NC State at UCF - 2014 Matchup Preview
NC State logo NC State Wolfpack vs UCF KnightsUCF logo
Friday, December 26th 2014 (8:00 PM EST)
UCF -2 (47.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
NC State 34 - UCF: 27  (BITCOIN ST. PETERSBURG BOWL)

 
Wolfpack (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (25 - 22 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Knights (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 19 (35 - 12 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
NC State's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 NC State vs Georgia Southern-23.0
Sat 9/6 NC State vs Old Dominion-17.0
Sat 9/13 NC State at South Florida-1.5
Sat 9/20 NC State vs Presbyterian-40.5
Sat 9/27 NC State vs Florida State+23.0
Sat 10/4 NC State at Clemson+14.0
Sat 10/11 NC State vs Boston College-3.5
Sat 10/18 NC State at Louisville+14.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 NC State at Syracuse+5.0
Sat 11/8 NC State vs Georgia Tech+3.0
Sat 11/15 NC State vs Wake Forest-12.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 NC State at North Carolina+6.0
Fri 12/26 NC State vs UCF+2.047.5W 34 - 27OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for NC State's Schedule
UCF's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 UCF vs Penn State-2.044.0L 24 - 26ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 UCF at Missouri+9.0
Sat 9/20 UCF vs Bethune-Cookman-27.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/2 UCF at Houston+2.5
Thu 10/9 UCF vs BYU-3.0
Sat 10/18 UCF vs Tulane-19.0
Sat 10/25 UCF vs Temple-11.0
Sat 11/1 UCF at UConn-12.0
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/14 UCF vs Tulsa-18.5
Sat 11/22 UCF vs SMU-26.5
Fri 11/28 UCF at South Florida-9.5
Thu 12/4 UCF at East Carolina+6.5
Fri 12/26 UCF vs NC State-2.047.5L 27 - 34ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST.2349%30.252%3.3520545%2043.94.1843%2744%39%3.6842.91.21.5
UCF.0942%28.141%2.3612841%2353.19.0239%19.240%37%2.4854.32.22.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST#26 (.25)45% (36)44% (68)3.24 (36)13047% (20)2153.97 (61)#86 (.19)41% (59)39% (31)43% (87)3.78 (67)451.71.4
UCF#58 (.21)46% (28)52% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (86)#63 (.16)40% (45)37% (12)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Offense1330.225.249.1%3.941.2224092052045.249%50%52%45%1%.23
UCF Defense1319.21239.4%2.482.2 - - - - - 44%54%40%37%3%.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Defense132722.442.6%3.681.5 - - - - - 50%48%44%39%4%.18
UCF Offense1328.13542%3.192.2203641282353.250%48%41%41%2%.09

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
NC State1329:5621.746%50%4.842.91.21.500129.6
UCF1332:3420.441%52%5.854.32.22.200134.1
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Offense1349%52%39.1204.55.226.283.3582%0%0.96
UCF Defense1344%40% - - - - -.022.2659%0%0.87
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Defense1350%44% - - - - .172.8682%0%1.02
UCF Offense1350%41%40.5128.33.219-.082.3662%0%0.7

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Offense1350%45%17.229.3204711.8246.21.431%37%.321%1.6
UCF Defense1354%37% - - - - - - 18.071.434%31%.173%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Defense1348%39% - - - - - - 10.21.635%34%.374%1.9
UCF Offense1348%41%17.932235.37.413.12315.271.732%34%.322%1.7

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
NC State's 2014 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
NC State:    UCF: 0

SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State:    UCF:




UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 0 NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UCF's 2014 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


NC State Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.4

NC State's 2014 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 31
NC State 21

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
UCF 35
NC State 21

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
UCF 28
NC State 22

Total Points: 50
UCF Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 35
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 12

UCF's 2014 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 11
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201412/26UCF27NC State34UCF -2NC State47.5Over
201009/11UCF21NC State28
200709/01NC State23UCF25
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCF101 Overs
NC State210 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 30 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams3 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0

NC State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2014Petersburg Bowl NC State vs UCF+2.047.5W 34 - 27
2012City Bowl NC State vs Vanderbilt  L 24 - 38
2011Belk Bowl NC State vs Louisville  W 31 - 24
2010Sports Bowl NC State vs West Virginia  W 23 - 7
2008N/A NC State vs Rutgers  L 23 - 29
UCF Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2014Petersburg Bowl UCF vs NC State-2.047.5L 27 - 34
2013Fiesta Bowl UCF vs Baylor+17.074.0W 52 - 42
2012S Bowl UCF vs Ball State  W 38 - 17
2010Liberty Bowl UCF vs Georgia  W 10 - 6
2009N/A UCF vs Rutgers  L 24 - 45
  
(#) NCST at (#) UCF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNCSTUCF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
NC State on Offense
CategoryCat
NCST OffUCF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
NC State Run Game
CategoryCat
NCST OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
NC State Pass Game
CategoryCat
NCST OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCatUCF OffNCST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffNCST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCatUCF OffNCST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

NCST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tropicana Field
Conditions:
Temp: 68° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 1
UCF -2.0 (47.5)
NC State won at UCF this year (34-27)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NCST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NCST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UCF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UCF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD