Memphis at Navy - 2020 Matchup Preview
Memphis logo Memphis Tigers at Navy MidshipmenNavy logo
Saturday, November 28th 2020 (7:00 PM EST)
Memphis -13.5 (62.5)
Memphis 10 - Navy: 7  (American Athletic)

 
Tigers (8 - 3) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (17 - 30 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NAVY coming off BYE
Our Line: -4.5  (SP+ MEM -13.5)
Projected Score: MEM: 28 - NAVY: 28 (56)
MEM Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
MEM Travel: 788 miles, 1 hrs behind
Midshipmen (3 - 7) (4 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 30 (14 - 30 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Memphis's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Memphis vs Arkansas State-18.571.5W 37 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Memphis at SMU+1.575.0L 27 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 Memphis vs UCF+3.076.5W 50 - 49OY
Sat 10/24 Memphis vs Temple-14.570.0W 41 - 29UN
Sat 10/31 Memphis at Cincinnati+7.0
Sat 11/7 Memphis vs South Florida-17.567.0W 34 - 33UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 Memphis vs Stephen F. Austin-31.061.0W 56 - 14OY
Sat 11/28 Memphis at Navy-13.562.5W 10 - 7UN
Sat 12/5 Memphis at Tulane+2.563.5L 21 - 35UN
Sat 12/12 Memphis vs Houston+7.563.5W 30 - 27UY
Wed 12/23 Memphis vs Florida Atlantic-9.052.5W 25 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule
Navy's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/7 Navy vs BYU+1.048.5L 3 - 55ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Navy at Tulane+5.544.5W 27 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Navy at Air Force-6.546.5L 7 - 40ON
Sat 10/10 Navy vs Temple+4.051.0W 31 - 29OY
Sat 10/17 Navy at East Carolina-3.055.5W 27 - 23UY
Sat 10/24 Navy vs Houston+14.556.0L 21 - 37ON
Sat 10/31 Navy at SMU+14.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28 Navy vs Memphis+13.562.5L 7 - 10UY
Sat 12/5 Navy vs Tulsa+12.046.0L 6 - 19UN
Sat 12/12 Navy vs Army+7.535.5L 0 - 15UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM.243%3141%2.6214544%3083.72.1943%27.941%44%3.6347.31.61.8
NAVY.0935%16.636%2.6217833%973.6.2143%30.343%43%3.9740.21.10.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM#23 (.27)44% (57)46% (40)3.27 (31)17541% (71)2704.66 (14)#87 (.19)40% (47)40% (45)40% (62)4.05 (96)480.61.9
NAVY#12 (.31)44% (51)46% (43)3.27 (32)23139% (101)1174.39 (26)#28 (.1)41% (61)46% (95)37% (24)3.48 (35)41.91.11.8



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Offense11311742.7%3.721.624453145308446%54%41%44%18%.2
NAVY Defense1030.33043.4%3.970.9 - - - - - 62%38%43%43%14%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Defense1127.930.342.6%3.631.8 - - - - - 47%53%41%44%16%.19
NAVY Offense1016.613.635.1%3.61.114275178973.776%23%36%33%15%.09

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Memphis1128:5723.545%58%5.547.31.61.86.12.4127.8
Navy1030:1914.334%67%4.440.21.10.94.50.6027.4
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Offense1146%41%35.9145.249-.012.6272%11%0.82
NAVY Defense1062%43% - - - - .173.0583%9%1.1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Defense1147%41% - - - - .053.0173%10%0.92
NAVY Offense1076%36%48.3177.63.715.032.6271%12%1.04

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Offense1154%44%2338.3307.5813.43110.381.833%36%.497%2.1
NAVY Defense1038%43% - - - - - - 3.281.531%33%.435%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Defense1153%44% - - - - - - 12.311.632%35%.426%2.1
NAVY Offense1023%33%5.712.497.47.917.164.272.334%24%.263%2.3

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: NR
Memphis's Offense Rating: NR
Memphis's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Memphis's 2020 Expected Record: -
Memphis's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8  #49
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.3  #53
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3  #52

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Memphis:    Navy: -1.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 4.8   Navy: -8.8




Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: -1.9 NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Navy's 2020 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.8  #99
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1  #102
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7  #87

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Memphis Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 27.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.3

Memphis's 2020 Record
Record: 8 - 3
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 9
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Memphis 28
Navy 28

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Navy 34
Memphis 28

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
Memphis 27
Navy 22

Total Points: 49
Navy Scoring
Offense: 16.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 13.6
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 30

Navy's 2020 Record
Record: 3 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 5
Record at home: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/27Memphis17Navy28Memphis -3.5Navy57.5Under
202409/21Navy56Memphis44Memphis -9.5Navy47.0Over
202309/14Memphis28Navy24Memphis -12.5Navy47.0Over
202209/10Navy13Memphis37Memphis -4.5Memphis47.5Over
202110/14Memphis35Navy17Memphis -11Memphis55.5Under
202011/28Navy7Memphis10Memphis -13.5Navy62.5Under
201909/26Memphis35Navy23Memphis -11Memphis53.5Over
201809/08Navy22Memphis21Memphis -7Navy67.0Under
201710/14Memphis30Navy27Memphis -3.5Navy73.0Under
201610/22Navy42Memphis28Memphis -2Navy57.0Over
201511/07Memphis20Navy45Memphis -8.5Navy62.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Navy586 Overs
Memphis635 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 46 - 52 - 44 - 1
Road Teams4 - 75 - 61 - 44 - 2

(#) MEM at (#) NAVY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMEMNAVY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #49 #99
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #64 #116
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Memphis on Offense
CategoryCat
MEM OffNAVY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #53 #87
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Memphis Run Game
CategoryCat
MEM OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Memphis Pass Game
CategoryCat
MEM OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Navy on Offense
CategoryCatNAVY OffMEM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #102 #52
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffMEM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCatNAVY OffMEM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NAVY 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'20 Profile: Down to Average G5

MEM 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'20 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 45°
Rematch from Week 13
Memphis 13.5 (62.5)
Memphis won at Navy this year (10-7)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat Memphis last year (56-44)
Memphis beat Navy in 2023 (28-24)
Memphis beat Navy in 2022 (37-13)

  
MEM's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Memphis's Full Roster

MEM's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NAVY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD