Arkansas State at Kansas State - 2020 Matchup Preview

Arkansas State Red Wolves at Kansas State Wildcats

Saturday, September 12th 2020 (12:00 PM EDT)
Kansas State -15.5 (56.0)
Arkansas State 35 - Kansas State: 31

Red Wolves (4 - 7) (6 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (21 - 22 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ARST 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -7 (SP+ KSU -9)
Projected Score: ARST: 25 - KSU: 27 (52)
KSU Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
ARST Travel: 399 miles

Wildcats (4 - 6) (6 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (30 - 27 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ARST Players
KSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arkansas State's 2020 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Arkansas State at Memphis	+18.5	71.5	L 24 - 37	U	Y
Sat 9/12	Arkansas State at Kansas State	+15.5	56.0	W 35 - 31	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3	Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina	-3.5	64.5	L 23 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/10	Arkansas State vs Central Arkansas	-15.5	56.0	W 50 - 27	O	Y
Thu 10/15	Arkansas State vs Georgia State	-3.5	72.5	W 59 - 52	O	Y
Thu 10/22	Arkansas State at App State	+14.0	69.5	L 17 - 45	U	N
Sat 10/31	Arkansas State vs Troy	-3.5
Sat 11/7	Arkansas State at Louisiana	+13.5	69.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21	Arkansas State at Texas State	-4.5	69.5	L 45 - 47	O	N
Sat 11/28	Arkansas State vs South Alabama	-7.0	63.5	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 12/5	Arkansas State vs UL Monroe	-20.5	71.5	W 48 - 15	U	Y
Sat 12/12	Arkansas State vs Incarnate Word	-22.5	71.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule

Kansas State's 2020 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12	Kansas State vs Arkansas State	-15.5	56.0	L 31 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26	Kansas State at Oklahoma	+28.0	61.5	W 38 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/3	Kansas State vs Texas Tech	+1.5	61.5	W 31 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/10	Kansas State at TCU	+10.5	49.5	W 21 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24	Kansas State vs Kansas	-19.5	46.0	W 55 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/31	Kansas State at West Virginia	+3.0
Sat 11/7	Kansas State vs Oklahoma State	+14.0	48.5	L 18 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21	Kansas State at Iowa State	+13.5	48.0	L 0 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/28	Kansas State at Baylor	+5.5	44.5	L 31 - 32	O	Y
Sat 12/5	Kansas State vs Texas	+7.0	53.5	L 31 - 69	O	N

Important Stats (2019)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARST	.22	43%	25.2	40%	2.95	127	43%	313	4.07	.17	44%	27.4	43%	42%	4.05	67.5	1.7	1.7
KSU	.17	43%	29.4	41%	2.64	178	44%	180	3.71	.19	42%	26.7	42%	39%	2.58	52.2	1	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
KSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2019

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARST Offense	13	25.2	21	42.6%	4.07	1.7	22	440	127	313	3.6	44%	54%	40%	43%	22%	.22
KSU Defense	13	26.7	27.3	42.2%	2.58	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	46%	42%	39%	18%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARST Defense	13	27.4	21.8	43.7%	4.05	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	43%	42%	17%	.17
KSU Offense	13	29.4	29.7	43.5%	3.71	1	20	358	178	180	4.3	59%	39%	41%	44%	19%	.17

Additional Stats 2019

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arkansas State	13	27:39	22.1	40%	57%	7.6	67.5	1.7	1.7	7.4	2.4	3	30
Kansas State	13	33:26	19.5	43%	60%	5.9	52.2	1	1.3	5.4	2	5	30

Run Game Stats (2020)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARST Offense	13	44%	40%	35.1	127.2	3.6	13	.09	2.95	69%	13%	0.99
KSU Defense	13	51%	42%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.11	84%	10%	1.11

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARST Defense	13	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	.16	2.9	72%	10%	1.1
KSU Offense	13	59%	41%	41.4	178	4.3	29	.06	2.64	76%	14%	0.99

Pass Game Stats (2020)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARST Offense	13	54%	43%	22.9	36.1	312.7	8.7	13.6	37	11	.34	1.8	35%	36%	.46	9%	2
KSU Defense	13	46%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.21	1.7	36%	34%	.39	8%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARST Defense	13	46%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.22	1.5	31%	34%	.37	6%	1.9
KSU Offense	13	39%	44%	13.8	23.2	180.3	7.8	13	12	5	.36	1.6	34%	36%	.38	5%	1.8

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.1 #100
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #48
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.5 #118

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: Kansas State: 2.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -9.1 Kansas State: 0.1

Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 2.55 NR
Kansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Kansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kansas State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Kansas State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.1 #70
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #71
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #66

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.8

Arkansas State's 2020 Record
Record: 4 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Kansas State 27
Arkansas State 25

Projected Total Points: 52

Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.7
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Kansas State's 2020 Record
Record: 4 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2020	09/12	Kansas State	31	Arkansas State	35	Kansas State -15.5	Arkansas State	56.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kansas State	0	0	1 Overs
Arkansas State	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#) ARST at (#) KSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ARST	KSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#100	#70
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#97	#68
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Arkansas State Injury Report

Kansas State Injury Report

Arkansas State on Offense


CategoryCat	ARST Off	KSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#48	#66
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas State Run Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	KSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Arkansas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	KSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Kansas State on Offense


CategoryCat	KSU Off	ARST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#71	#118
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Kansas State Run Game


CategoryCat	KSU Off	ARST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Kansas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	KSU Off	ARST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
KSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Down to Top G5

ARST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'20 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
Kansas State -15.5 (56.0)
Arkansas State won at Kansas State this year (35-31)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

ARST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

KSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Kansas State's Full Roster

KSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD