Toledo at Eastern Michigan - 2022 Matchup Preview
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Toledo Rockets at Eastern Michigan Eagles

Eastern Michigan logo
Saturday, October 29th 2022 (12:00 PM EDT)
Toledo -4 (54.0)
Toledo 27 - Eastern Michigan: 24  (Mid-American)

 
Rockets (9 - 5) (5 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (45 - 27)
Avg Score : 31 - 13 (17 - 17 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TOL 2nd straight Road Game
EMU is playing their 9th straight game
TOL is playing their 9th straight game
Our Line: -1  (SP+ TOL -3.5)
Projected Score: TOL: 26 - EMU: 20 (46)
TOL Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
TOL Travel: 41 miles
Eagles (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Chris Creighton (37 - 57)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (24 - 25 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Toledo's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1Toledo vs Long Island University-47.5W37–057.0W37–0UN
Sat 9/10Toledo vs Massachusetts-28.0W55–1049.0W55–10OY
Sat 9/17Toledo at Ohio State+34.5L21–7763.0L21–77ON
Sat 9/24Toledo at San Diego State-2.5L14–1744.5L14–17UN
Sat 10/1Toledo vs Central Michigan-6.5W38–1756.0W38–17UY
Sat 10/8Toledo at Northern Illinois-6.5W52–3259.0W52–32OY
Sat 10/15Toledo vs Kent State-7.0W52–3162.5W52–31OY
Sat 10/22Toledo at Buffalo-7.0L27–3456.0L27–34ON
Sat 10/29Toledo at Eastern Michigan-4.0W27–2454.0W27–24UN
— Bye Week —
Tue 11/8Toledo vs Ball State-11.0W28–2150.0W28–21UN
Tue 11/15Toledo vs Bowling Green-14.5L35–4247.0L35–42ON
Fri 11/25Toledo at Western Michigan-8.5L14–2050.5L14–20UN
Sat 12/3Toledo vs Ohio-3.5W17–754.5W17–7UY
Tue 12/20Toledo vs Liberty-4.0W21–1951.5W21–19UN
Record: 9–5ATS: 5–9O/U: 6–8Projected spreads in italics

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Eastern Michigan's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2Eastern Michigan vs Eastern Kentucky-10.5W42–3457.5W42–34ON
Sat 9/10Eastern Michigan at Louisiana+11.0L21–4956.0L21–49ON
Sat 9/17Eastern Michigan at Arizona State+20.5W30–2156.5W30–21UY
Sat 9/24Eastern Michigan vs Buffalo-6.5L31–5057.5L31–50ON
Sat 10/1Eastern Michigan vs Massachusetts-20.0W20–1353.0W20–13UN
Sat 10/8Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan+4.5W45–2355.5W45–23OY
Sat 10/15Eastern Michigan vs Northern Illinois-3.5L10–3964.5L10–39UN
Sat 10/22Eastern Michigan at Ball State+2.5W20–1657.5W20–16UY
Sat 10/29Eastern Michigan vs Toledo+4.0L24–2754.0L24–27UY
— Bye Week —
Tue 11/8Eastern Michigan at Akron-6.5W34–2857.0W34–28ON
Wed 11/16Eastern Michigan at Kent State+7.5W31–2460.0W31–24UY
Fri 11/25Eastern Michigan vs Central Michigan-1.0W38–1953.5W38–19OY
Tue 12/20Eastern Michigan vs San José State+3.5W41–2754.0W41–27OY
Record: 9–4ATS: 7–6O/U: 7–6Projected spreads in italics

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Eastern Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL.2940%30.845%3.519636%2394.04.0936%13.336%37%3.2290.20.51.5
EMU.245%24.142%2.9811947%2634.23.351%29.853%48%4.134.51.11.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
EMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1330.817.340.2%4.040.5214351962395.449%51%45%36%17%.29
EMU Defense1329.824.850.8%4.11.5 - - - - - 54%46%53%48%14%.3
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Defense1313.316.736.2%3.221.5 - - - - - 52%48%36%37%20%.09
EMU Offense1324.123.744.9%4.231.1223811192633.443%57%42%47%18%.2

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1328:2020.835%43%1090.20.51.56.82.9529.4
Eastern Michigan1330:3222.242%48%3.834.51.11.541.8330.3
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1349%45%36.3196.45.429.353.577%11%1.33
EMU Defense1354%53% - - - - .273.6285%8%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Defense1352%36% - - - - .073.0763%12%1.07
EMU Offense1343%42%35118.53.426.132.9873%11%0.97

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1351%36%17.430239.1813.8223.241.836%25%.276%2.3
EMU Defense1346%48% - - - - - - 8.351.528%35%.316%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Defense1348%37% - - - - - - 8.181.635%27%.248%2.2
EMU Offense1357%47%23.835262.87.511.1199.281.430%32%.416%2.1

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Toledo's 2022 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.7  #82
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #68
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #69

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Eastern Michigan: -1.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: -3.7   Eastern Michigan: -7.1




Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: -1.05 NR
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Eastern Michigan's 2022 Expected Record: -
Eastern Michigan's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.1  #91
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0  #85
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4  #93

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Toledo Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.3
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 16.7

Toledo's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 26
Eastern Michigan 20

Projected Total Points: 46
Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.7
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.8

Eastern Michigan's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Eastern Michigan28Toledo29Toledo -10Eastern Michigan54.5Over
202311/08Toledo49Eastern Michigan23Toledo -19.5Toledo45.5Over
202210/29Eastern Michigan24Toledo27Toledo -4Eastern Michigan54.0Under
202111/02Toledo49Eastern Michigan52Toledo -9Eastern Michigan54.5Over
202011/18Eastern Michigan28Toledo45Toledo -6.5Toledo62.5Over
201910/26Toledo37Eastern Michigan34Toledo -2.5Toledo52.0Over
201810/13Eastern Michigan28Toledo26Toledo -2Eastern Michigan62.0Under
201710/07Toledo20Eastern Michigan15Toledo -13.5Eastern Michigan60.0Under
201610/08Eastern Michigan20Toledo35Toledo -17.5Eastern Michigan65.5Under
201510/17Toledo63Eastern Michigan20Toledo -28Toledo63.0Over
201411/28Eastern Michigan16Toledo52Toledo -21.5Toledo0
201311/02Toledo55Eastern Michigan16Toledo -28Toledo0
201210/13Eastern Michigan47Toledo52
201110/08Toledo54Eastern Michigan16
201010/30Eastern Michigan7Toledo42
200911/20Toledo47Eastern Michigan21
200809/13Eastern Michigan17Toledo41
200711/03Toledo52Eastern Michigan28
200610/21Eastern Michigan17Toledo13
200510/08Toledo30Eastern Michigan3
200409/18Eastern Michigan32Toledo42
200310/11Toledo49Eastern Michigan14
200209/07Eastern Michigan13Toledo65
200111/17Toledo28Eastern Michigan7
200010/06Eastern Michigan14Toledo42
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Eastern Michigan366 Overs
Toledo2264 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 128 - 44 - 24 - 2
Road Teams12 - 134 - 82 - 42 - 4

(#) TOL at (#) EMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTOLEMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #82 #91
Perf GradeGrade #47 #57
OffenseOff #81 #51
DefenseDef #5 #90
Spec TeamsST #135 #12
TalentTal #80 #111
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCat
TOL OffEMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #81 #90
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #68 #93
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffEMU Def
Run GameRun #100 #33
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #81 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #20
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffEMU Def
Pass GamePass #64 #114
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #120 #89
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Eastern Michigan on Offense
CategoryCatEMU OffTOL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #51 #5
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #85 #69
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Eastern Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
EMU OffTOL Def
Run GameRun #93 #8
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #28 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #26
Eastern Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCatEMU OffTOL Def
Pass GamePass #82 #6
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #67 #21
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
EMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

TOL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'22 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rynearson Stadium
Conditions: Fog
Temp: 55°
Rematch from Week 9
Toledo 4.0 (54.0)
Toledo won at Eastern Michigan this year (27-24)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Eastern Michigan in 2024 (29-28)
Toledo beat Eastern Michigan in 2023 (49-23)

  
TOL's OC Mike Hallett (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC Vince Kehres (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

EMU's OC Chris Creighton (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Eastern Michigan's Full Roster

EMU's DC Neal Neathery (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD