Tr)	2	61	0	30.5	38
Easton Messer	3	51	1	17.0	39
Caden Veltkamp	81	45	4	0.6	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Easton Messer	100	1029	6	10.3	55
Dom Henry	40	575	4	14.4	90
RJ Garcia II (Tr)	27	283	0	10.5	28
Branden Hoch	12	177	0	14.8	33

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

FAU's DC Brett Dewhurst (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Leon Hart Jr.	83	5	2	0	1
Khmari Johnson	41	3	0	2	0
Jayden Sweeney	41	2	0	3	4
Gavench Marcelin	32	1	1	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jay Crable (Tr)	28	8	6	4	4
Deshaun Batiste	23	4	4	3	0
Josh Roberts	22	5	3	2	0
Cecil Doggette Jr.	24	7	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jayden Sweeney	41	2	0	3	4
Jay Crable (Tr)	28	8	6	4	4
Derrick Rogers Jr.	10	1	0	0	3

FLA's OC Buster Faulkner (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tramell Jones Jr.	21	35	60%	191	2	0	5.5
Aaron Philo (Tr)	21	28	75%	373	1	1	13.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jadan Baugh	220	1170	8	5.3	26
London Montgomery (Tr)	156	742	7	4.8	51
Evan Pryor (Tr)	76	522	3	6.9	46
Eric Singleton Jr. (Tr)	14	61	0	4.4	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eric Singleton Jr. (Tr)	58	534	3	9.2	48
Vernell Brown III	40	524	0	13.1	60
Micah Mays Jr. (Tr)	18	302	2	16.8	52
Evan Chieca (Tr)	31	255	4	8.2	34

View Florida's Full Roster

FLA's DC Brad White (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Myles Graham	76	7	2	7	4
Bryce Thornton	56	3	1	5	6
Aaron Chiles	52	3	1	1	1
Jaden Robinson	51	4	2	4	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Emmanuel Oybadejo	41	7	5	6	5
Jayden Woods	27	5	4	3	1
Kamran James	44	5	3	3	2
Brendan Bett	40	4	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryce Thornton	56	3	1	5	6
Emmanuel Oybadejo	41	7	5	6	5
Myles Graham	76	7	2	7	4