Toledo at Ohio State - 2022 Matchup Preview
Toledo logo   Toledo Rockets at Ohio State Buckeyes  Ohio State logo
Saturday, September 17th 2022 (7:00 PM EDT)
Ohio State -34.5 (63.0)
Ohio State 77 - Toledo: 21

 
Rockets (9 - 5) (5 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (45 - 27)
Avg Score : 31 - 13 (17 - 17 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
OSU 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -20  (SP+ OSU -35)
Projected Score: TOL: 16 - OSU: 26 (42)
OSU Win prob: 100% | Cover: 58%
TOL Travel: 119 miles
Buckeyes (11 - 2) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Ryan Day (34 - 4)
Avg Score : 33 - 9 (42 - 7 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Toledo's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Toledo vs Long Island University-47.557.0W 37 - 0UN
Sat 9/10 Toledo vs Massachusetts-28.049.0W 55 - 10OY
Sat 9/17 Toledo at Ohio State+34.563.0L 21 - 77ON
Sat 9/24 Toledo at San Diego State-2.544.5L 14 - 17UN
Sat 10/1 Toledo vs Central Michigan-6.556.0W 38 - 17UY
Sat 10/8 Toledo at Northern Illinois-6.559.0W 52 - 32OY
Sat 10/15 Toledo vs Kent State-7.062.5W 52 - 31OY
Sat 10/22 Toledo at Buffalo-7.056.0L 27 - 34ON
Sat 10/29 Toledo at Eastern Michigan-4.054.0W 27 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/8 Toledo vs Ball State-11.050.0W 28 - 21UN
Tue 11/15 Toledo vs Bowling Green-14.547.0L 35 - 42ON
Fri 11/25 Toledo at Western Michigan-8.550.5L 14 - 20UN
Sat 12/3 Toledo vs Ohio-3.554.5W 17 - 7UY
Tue 12/20 Toledo vs Liberty-4.051.5W 21 - 19UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Ohio State's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Ohio State vs Notre Dame-17.058.5W 21 - 10UN
Sat 9/10 Ohio State vs Arkansas State-44.568.5W 45 - 12UN
Sat 9/17 Ohio State vs Toledo-34.563.0W 77 - 21OY
Sat 9/24 Ohio State vs Wisconsin-19.056.5W 52 - 21OY
Sat 10/1 Ohio State vs Rutgers-39.058.0W 49 - 10ON
Sat 10/8 Ohio State at Michigan State-27.064.5W 49 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Ohio State vs Iowa-29.550.0W 54 - 10OY
Sat 10/29 Ohio State at Penn State-15.560.5W 44 - 31ON
Sat 11/5 Ohio State at Northwestern-37.555.0W 21 - 7UN
Sat 11/12 Ohio State vs Indiana-40.062.0W 56 - 14OY
Sat 11/19 Ohio State at Maryland-26.562.5W 43 - 30ON
Sat 11/26 Ohio State vs Michigan-9.056.0L 23 - 45ON
Sat 12/31 Ohio State vs Georgia+5.562.0L 41 - 42OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL.2940%30.845%3.519636%2394.04.0936%13.336%37%3.2290.20.51.5
OSU.4753%33.448%3.2918057%3814.88.1843%9.343%44%3.6659.20.81.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
OSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1330.817.340.2%4.040.5214351962395.449%51%45%36%17%.29
OSU Defense139.37.443.4%3.661.6 - - - - - 46%54%43%44%19%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Defense1313.316.736.2%3.221.5 - - - - - 52%48%36%37%20%.09
OSU Offense1333.441.653.5%4.880.8275611803815.541%59%48%57%11%.47

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1328:2020.835%43%1090.20.51.56.82.9529.4
Ohio State1329:2226.852%58%6.559.20.81.66.42.8429.6
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1349%45%36.3196.45.429.353.577%11%1.33
OSU Defense1346%43% - - - - .092.7475%11%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Defense1352%36% - - - - .073.0763%12%1.07
OSU Offense1341%48%32.5180.35.524.233.2967%6%1.02

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1351%36%17.430239.1813.8223.241.836%25%.276%2.3
OSU Defense1354%44% - - - - - - 12.251.531%34%.298%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Defense1348%37% - - - - - - 8.181.635%27%.248%2.2
OSU Offense1359%57%26.838380.91014.2468.631.626%40%.684%2.1

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Toledo's 2022 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.7  #82
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #68
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #69

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Ohio State: 18.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: -3.7   Ohio State: 31.1




Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 18.05 NR
Ohio State's Offense Rating: NR
Ohio State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ohio State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Ohio State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 31.1  #3
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 45.1  #4
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.7  #15

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Toledo Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.3
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 16.7

Toledo's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio State 26
Toledo 16

Projected Total Points: 42
Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 33.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.6
Defense: 9.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 7.4

Ohio State's 2022 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record at home: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/17Ohio State77Toledo21Ohio State -34.5Ohio State63.0Over
201109/10Ohio State27Toledo22
200909/19Toledo0Ohio State38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ohio State311 Overs
Toledo000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 11 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams1 - 20 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) TOL at (#) OSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTOLOSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #82 #3
Perf GradeGrade #47 #1
OffenseOff #81 #1
DefenseDef #5 #6
Spec TeamsST #135 #92
TalentTal #80 #3
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCat
TOL OffOSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #81 #6
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #68 #15
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffOSU Def
Run GameRun #100 #14
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #81 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #33
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffOSU Def
Pass GamePass #64 #22
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #120 #7
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Ohio State on Offense
CategoryCatOSU OffTOL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #1 #5
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #4 #69
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ohio State Run Game
CategoryCat
OSU OffTOL Def
Run GameRun #13 #8
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #4 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #26
Ohio State Pass Game
CategoryCatOSU OffTOL Def
Pass GamePass #6 #6
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #26 #21
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
OSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'22 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

TOL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'22 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ohio Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Ohio State -34.5 (63.0)
Ohio State won vs Toledo this year (77-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
TOL's OC Mike Hallett (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TOL's DC Vince Kehres (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

OSU's OC Kevin Wilson (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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OSU's DC Jim Knowles (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD