Arkansas State at App State - 2020 Matchup Preview
Arkansas State logo   Arkansas State Red Wolves at App State Mountaineers  App State logo
Thursday, October 22nd 2020 (7:30 PM EDT)
Appalachian State -14 (69.5)
App State 45 - Arkansas State: 17  (Sun Belt)

 
Red Wolves (4 - 7) (6 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (21 - 22 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
APP coming off BYE
ARST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -12  (SP+ APP -19)
Projected Score: ARST: 26 - APP: 25 (51)
APP Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
ARST Travel: 502 miles, 1 hrs behind
Mountaineers (9 - 3) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (27 - 27 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arkansas State's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Arkansas State at Memphis+18.571.5L 24 - 37UY
Sat 9/12 Arkansas State at Kansas State+15.556.0W 35 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina-3.564.5L 23 - 52ON
Sat 10/10 Arkansas State vs Central Arkansas-15.556.0W 50 - 27OY
Thu 10/15 Arkansas State vs Georgia State-3.572.5W 59 - 52OY
Thu 10/22 Arkansas State at App State+14.069.5L 17 - 45UN
Sat 10/31 Arkansas State vs Troy-3.5
Sat 11/7 Arkansas State at Louisiana+13.569.5L 20 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 Arkansas State at Texas State-4.569.5L 45 - 47ON
Sat 11/28 Arkansas State vs South Alabama-7.063.5L 31 - 38ON
Sat 12/5 Arkansas State vs UL Monroe-20.571.5W 48 - 15UY
Sat 12/12 Arkansas State vs Incarnate Word-22.571.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
App State's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 App State vs Charlotte-17.059.0W 35 - 20UN
Sat 9/19 App State at Marshall-6.060.5L 7 - 17UN
Sat 9/26 App State vs Campbell-33.554.0W 52 - 21ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/22 App State vs Arkansas State-14.069.5W 45 - 17UY
Sat 10/31 App State at UL Monroe-31.5
Sat 11/7 App State at Texas State-21.558.0W 38 - 17UN
Sat 11/14 App State vs Georgia State-18.063.0W 17 - 13UN
Sat 11/21 App State at Coastal Carolina+3.048.5L 23 - 34ON
Sat 11/28 App State vs Troy-14.050.5W 47 - 10OY
Fri 12/4 App State vs Louisiana-3.051.0L 21 - 24UN
Sat 12/12 App State at Georgia Southern-9.045.0W 34 - 26ON
Mon 12/21 App State vs North Texas-21.567.5W 56 - 28OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARST.2243%25.240%2.9512743%3134.07.1744%27.443%42%4.0567.51.71.7
APP.2744%24.242%2.9923144%2014.66.0937%29.836%36%3.3264.30.62.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
APP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Offense1325.22142.6%4.071.7224401273133.644%54%40%43%22%.22
APP Defense1429.826.737.2%3.322.1 - - - - - 47%51%36%36%20%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Defense1327.421.843.7%4.051.7 - - - - - 52%46%43%42%17%.17
APP Offense1424.22743.7%4.660.6214332312015.458%41%42%44%17%.27

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas State1327:3922.140%57%7.667.51.71.77.42.4330
App State1430:382144%88%6.864.30.62.16.73.3631.2
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Offense1344%40%35.1127.23.613.092.9569%13%0.99
APP Defense1447%36% - - - - .042.4168%12%1.09
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Defense1352%43% - - - - .162.972%10%1.1
APP Offense1458%42%42.8231.45.435.212.9979%10%1.15

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Offense1354%43%22.936.1312.78.713.63711.341.835%36%.469%2
APP Defense1451%36% - - - - - - 14.131.736%32%.318%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Defense1346%42% - - - - - - 12.221.531%34%.376%1.9
APP Offense1441%44%16.426.4201.17.612.2306.351.733%36%.57%2.1

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.1  #100
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1  #48
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.5  #118

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State:    App State: 7.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -9.1   App State: 10.3




App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: 7.65 NR
App State's Offense Rating: NR
App State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
App State's 2020 Expected Record: -
App State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #29
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0  #39
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6  #33

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.8

Arkansas State's 2020 Record
Record: 4 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Arkansas State 26
App State 25

Projected Total Points: 51
App State Scoring
Offense: 24.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 27
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.7

App State's 2020 Record
Record: 9 - 3
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29App State29Arkansas State30App State -1.0Arkansas State54.5Over
202111/06Arkansas State14App State48Appalachian State -21.5App State67.5Under
202010/22App State45Arkansas State17Appalachian State -14App State69.5Under
201810/09Arkansas State9App State35Appalachian State -10.5App State59.5Under
201511/05App State27Arkansas State40Appalachian State -12.5Arkansas State56.0Over
201411/15Arkansas State32App State37Arkansas State -15App State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
App State442 Overs
Arkansas State223 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 51 - 51 - 30 - 2
Road Teams5 - 15 - 12 - 03 - 1

(#) ARST at (#) APP
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARSTAPP
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #100 #29
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #97 #101
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Arkansas State on Offense
CategoryCat
ARST OffAPP Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #48 #33
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffAPP Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arkansas State Pass Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffAPP Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
App State on Offense
CategoryCatAPP OffARST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #39 #118
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
App State Run Game
CategoryCat
APP OffARST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
App State Pass Game
CategoryCatAPP OffARST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
APP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'20 Profile: Remains Average P4

ARST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'20 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kidd Brewer Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
App State -14.0 (69.5)
App State won vs Arkansas State this year (45-17)

Previous Matchups
Arkansas State beat App State last year (30-29)

  
ARST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

APP's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD