Arkansas State at Louisiana - 2020 Matchup Preview
Arkansas State logo   Arkansas State Red Wolves at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns  Louisiana logo
Saturday, November 7th 2020 (12:00 PM EST)
Louisiana -13.5 (69.5)
Louisiana 27 - Arkansas State: 20  (Sun Belt)

 
Red Wolves (4 - 7) (6 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (21 - 22 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ULL is playing their 4th straight game
ARST is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -12  (SP+ ULL -19)
Projected Score: ARST: 26 - ULL: 27 (53)
ULL Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
ARST Travel: 397 miles
Ragin' Cajuns (10 - 1) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (30 - 27 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arkansas State's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Arkansas State at Memphis+18.571.5L 24 - 37UY
Sat 9/12 Arkansas State at Kansas State+15.556.0W 35 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina-3.564.5L 23 - 52ON
Sat 10/10 Arkansas State vs Central Arkansas-15.556.0W 50 - 27OY
Thu 10/15 Arkansas State vs Georgia State-3.572.5W 59 - 52OY
Thu 10/22 Arkansas State at App State+14.069.5L 17 - 45UN
Sat 10/31 Arkansas State vs Troy-3.5
Sat 11/7 Arkansas State at Louisiana+13.569.5L 20 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 Arkansas State at Texas State-4.569.5L 45 - 47ON
Sat 11/28 Arkansas State vs South Alabama-7.063.5L 31 - 38ON
Sat 12/5 Arkansas State vs UL Monroe-20.571.5W 48 - 15UY
Sat 12/12 Arkansas State vs Incarnate Word-22.571.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Louisiana's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Louisiana at Iowa State+11.056.5W 31 - 14UY
Sat 9/19 Louisiana at Georgia State-17.057.5W 34 - 31ON
Sat 9/26 Louisiana vs Georgia Southern-12.049.0W 20 - 18UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/14 Louisiana vs Coastal Carolina-9.058.5L 27 - 30UN
Fri 10/23 Louisiana at UAB-2.550.5W 24 - 20UY
Sat 10/31 Louisiana at Texas State-17.0
Sat 11/7 Louisiana vs Arkansas State-13.569.5W 27 - 20UN
Sat 11/14 Louisiana vs South Alabama-14.053.0W 38 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28 Louisiana at UL Monroe-29.558.0W 70 - 20OY
Fri 12/4 Louisiana at App State+3.051.0W 24 - 21UY
Sat 12/26 Louisiana vs UTSA-14.054.5W 31 - 24ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARST.2243%25.240%2.9512743%3134.07.1744%27.443%42%4.0567.51.71.7
ULL.352%2654%3.4825748%2374.33.1545%29.249%38%2.8758.411.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ULL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Offense1325.22142.6%4.071.7224401273133.644%54%40%43%22%.22
ULL Defense1429.227.245.1%2.871.5 - - - - - 55%44%49%38%17%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Defense1327.421.843.7%4.051.7 - - - - - 52%46%43%42%17%.17
ULL Offense142630.351.9%4.331254942572376.357%42%54%48%13%.3

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas State1327:3922.140%57%7.667.51.71.77.42.4330
Louisiana1430:2425.148%53%758.411.553.1030.8
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Offense1344%40%35.1127.23.613.092.9569%13%0.99
ULL Defense1455%49% - - - - .223.3179%9%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Defense1352%43% - - - - .162.972%10%1.1
ULL Offense1457%54%41257.46.342.273.4872%8%0.97

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Offense1354%43%22.936.1312.78.713.63711.341.835%36%.469%2
ULL Defense1444%38% - - - - - - 10.091.530%33%.238%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Defense1346%42% - - - - - - 12.221.531%34%.376%1.9
ULL Offense1442%48%19.129.4236.7812.4274.361.626%42%.596%2

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.1  #100
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1  #48
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.5  #118

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State:    Louisiana: 7.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -9.1   Louisiana: 9.8




Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: 7.4 NR
Louisiana's Offense Rating: NR
Louisiana's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Louisiana's 2020 Expected Record: -
Louisiana's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.8  #31
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.8  #32
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9  #39

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.8

Arkansas State's 2020 Record
Record: 4 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Louisiana 27
Arkansas State 26

Projected Total Points: 53
Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.3
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Louisiana's 2020 Record
Record: 10 - 1
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/20Arkansas State30Louisiana34Arkansas State -2.5Louisiana54.5Over
202411/09Louisiana55Arkansas State19Louisiana -14.0Louisiana60.0Over
202311/04Arkansas State37Louisiana17Louisiana -9Arkansas State60.0Under
202210/22Louisiana38Arkansas State18Louisiana -6Louisiana51.0Over
202110/21Arkansas State27Louisiana28Louisiana -17Arkansas State70.0Under
202011/07Louisiana27Arkansas State20Louisiana -13.5Arkansas State69.5Under
201910/17Arkansas State20Louisiana37Louisiana -6Louisiana69.0Under
201810/27Louisiana47Arkansas State43Arkansas State -3Louisiana69.0Over
201710/19Arkansas State47Louisiana3Arkansas State -12Arkansas State66.5Under
201611/26Louisiana24Arkansas State19Arkansas State -6.5Louisiana50.5Under
201510/20Arkansas State37Louisiana27Arkansas State -6Arkansas State55.5Over
201410/21Louisiana55Arkansas State40Arkansas State -3Louisiana59.0Over
201310/22Arkansas State7Louisiana23Louisiana -6.5Louisiana0
201210/23Louisiana27Arkansas State50
201111/12Arkansas State30Louisiana21
201009/11Louisiana31Arkansas State24
200911/07Arkansas State18Louisiana21
200810/18Louisiana28Arkansas State23
200710/13Arkansas State52Louisiana21
200611/25Louisiana28Arkansas State13
200510/13Arkansas State39Louisiana36
200410/23Louisiana27Arkansas State24
200211/09Louisiana13Arkansas State10
200110/13Arkansas State26Louisiana20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisiana1686 Overs
Arkansas State856 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams18 - 69 - 44 - 25 - 2
Road Teams6 - 184 - 92 - 52 - 4

(#) ARST at (#) ULL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARSTULL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #100 #31
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #97 #102
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Arkansas State on Offense
CategoryCat
ARST OffULL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #48 #39
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffULL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arkansas State Pass Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffULL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Louisiana on Offense
CategoryCatULL OffARST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #32 #118
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Louisiana Run Game
CategoryCat
ULL OffARST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Louisiana Pass Game
CategoryCatULL OffARST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ULL 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Up to Average P4

ARST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'20 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Cajun Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Louisiana -13.5 (69.5)
Louisiana won vs Arkansas State this year (27-20)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana beat Arkansas State last year (34-30)
Louisiana beat Arkansas State in 2024 (55-19)
Arkansas State beat Louisiana in 2023 (37-17)

  
ARST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ULL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD