Southern Miss at Louisiana - 2016 Matchup Preview

Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Saturday, December 17th 2016 (9:00 PM EST)
Southern Mississippi -2 (57.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Southern Miss 28 - Louisiana: 21 (R+L CARRIERS NEW ORLEANS BOWL)

Golden Eagles (7 - 6) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (28 - 28 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ USM -9.5)
Projected Score: USM: 28 - ULL: 28 (56)
USM Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
USM Travel: 105 miles

Ragin' Cajuns (6 - 7) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (30 - 27 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
USM Players
ULL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Southern Miss's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Southern Miss at Kentucky	+7.5	62.0	W 44 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Southern Miss vs Savannah State	-57.0
Sat 9/17	Southern Miss vs Troy	-11.5	61.0	L 31 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/24	Southern Miss at UTEP	-10.0	58.5	W 34 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Southern Miss vs Rice	-21.0	58.5	W 44 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/8	Southern Miss at UTSA	-14.5	53.0	L 32 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/15	Southern Miss at LSU	+21.0	55.0	L 10 - 45	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Southern Miss vs Marshall	-10.0	67.0	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/5	Southern Miss vs Charlotte	-18.0	60.5	L 27 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/12	Southern Miss at Old Dominion	+2.0	63.5	L 35 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/19	Southern Miss at North Texas	-5.5	58.5	L 23 - 29	U	N
Fri 11/25	Southern Miss vs Louisiana Tech	+13.5	71.5	W 39 - 24	U	Y
Sat 12/17	Southern Miss vs Louisiana	-2.0	57.0	W 28 - 21	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule

Louisiana's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Louisiana vs Boise State	+18.0	64.5	L 10 - 45	U	N
Sat 9/10	Louisiana vs McNeese	-4.5
Sat 9/17	Louisiana vs South Alabama	-3.5	53.0	W 28 - 23	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Louisiana at Tulane	+3.0	46.5	L 39 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Louisiana at New Mexico State	-8.0	67.5	L 31 - 37	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/12	Louisiana vs App State	+10.5	50.0	L 0 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/22	Louisiana at Texas State	-11.5	65.0	W 27 - 3	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Louisiana vs Idaho	-7.5	56.0	L 13 - 23	U	N
Thu 11/10	Louisiana at Georgia Southern	+10.5	45.0	W 33 - 26	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Louisiana at Georgia	+21.0	44.5	L 21 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Louisiana vs Arkansas State	+6.5	50.5	W 24 - 19	U	Y
Sat 12/3	Louisiana at UL Monroe	-9.5	53.0	W 30 - 3	U	Y
Sat 12/17	Louisiana vs Southern Miss	+2.0	57.0	L 21 - 28	U	N

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM	.27	44%	28.8	40%	2.84	180	45%	330	3.65	.11	39%	27.4	39%	37%	3.22	66.9	1.8	1.8
ULL	.14	43%	26	45%	3.15	173	39%	208	3.32	.22	41%	29.2	41%	39%	3.74	71.1	1.7	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ULL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Offense	14	28.8	28.4	43.6%	3.65	1.8	23	510	180	330	5	43%	56%	40%	45%	2%	.27
ULL Defense	12	29.2	27.2	40.9%	3.74	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	41%	39%	1%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Defense	14	27.4	27.6	39.4%	3.22	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	47%	50%	39%	37%	3%	.11
ULL Offense	12	26	30.3	43.3%	3.32	1.7	21	380	173	208	4.6	52%	47%	45%	39%	2%	.14

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Southern Miss	14	30:19	23.1	46%	52%	7	66.9	1.8	1.8	0	0	4	32.3
Louisiana	12	30:10	20.5	38%	54%	7.1	71.1	1.7	0.9	0	0	3	31.4

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Offense	14	43%	40%	35.9	179.8	5	31	.1	2.84	65%	0%	1.04
ULL Defense	12	53%	41%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.91	58%	0%	1.02

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Defense	14	47%	39%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.57	72%	0%	0.93
ULL Offense	12	52%	45%	37.6	172.8	4.6	25	.15	3.15	78%	0%	0.95

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Offense	14	56%	45%	24.1	37.9	329.7	8.7	13.7	40	12	.43	1.9	31%	38%	.53	2%	2.2
ULL Defense	12	45%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.36	2	35%	36%	.46	1%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Defense	14	50%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.21	1.7	36%	33%	.27	3%	1.7
ULL Offense	12	47%	39%	18.8	32.2	207.6	6.5	11.1	13	12	.15	1.5	33%	32%	.17	2%	1.5

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Southern Miss's 2016 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.7 #65
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #67
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #78

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: Louisiana: -4.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: 0.7 Louisiana: -8.7

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: -4.35 NR
Louisiana's Offense Rating: NR
Louisiana's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Louisiana's 2016 Expected Record: -
Louisiana's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.7 #98
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #117
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #75

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.6

Southern Miss's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Southern Miss 28
Louisiana 28

Projected Total Points: 56

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.3
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Louisiana's 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	Louisiana	10	Southern Miss	22	Southern Miss -4.5	Southern Miss	54.5	Under
2024	10/05	Southern Miss	13	Louisiana	23	Louisiana -17.5	Southern Miss	57.5	Under
2023	11/09	Louisiana	31	Southern Miss	34	Louisiana -8.5	Southern Miss	51.5	Over
2022	10/27	Southern Miss	39	Louisiana	24	Louisiana -2.5	Southern Miss	42.5	Over
2016	12/17	Louisiana	21	Southern Miss	28	Southern Mississippi -2	Southern Miss	57.0	Under
2008	08/30	Southern Miss	51	Louisiana	21
2003	11/01	Southern Miss	48	Louisiana	3
2001	09/22	Louisiana	10	Southern Miss	35

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisiana	1	0	2 Overs
Southern Miss	7	5	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 5	2 - 3	0 - 1	2 - 2
Road Teams	5 - 3	3 - 2	2 - 2	1 - 0

Southern Miss Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2016	Orleans Bowl	Southern Miss vs Louisiana	-2.0	57.0	W 28 - 21
2015	Dallas Bowl	Southern Miss vs Washington	+8.5		L 31 - 44
2011	Hawaii Bowl	Southern Miss vs Nevada			W 24 - 17
2010	S Bowl	Southern Miss vs Louisville			L 28 - 31

Louisiana Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2016	Orleans Bowl	Louisiana vs Southern Miss	+2.0	57.0	L 21 - 28
2014	Orleans Bowl	Louisiana vs Nevada	+1.5	62.5	W 16 - 3
2013	Orleans Bowl	Louisiana vs Tulane	+1.0	49.5	W 24 - 21
2012	Orleans Bowl	Louisiana vs East Carolina			W 43 - 34
2011	Orleans Bowl	Louisiana vs San Diego State			W 32 - 30

(#) USM at (#) ULL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USM	ULL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#65	#98
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#83	#88
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Southern Miss Injury Report

Louisiana Injury Report

Southern Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	USM Off	ULL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#67	#75
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Southern Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	ULL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Southern Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	ULL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Louisiana on Offense


CategoryCat	ULL Off	USM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#117	#78
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisiana Run Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	USM Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Louisiana Pass Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	USM Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ULL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

USM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Caesers Superdome
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Southern Miss 2.0 (57.0)
Southern Miss won at Louisiana this year (28-21)

Previous Matchups
Southern Miss beat Louisiana last year (22-10)
Louisiana beat Southern Miss in 2024 (23-13)
Southern Miss beat Louisiana in 2023 (34-31)

USM's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ULL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD