UCF at Memphis - 2020 Matchup Preview
UCF logo UCF Knights at Memphis Tigers(#23)Memphis logo
Saturday, October 17th 2020 (3:30 PM EDT)
UCF -3 (76.5)
Memphis 50 - UCF: 49  (American Athletic)

 
Knights (6 - 4) (3 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 42 - 33 (50 - 33 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UCF coming off BYE
MEM coming off BYE
Our Line: -2  (SP+ UCF -9)

Projected Score: UCF: 35 - MEM: 33 (68)
UCF Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
UCF Travel: 684 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Tigers (8 - 3) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (41 - 29 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UCF's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 UCF at Georgia Tech-9.563.5W 49 - 21OY
Sat 9/26 UCF at East Carolina-28.078.0W 51 - 28ON
Sat 10/3 UCF vs Tulsa-19.570.0L 26 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 UCF at Memphis-3.076.5L 49 - 50ON
Sat 10/24 UCF vs Tulane-21.071.0W 51 - 34ON
Sat 10/31 UCF at Houston-3.081.0W 44 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 UCF vs Temple-29.072.5W 38 - 13UN
Sat 11/21 UCF vs Cincinnati+4.566.0L 33 - 36OY
Fri 11/27 UCF at South Florida-26.070.5W 58 - 46ON
Tue 12/22 UCF vs BYU+6.080.0L 23 - 49UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Memphis's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Memphis vs Arkansas State-18.571.5W 37 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Memphis at SMU+1.575.0L 27 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 Memphis vs UCF+3.076.5W 50 - 49OY
Sat 10/24 Memphis vs Temple-14.570.0W 41 - 29UN
Sat 10/31 Memphis at Cincinnati+7.0
Sat 11/7 Memphis vs South Florida-17.567.0W 34 - 33UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 Memphis vs Stephen F. Austin-31.061.0W 56 - 14OY
Sat 11/28 Memphis at Navy-13.562.5W 10 - 7UN
Sat 12/5 Memphis at Tulane+2.563.5L 21 - 35UN
Sat 12/12 Memphis vs Houston+7.563.5W 30 - 27UY
Wed 12/23 Memphis vs Florida Atlantic-9.052.5W 25 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF.3349%42.252%3.1921146%3524.43.2146%33.246%47%4.247512.2
MEM.243%3141%2.6214544%3083.72.1943%27.941%44%3.6347.31.61.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF#58 (.21)46% (28)52% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (86)#63 (.16)40% (45)37% (12)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9
MEM#23 (.27)44% (57)46% (40)3.27 (31)17541% (71)2704.66 (14)#87 (.19)40% (47)40% (45)40% (62)4.05 (96)480.61.9



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Offense1042.250.248.7%4.431285632113524.849%51%52%46%14%.33
MEM Defense1127.929.342.6%3.631.8 - - - - - 47%53%41%44%16%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Defense1033.233.246.1%4.242.2 - - - - - 51%49%46%47%18%.21
MEM Offense113141.342.7%3.721.624453145308446%54%41%44%18%.2

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCF1027:3028.149%55%9.27512.27.12.6029.3
Memphis1128:5723.545%58%5.547.31.61.86.12.4127.8
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Offense1049%52%44.4210.74.823.183.1986%8%0.83
MEM Defense1147%41% - - - - .053.0173%10%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Defense1051%46% - - - - .042.8464%12%0.82
MEM Offense1146%41%35.9145.249-.012.6272%11%0.82

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Offense1051%46%24.440.8352.18.614.4324.471.829%38%.616%2.3
MEM Defense1153%44% - - - - - - 12.311.632%35%.426%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Defense1049%47% - - - - - - 9.391.732%36%.46%2.1
MEM Offense1154%44%2338.3307.5813.43110.381.833%36%.497%2.1

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UCF's 2020 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.6  #20
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4  #8
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #49

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF:    Memphis: 4.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF: 13.6   Memphis: 4.8




Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 4.9 NR
Memphis's Offense Rating: NR
Memphis's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Memphis's 2020 Expected Record: -
Memphis's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8  #49
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.3  #53
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3  #52

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


UCF Scoring
Offense: 42.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 50.2
Defense: 33.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.2

UCF's 2020 Record
Record: 6 - 4
Record vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 4
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 35
Memphis 33


Total Points: 68

Based on Last 4 Games
UCF 33
Memphis 30

Total Points: 63

Based on Entire Season
UCF 37
Memphis 35

Total Points: 72
Memphis Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.3
Defense: 27.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.3

Memphis's 2020 Record
Record: 8 - 3
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 9
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202211/05Memphis28UCF35UCF -3UCF60.5Over
202110/22UCF24Memphis7UCF -1.5UCF63.5Under
202010/17Memphis50UCF49UCF -3Memphis76.5Over
201810/13Memphis30UCF31UCF -5Memphis80.5Under
201812/01UCF56Memphis41UCF -1UCF65.0Over
201712/02UCF62Memphis55UCF -7Push82.0Over
201709/30UCF40Memphis13UCF -5.5UCF68.5Under
201310/05Memphis17UCF24UCF -10.5Memphis0
201210/20Memphis17UCF35
201110/29UCF41Memphis0
201011/27Memphis17UCF37
200910/03UCF32Memphis14
200811/22Memphis21UCF28
200709/22UCF56Memphis20
200611/11Memphis24UCF26
200510/08UCF38Memphis17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Memphis134 Overs
UCF1543 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 76 - 13 - 03 - 1
Road Teams7 - 91 - 61 - 30 - 3

(#) UCF at (#) MEM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCFMEM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #20 #49
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #61 #64
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCat
UCF OffMEM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #8 #52
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffMEM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffMEM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Memphis on Offense
CategoryCatMEM OffUCF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #53 #49
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Memphis Run Game
CategoryCat
MEM OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Memphis Pass Game
CategoryCatMEM OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MEM 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'20 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'20 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 69° - Wind: 12 mph
Rematch from Week 7
UCF 3.0 (76.5)
Memphis won vs UCF this year (50-49)

Previous Matchups
UCF beat Memphis in 2022 (35-28)

  
UCF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UCF's Full Roster

UCF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MEM's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Memphis's Full Roster

MEM's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD