Ole Miss at Kentucky - 2020 Matchup Preview
Ole Miss logo   Ole Miss Rebels at Kentucky Wildcats  Kentucky logo
Saturday, October 3rd 2020 (4:00 PM EDT)
Kentucky -7.0 (63.0)
Ole Miss 42 - Kentucky: 41  (SEC)

 
Rebels (5 - 5) (5 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 21 (34 - 28 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ MISS -4)
Projected Score: MISS: 30 - UK: 26 (56)
UK Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
MISS Travel: 378 miles, 1 hrs behind
Wildcats (5 - 6) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (32 - 23 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ole Miss's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Ole Miss vs Florida+13.559.5L 35 - 51ON
Sat 10/3 Ole Miss at Kentucky+7.063.0W 42 - 41OY
Sat 10/10 Ole Miss vs Alabama+24.074.0L 48 - 63OY
Sat 10/17 Ole Miss at Arkansas+1.077.5L 21 - 33UN
Sat 10/24 Ole Miss vs Auburn+3.574.0L 28 - 35UN
Sat 10/31 Ole Miss at Vanderbilt-18.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Ole Miss vs South Carolina-12.573.0W 59 - 42OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28 Ole Miss vs Mississippi State-10.070.0W 31 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/19 Ole Miss at LSU+0.074.5L 48 - 53ON
Sat 1/2 Ole Miss vs Indiana+6.566.5W 26 - 20UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
Kentucky's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Kentucky at Auburn+6.047.0L 13 - 29UN
Sat 10/3 Kentucky vs Ole Miss-7.063.0L 41 - 42ON
Sat 10/10 Kentucky vs Mississippi State-3.557.5W 24 - 2UY
Sat 10/17 Kentucky at Tennessee+6.045.5W 34 - 7UY
Sat 10/24 Kentucky at Missouri-3.547.0L 10 - 20UN
Sat 10/31 Kentucky vs Georgia+17.042.0L 3 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Kentucky vs Vanderbilt-17.541.5W 38 - 35ON
Sat 11/21 Kentucky at Alabama+31.557.5L 3 - 63ON
Sat 11/28 Kentucky at Florida+23.560.5L 10 - 34UN
Sat 12/5 Kentucky vs South Carolina-12.046.0W 41 - 18OY
Sat 1/2 Kentucky vs NC State-3.050.5W 23 - 21UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS.1642%36.943%2.7225139%1943.13.245%21.144%43%3.0948.81.21.7
UK.1742%2345%3.2727934%1143.76.1441%26.443%38%3.0150.81.51.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Offense1236.934.342%3.131.2234452511945.459%40%43%39%22%.16
UK Defense1326.422.641.3%3.011.8 - - - - - 54%45%43%38%22%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Defense1221.127.844.8%3.091.7 - - - - - 46%53%44%43%21%.2
UK Offense132331.742.3%3.761.5193922791146.366%33%45%34%22%.17

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ole Miss1228:1322.637%55%4.948.81.21.794.3127.5
Kentucky1332:0919.439%52%5.850.81.51.85.83.2029.3
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Offense1259%43%46.62515.429.12.7274%11%1.08
UK Defense1354%43% - - - - .16371%13%1.08
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Defense1246%44% - - - - .113.1174%14%0.9
UK Offense1366%45%44.1278.86.336.233.2763%13%1.15

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Offense1240%39%15.527.6194712.5115.291.832%32%.2411%1.8
UK Defense1345%38% - - - - - - 8.131.533%33%.459%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Defense1253%43% - - - - - - 10.31.632%36%.457%2
UK Offense1333%34%9.819.8113.75.811.698.021.631%30%.279%2.1

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ole Miss's 2020 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3  #36
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.3  #14
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9  #80

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss:    Kentucky: 4.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 8.3   Kentucky: 4.4




Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 4.7 NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kentucky's 2020 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.4  #51
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8  #79
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0  #41

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.8

Ole Miss's 2020 Record
Record: 5 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Ole Miss 30
Kentucky 26

Projected Total Points: 56
Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.7
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.6

Kentucky's 2020 Record
Record: 5 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Kentucky23Ole Miss30Ole Miss -8.0Kentucky51.5Over
202409/28Ole Miss17Kentucky20Ole Miss -15Kentucky51.5Under
202210/01Ole Miss22Kentucky19Ole Miss -6.5Kentucky55.0Under
202010/03Kentucky41Ole Miss42Kentucky -7.0Ole Miss63.0Over
201711/04Kentucky34Ole Miss37Kentucky -3.5Ole Miss63.5Over
201111/05Kentucky30Ole Miss13
201010/02Ole Miss42Kentucky35
200609/16Kentucky31Ole Miss14
200510/22Ole Miss13Kentucky7
200109/29Kentucky31Ole Miss42
200009/29Ole Miss35Kentucky17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kentucky333 Overs
Ole Miss822 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 51 - 40 - 41 - 0
Road Teams5 - 64 - 10 - 14 - 0

(#) MISS at (#) UK
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMISSUK
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #36 #51
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #29 #27
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Ole Miss on Offense
CategoryCat
MISS OffUK Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #14 #41
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ole Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
MISS OffUK Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Ole Miss Pass Game
CategoryCat
MISS OffUK Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCatUK OffMISS Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #79 #80
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
UK OffMISS Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCatUK OffMISS Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

MISS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'20 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
Kentucky -7.0 (63.0)
Ole Miss won at Kentucky this year (42-41)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Kentucky last year (30-23)
Kentucky beat Ole Miss in 2024 (20-17)

  
MISS's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UK's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD