Arkansas State at Memphis - 2020 Matchup Preview

Arkansas State Red Wolves at Memphis Tigers

Saturday, September 5th 2020 (8:00 PM EDT)
Memphis -18.5 (71.5)
Memphis 37 - Arkansas State: 24

Red Wolves (4 - 7) (6 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 37 (27 - 40 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -9.5 (SP+ MEM -14)
Projected Score: ARST: 30 - MEM: 36 (66)
MEM Win prob: 91% | Cover: 44%
ARST Travel: 64 miles

Tigers (8 - 3) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (41 - 29 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ARST Players
MEM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arkansas State's 2020 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Arkansas State at Memphis	+18.5	71.5	L 24 - 37	U	Y
Sat 9/12	Arkansas State at Kansas State	+15.5	56.0	W 35 - 31	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3	Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina	-3.5	64.5	L 23 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/10	Arkansas State vs Central Arkansas	-15.5	56.0	W 50 - 27	O	Y
Thu 10/15	Arkansas State vs Georgia State	-3.5	72.5	W 59 - 52	O	Y
Thu 10/22	Arkansas State at App State	+14.0	69.5	L 17 - 45	U	N
Sat 10/31	Arkansas State vs Troy	-3.5
Sat 11/7	Arkansas State at Louisiana	+13.5	69.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21	Arkansas State at Texas State	-4.5	69.5	L 45 - 47	O	N
Sat 11/28	Arkansas State vs South Alabama	-7.0	63.5	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 12/5	Arkansas State vs UL Monroe	-20.5	71.5	W 48 - 15	U	Y
Sat 12/12	Arkansas State vs Incarnate Word	-22.5	71.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule

Memphis's 2020 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Memphis vs Arkansas State	-18.5	71.5	W 37 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3	Memphis at SMU	+1.5	75.0	L 27 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17	Memphis vs UCF	+3.0	76.5	W 50 - 49	O	Y
Sat 10/24	Memphis vs Temple	-14.5	70.0	W 41 - 29	U	N
Sat 10/31	Memphis at Cincinnati	+7.0
Sat 11/7	Memphis vs South Florida	-17.5	67.0	W 34 - 33	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21	Memphis vs Stephen F. Austin	-31.0	61.0	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/28	Memphis at Navy	-13.5	62.5	W 10 - 7	U	N
Sat 12/5	Memphis at Tulane	+2.5	63.5	L 21 - 35	U	N
Sat 12/12	Memphis vs Houston	+7.5	63.5	W 30 - 27	U	Y
Wed 12/23	Memphis vs Florida Atlantic	-9.0	52.5	W 25 - 10	U	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARST	.25	43%	32.9	39%	2.82	125	46%	364	3.99	.22	42%	37.2	37%	47%	3.88	57.4	1.5	1.1
MEM	.2	43%	31	41%	2.62	145	44%	308	3.72	.19	43%	27.9	41%	44%	3.63	47.3	1.6	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARST	#81 (.17)	41% (91)		43% (84)	3.01 (77)	148	39% (96)	210	3.96 (63)	#126 (.31)	48% (124)		51% (131)	44% (110)	4.62 (127)	47.8	1.3	1.4
MEM	#23 (.27)	44% (57)		46% (40)	3.27 (31)	175	41% (71)	270	4.66 (14)	#87 (.19)	40% (47)		40% (45)	40% (62)	4.05 (96)	48	0.6	1.9

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARST Offense	11	32.9	27.3	42.8%	3.99	1.5	24	490	125	364	3.6	42%	57%	39%	46%	16%	.25
MEM Defense	11	27.9	29.3	42.6%	3.63	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	41%	44%	16%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARST Defense	11	37.2	39.8	42.2%	3.88	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	37%	47%	17%	.22
MEM Offense	11	31	41.3	42.7%	3.72	1.6	24	453	145	308	4	46%	54%	41%	44%	18%	.2

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arkansas State	11	28:38	24.5	40%	50%	6.4	57.4	1.5	1.1	6.9	1.8	1	25.9
Memphis	11	28:57	23.5	45%	58%	5.5	47.3	1.6	1.8	6.1	2.4	1	27.8

Run Game Stats (2020)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARST Offense	11	42%	39%	34.9	125.2	3.6	7	.01	2.82	64%	9%	0.9
MEM Defense	11	47%	41%	-	-	-	-	.05	3.01	73%	10%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARST Defense	11	50%	37%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.44	64%	11%	1.06
MEM Offense	11	46%	41%	35.9	145.2	4	9	-.01	2.62	72%	11%	0.82

Pass Game Stats (2020)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARST Offense	11	57%	46%	25.1	42.2	364.4	8.6	14.5	39	9	.43	1.8	34%	36%	.4	7%	2
MEM Defense	11	53%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.31	1.6	32%	35%	.42	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARST Defense	11	50%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.42	1.7	31%	34%	.4	5%	2.2
MEM Offense	11	54%	44%	23	38.3	307.5	8	13.4	31	10	.38	1.8	33%	36%	.49	7%	2.1

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.1 #100
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #48
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.5 #118

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: Memphis: 4.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -9.1 Memphis: 4.8

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 4.9 NR
Memphis's Offense Rating: NR
Memphis's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Memphis's 2020 Expected Record: -
Memphis's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 #49
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.3 #53
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #52

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.3
Defense: 37.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.8

Arkansas State's 2020 Record
Record: 4 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Memphis 36
Arkansas State 30

Total Points: 66

Based on Last 4 Games
Memphis 36
Arkansas State 30

Total Points: 66

Based on Entire Season
Memphis 37
Arkansas State 29

Total Points: 66

Memphis Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.3
Defense: 27.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.3

Memphis's 2020 Record
Record: 8 - 3
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 9
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/09	Arkansas State	3	Memphis	37	Memphis -21	Memphis	57.0	Under
2022	09/17	Memphis	44	Arkansas State	32	Memphis -14.5	Arkansas State	64.0	Over
2021	09/11	Arkansas State	50	Memphis	55	Memphis -5.5	Arkansas State	65.0	Over
2020	09/05	Memphis	37	Arkansas State	24	Memphis -18.5	Arkansas State	71.5	Under
2013	09/21	Memphis	31	Arkansas State	7	Arkansas State -3	Memphis	0
2012	09/08	Arkansas State	33	Memphis	28
2011	09/10	Arkansas State	47	Memphis	3
2008	09/27	Memphis	29	Arkansas State	17
2007	09/27	Arkansas State	35	Memphis	31
2006	10/14	Memphis	23	Arkansas State	26
2004	09/18	Arkansas State	35	Memphis	47
2003	09/27	Memphis	38	Arkansas State	16
2000	09/15	Arkansas State	17	Memphis	19

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Memphis	9	2	2 Overs
Arkansas State	4	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 5	2 - 3	0 - 2	2 - 1
Road Teams	5 - 8	3 - 2	1 - 2	2 - 0

(#) ARST at (#) MEM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ARST	MEM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#100	#49
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#97	#64
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Arkansas State Injury Report

Memphis Injury Report

Arkansas State on Offense


CategoryCat	ARST Off	MEM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#48	#52
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas State Run Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	MEM Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Arkansas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	MEM Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Memphis on Offense


CategoryCat	MEM Off	ARST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#53	#118
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Memphis Run Game


CategoryCat	MEM Off	ARST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Memphis Pass Game


CategoryCat	MEM Off	ARST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MEM 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'20 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

ARST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'20 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 77°

Rematch from Week 1
Memphis -18.5 (71.5)
Memphis won vs Arkansas State this year (37-24)

Previous Matchups
Memphis beat Arkansas State in 2023 (37-3)
Memphis beat Arkansas State in 2022 (44-32)

ARST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MEM's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Memphis's Full Roster

MEM's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD