South Alabama at Arkansas State - 2020 Matchup Preview

South Alabama Jaguars at Arkansas State Red Wolves

Saturday, November 28th 2020 (3:00 PM EST)
Arkansas State -7 (63.5)
South Alabama 38 - Arkansas State: 31 (Sun Belt)

Jaguars (4 - 7) (5 - 4 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (25 - 32 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USA is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -6 (SP+ ARST -7)
Projected Score: USA: 27 - ARST: 29 (56)
ARST Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
USA Travel: 387 miles

Red Wolves (4 - 7) (6 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (29 - 27 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USA Players
ARST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

South Alabama's 2020 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/3	South Alabama at Southern Miss	+12.5	55.0	W 32 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/12	South Alabama vs Tulane	+11.5	51.5	L 24 - 27	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 9/24	South Alabama vs UAB	+7.5	48.0	L 10 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17	South Alabama vs Texas State	-4.5	57.5	W 30 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/24	South Alabama vs UL Monroe	-14.5	56.5	W 38 - 14	U	Y
Thu 10/29	South Alabama at Georgia Southern	+7.0
Sat 11/7	South Alabama at Coastal Carolina	+17.0	56.5	L 6 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/14	South Alabama at Louisiana	+14.0	53.0	L 10 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/21	South Alabama vs Georgia State	+3.5	58.5	L 14 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/28	South Alabama at Arkansas State	+7.0	63.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 12/5	South Alabama vs Troy	+4.5	53.5	L 0 - 29	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule

Arkansas State's 2020 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Arkansas State at Memphis	+18.5	71.5	L 24 - 37	U	Y
Sat 9/12	Arkansas State at Kansas State	+15.5	56.0	W 35 - 31	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3	Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina	-3.5	64.5	L 23 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/10	Arkansas State vs Central Arkansas	-15.5	56.0	W 50 - 27	O	Y
Thu 10/15	Arkansas State vs Georgia State	-3.5	72.5	W 59 - 52	O	Y
Thu 10/22	Arkansas State at App State	+14.0	69.5	L 17 - 45	U	N
Sat 10/31	Arkansas State vs Troy	-3.5
Sat 11/7	Arkansas State at Louisiana	+13.5	69.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21	Arkansas State at Texas State	-4.5	69.5	L 45 - 47	O	N
Sat 11/28	Arkansas State vs South Alabama	-7.0	63.5	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 12/5	Arkansas State vs UL Monroe	-20.5	71.5	W 48 - 15	U	Y
Sat 12/12	Arkansas State vs Incarnate Word	-22.5	71.0

Important Stats (2019)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USA	.05	38%	26.5	39%	2.88	172	33%	159	2.89	.2	47%	30.4	43%	48%	3.6	45.1	1.8	1.6
ARST	.22	43%	25.2	40%	2.95	127	43%	313	4.07	.17	44%	27.4	43%	42%	4.05	67.5	1.7	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2019

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USA Offense	12	26.5	25.2	37.5%	2.89	1.8	18	330	172	159	4	61%	38%	39%	33%	22%	.05
ARST Defense	13	27.4	27.2	43.7%	4.05	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	43%	42%	17%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USA Defense	12	30.4	32	46.6%	3.6	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	56%	41%	43%	48%	18%	.2
ARST Offense	13	25.2	29	42.6%	4.07	1.7	22	440	127	313	3.6	44%	54%	40%	43%	22%	.22

Additional Stats 2019

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
South Alabama	12	28:33	18	30%	46%	5.8	45.1	1.8	1.6	7.3	2.1	0	26.1
Arkansas State	13	27:39	22.1	40%	57%	7.6	67.5	1.7	1.7	7.4	2.4	3	30

Run Game Stats (2020)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USA Offense	12	61%	39%	42.4	171.5	4	15	.07	2.88	67%	16%	0.98
ARST Defense	13	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	.16	2.9	72%	10%	1.1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USA Defense	12	56%	43%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.77	80%	12%	0.93
ARST Offense	13	44%	40%	35.1	127.2	3.6	13	.09	2.95	69%	13%	0.99

Pass Game Stats (2020)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USA Offense	12	38%	33%	12.4	23.5	158.8	6.8	12.8	14	11	.05	1.7	34%	25%	.06	6%	1.8
ARST Defense	13	46%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.22	1.5	31%	34%	.37	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USA Defense	12	41%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.37	1.6	30%	41%	.41	6%	1.7
ARST Offense	13	54%	43%	22.9	36.1	312.7	8.7	13.6	37	11	.34	1.8	35%	36%	.46	9%	2

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: NR
South Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
South Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Alabama's 2020 Expected Record: -
South Alabama's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.1 #117
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #110
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.3 #112

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: Arkansas State: -2.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: -16.1 Arkansas State: -9.1

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -2.05 NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.1 #100
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #48
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.5 #118

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32

South Alabama's 2020 Record
Record: 4 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 2
Over/Under Record: 2 - 9
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 1 - 2
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 2
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Arkansas State 29
South Alabama 27

Projected Total Points: 56

Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Arkansas State's 2020 Record
Record: 4 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/14	South Alabama	14	Arkansas State	15	South Alabama -8.5	Arkansas State	57.5	Under
2024	10/05	Arkansas State	18	South Alabama	16	South Alabama -2.5	Arkansas State	62.5	Under
2023	11/11	South Alabama	21	Arkansas State	14	South Alabama -14.5	Arkansas State	54.5	Under
2022	10/29	Arkansas State	3	South Alabama	31	South Alabama -9	South Alabama	52.5	Under
2021	10/30	South Alabama	31	Arkansas State	13	South Alabama -9.5	South Alabama	67.0	Under
2020	11/28	Arkansas State	31	South Alabama	38	Arkansas State -7	South Alabama	63.5	Over
2019	11/29	South Alabama	34	Arkansas State	30	Arkansas State -10.5	South Alabama	53.0	Over
2018	11/03	Arkansas State	38	South Alabama	14	Arkansas State -14	Arkansas State	61.5	Under
2017	11/11	South Alabama	24	Arkansas State	19	Arkansas State -12.5	South Alabama	55.5	Under
2016	10/15	Arkansas State	17	South Alabama	7	Arkansas State -6	Arkansas State	54.5	Under
2015	10/13	South Alabama	31	Arkansas State	49	Arkansas State -6	Arkansas State	58.0	Over
2014	11/08	Arkansas State	45	South Alabama	10	Arkansas State -9.5	Arkansas State	0
2013	11/02	South Alabama	16	Arkansas State	17	South Alabama -2.5	Arkansas State	0
2012	10/13	Arkansas State	36	South Alabama	29

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arkansas State	8	8	3 Overs
South Alabama	6	5	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 5	7 - 6	4 - 4	3 - 2
Road Teams	5 - 9	6 - 7	2 - 3	4 - 4

(#) USA at (#) ARST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USA	ARST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#117	#100
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#117	#97
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

South Alabama Injury Report

Arkansas State Injury Report

South Alabama on Offense


CategoryCat	USA Off	ARST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#110	#118
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Alabama Run Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	ARST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

South Alabama Pass Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	ARST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Arkansas State on Offense


CategoryCat	ARST Off	USA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#48	#112
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas State Run Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	USA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Arkansas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	USA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ARST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'20 Profile: Remains Average G5

USA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'20 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
Arkansas State -7.0 (63.5)
South Alabama won at Arkansas State this year (38-31)

Previous Matchups
Arkansas State beat South Alabama last year (15-14)
Arkansas State beat South Alabama in 2024 (18-16)
South Alabama beat Arkansas State in 2023 (21-14)

USA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ARST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD