Ole Miss at Kentucky - 2020 Matchup Preview
Ole Miss logo (#13)Ole Miss Rebels at Kentucky WildcatsKentucky logo
Saturday, October 3rd 2020 (4:00 PM EDT)
Kentucky -7.0 (63.0)
Ole Miss 42 - Kentucky: 41  (SEC)

 
Rebels (5 - 5) (5 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 39 - 38 (41 - 37 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ MISS -4)
Projected Score: MISS: 26 - UK: 33 (59)
UK Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
MISS Travel: 378 miles, 1 hrs behind
Wildcats (5 - 6) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 26 (29 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ole Miss's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Ole Miss vs Florida+13.559.5L 35 - 51ON
Sat 10/3 Ole Miss at Kentucky+7.063.0W 42 - 41OY
Sat 10/10 Ole Miss vs Alabama+24.074.0L 48 - 63OY
Sat 10/17 Ole Miss at Arkansas+1.077.5L 21 - 33UN
Sat 10/24 Ole Miss vs Auburn+3.574.0L 28 - 35UN
Sat 10/31 Ole Miss at Vanderbilt-18.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Ole Miss vs South Carolina-12.573.0W 59 - 42OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28 Ole Miss vs Mississippi State-10.070.0W 31 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/19 Ole Miss at LSU+0.074.5L 48 - 53ON
Sat 1/2 Ole Miss vs Indiana+6.566.5W 26 - 20UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
Kentucky's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Kentucky at Auburn+6.047.0L 13 - 29UN
Sat 10/3 Kentucky vs Ole Miss-7.063.0L 41 - 42ON
Sat 10/10 Kentucky vs Mississippi State-3.557.5W 24 - 2UY
Sat 10/17 Kentucky at Tennessee+6.045.5W 34 - 7UY
Sat 10/24 Kentucky at Missouri-3.547.0L 10 - 20UN
Sat 10/31 Kentucky vs Georgia+17.042.0L 3 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Kentucky vs Vanderbilt-17.541.5W 38 - 35ON
Sat 11/21 Kentucky at Alabama+31.557.5L 3 - 63ON
Sat 11/28 Kentucky at Florida+23.560.5L 10 - 34UN
Sat 12/5 Kentucky vs South Carolina-12.046.0W 41 - 18OY
Sat 1/2 Kentucky vs NC State-3.050.5W 23 - 21UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS.3148%39.245%2.9221252%3454.21.3351%38.353%49%4.351.61.81.3
UK.1243%21.849%3.0719635%1223.33.1345%25.944%46%3.57561.12
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS#4 (.34)47% (19)44% (76)3.02 (72)16451% (3)3174 (58)#6 (.04)35% (3)35% (6)36% (13)2.98 (8)68.50.91.6
UK#118 (.09)41% (89)47% (31)3.02 (71)14635% (123)1853.49 (104)#62 (.16)46% (111)49% (122)42% (75)3.44 (31)52.11.91.3



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Offense1039.241.347.9%4.211.8285572123454.655%45%45%52%14%.31
UK Defense1125.922.245.3%3.572 - - - - - 50%50%44%46%14%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Defense1038.33750.6%4.31.3 - - - - - 49%51%53%49%13%.33
UK Offense1121.829.443.4%3.331.1173181961224.961%38%49%35%14%.12

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ole Miss1027:5027.650%67%651.61.81.34.71.6028.1
Kentucky1131:0017.337%47%5.7561.124.91.4327.7
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Offense1055%45%46.1211.64.623.212.9265%10%1.12
UK Defense1150%44% - - - - .052.8659%9%0.83
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Defense1049%53% - - - - .293.2774%8%0.98
UK Offense1161%49%39.8196.44.919.183.0775%9%0.94

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Offense1045%52%23.833.534510.314.53014.431.727%42%.674%2.2
UK Defense1150%46% - - - - - - 16.211.428%36%.395%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Defense1051%49% - - - - - - 6.361.427%39%.496%1.9
UK Offense1138%35%1321.9121.85.69.475.041.328%22%.155%1.9

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ole Miss's 2020 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3  #36
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.3  #14
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9  #80

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss:    Kentucky: 4.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 8.3   Kentucky: 4.4




Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 4.7 NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kentucky's 2020 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.4  #51
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8  #79
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0  #41

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 39.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 41.3
Defense: 38.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 37

Ole Miss's 2020 Record
Record: 5 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Kentucky 33
Ole Miss 26

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Kentucky 35
Ole Miss 19

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Ole Miss 32
Kentucky 32

Total Points: 64
Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.4
Defense: 25.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.2

Kentucky's 2020 Record
Record: 5 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Kentucky23Ole Miss30Ole Miss -8.0Kentucky51.5Over
202409/28Ole Miss17Kentucky20Ole Miss -15Kentucky51.5Under
202210/01Ole Miss22Kentucky19Ole Miss -6.5Kentucky55.0Under
202010/03Kentucky41Ole Miss42Kentucky -7.0Ole Miss63.0Over
201711/04Kentucky34Ole Miss37Kentucky -3.5Ole Miss63.5Over
201111/05Kentucky30Ole Miss13
201010/02Ole Miss42Kentucky35
200609/16Kentucky31Ole Miss14
200510/22Ole Miss13Kentucky7
200109/29Kentucky31Ole Miss42
200009/29Ole Miss35Kentucky17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kentucky333 Overs
Ole Miss822 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 51 - 40 - 41 - 0
Road Teams5 - 64 - 10 - 14 - 0

(#) MISS at (#) UK
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMISSUK
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #36 #51
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #29 #27
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Ole Miss on Offense
CategoryCat
MISS OffUK Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #14 #41
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ole Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
MISS OffUK Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Ole Miss Pass Game
CategoryCat
MISS OffUK Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCatUK OffMISS Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #79 #80
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
UK OffMISS Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCatUK OffMISS Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

MISS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'20 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 64°
Rematch from Week 5
Kentucky -7.0 (63.0)
Ole Miss won at Kentucky this year (42-41)

Previous Matchups
Kentucky beat Ole Miss last year (20-17)
Ole Miss beat Kentucky in 2022 (22-19)

  
MISS's OC ()
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MISS's DC ()
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UK's OC ()
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UK's DC ()
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