UL Monroe at Arkansas State - 2020 Matchup Preview

UL Monroe Warhawks at Arkansas State Red Wolves

Saturday, December 5th 2020 (3:00 PM EST)
Arkansas State -20.5 (71.5)
Arkansas State 48 - UL Monroe: 15 (Sun Belt)

Warhawks (0 - 10) (3 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 32 (15 - 39 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ARST 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -9 (SP+ ARST -13)
Projected Score: ULM: 22 - ARST: 32 (54)
ARST Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
ULM Travel: 243 miles

Red Wolves (4 - 7) (6 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (29 - 27 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ULM Players
ARST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UL Monroe's 2020 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12	UL Monroe at Army	+25.0	53.5	L 7 - 37	U	N
Sat 9/19	UL Monroe vs Texas State	+3.0	58.0	L 17 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/26	UL Monroe vs UTEP	-9.5	49.0	L 6 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/3	UL Monroe vs Georgia Southern	+19.5	51.0	L 30 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/10	UL Monroe at Liberty	+17.0	63.5	L 7 - 40	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24	UL Monroe at South Alabama	+14.5	56.5	L 14 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/31	UL Monroe vs App State	+31.5
Sat 11/7	UL Monroe at Georgia State	+18.5	60.0	L 34 - 52	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28	UL Monroe vs Louisiana	+29.5	58.0	L 20 - 70	O	N
Sat 12/5	UL Monroe at Arkansas State	+20.5	71.5	L 15 - 48	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 12/17	UL Monroe at Troy	+13.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule

Arkansas State's 2020 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Arkansas State at Memphis	+18.5	71.5	L 24 - 37	U	Y
Sat 9/12	Arkansas State at Kansas State	+15.5	56.0	W 35 - 31	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3	Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina	-3.5	64.5	L 23 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/10	Arkansas State vs Central Arkansas	-15.5	56.0	W 50 - 27	O	Y
Thu 10/15	Arkansas State vs Georgia State	-3.5	72.5	W 59 - 52	O	Y
Thu 10/22	Arkansas State at App State	+14.0	69.5	L 17 - 45	U	N
Sat 10/31	Arkansas State vs Troy	-3.5
Sat 11/7	Arkansas State at Louisiana	+13.5	69.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21	Arkansas State at Texas State	-4.5	69.5	L 45 - 47	O	N
Sat 11/28	Arkansas State vs South Alabama	-7.0	63.5	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 12/5	Arkansas State vs UL Monroe	-20.5	71.5	W 48 - 15	U	Y
Sat 12/12	Arkansas State vs Incarnate Word	-22.5	71.0

Important Stats (2019)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULM	.24	44%	16.6	46%	3.36	208	41%	253	3.74	.28	47%	31.9	49%	42%	4.51	64.4	1.5	1.9
ARST	.22	43%	25.2	40%	2.95	127	43%	313	4.07	.17	44%	27.4	43%	42%	4.05	67.5	1.7	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2019

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULM Offense	12	16.6	15.4	44.5%	3.74	1.5	23	461	208	253	5.5	51%	48%	46%	41%	15%	.24
ARST Defense	13	27.4	27.2	43.7%	4.05	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	43%	42%	17%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULM Defense	12	31.9	39	47.1%	4.51	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	57%	41%	49%	42%	16%	.28
ARST Offense	13	25.2	29	42.6%	4.07	1.7	22	440	127	313	3.6	44%	54%	40%	43%	22%	.22

Additional Stats 2019

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UL Monroe	12	29:25	22.7	40%	57%	7.9	64.4	1.5	1.9	6.7	2	1	27.5
Arkansas State	13	27:39	22.1	40%	57%	7.6	67.5	1.7	1.7	7.4	2.4	3	30

Run Game Stats (2020)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULM Offense	12	51%	46%	38.1	207.5	5.5	29	.26	3.36	77%	7%	1.08
ARST Defense	13	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	.16	2.9	72%	10%	1.1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULM Defense	12	57%	49%	-	-	-	-	.24	3.22	73%	11%	1.07
ARST Offense	13	44%	40%	35.1	127.2	3.6	13	.09	2.95	69%	13%	0.99

Pass Game Stats (2020)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULM Offense	12	48%	41%	20.4	34.3	253.4	7.4	12.4	21	12	.24	1.6	32%	35%	.35	9%	1.8
ARST Defense	13	46%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.22	1.5	31%	34%	.37	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULM Defense	12	41%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.34	1.7	30%	36%	.49	5%	2.1
ARST Offense	13	54%	43%	22.9	36.1	312.7	8.7	13.6	37	11	.34	1.8	35%	36%	.46	9%	2

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: NR
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: NR
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UL Monroe's 2020 Expected Record: -
UL Monroe's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.1 #123
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #113
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.4 #126

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: Arkansas State: -2.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -22.1 Arkansas State: -9.1

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -2.05 NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.1 #100
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #48
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.5 #118

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 16.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.4
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 39

UL Monroe's 2020 Record
Record: 0 - 10
Record vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Arkansas State 32
UL Monroe 22

Projected Total Points: 54

Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Arkansas State's 2020 Record
Record: 4 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/27	UL Monroe	28	Arkansas State	16	UL Monroe -1.5	UL Monroe	55.5	Under
2024	11/23	Arkansas State	28	UL Monroe	21	Arkansas State -3	Arkansas State	51.5	Under
2023	10/28	UL Monroe	24	Arkansas State	34	Louisiana Monroe -1.0	Arkansas State	55.5	Over
2022	10/01	Arkansas State	45	UL Monroe	28	Arkansas State -7.5	Arkansas State	58.5	Over
2021	11/13	UL Monroe	24	Arkansas State	27	Louisiana Monroe -3	Arkansas State	66.5	Under
2020	12/05	Arkansas State	48	UL Monroe	15	Arkansas State -20.5	Arkansas State	71.5	Under
2019	11/02	UL Monroe	41	Arkansas State	48	Arkansas State -1	Arkansas State	69.0	Over
2018	11/17	Arkansas State	31	UL Monroe	17	Arkansas State -7.5	Arkansas State	68.0	Under
2017	11/25	UL Monroe	50	Arkansas State	67	Arkansas State -8.5	Arkansas State	69.0	Over
2016	10/29	Arkansas State	51	UL Monroe	10	Arkansas State -17	Arkansas State	55.0	Over
2015	11/14	UL Monroe	21	Arkansas State	59	Arkansas State -12.5	Arkansas State	55.5	Over
2014	10/04	Arkansas State	28	UL Monroe	14	Arkansas State -10	Arkansas State	0
2013	11/09	UL Monroe	14	Arkansas State	42	Louisiana Monroe -3.5	Arkansas State	0
2012	11/08	Arkansas State	45	UL Monroe	23
2011	10/08	UL Monroe	19	Arkansas State	24
2010	09/18	Arkansas State	34	UL Monroe	20
2009	10/13	UL Monroe	16	Arkansas State	10
2008	10/11	Arkansas State	37	UL Monroe	29
2007	10/06	UL Monroe	30	Arkansas State	13
2006	10/07	Arkansas State	10	UL Monroe	6
2005	10/01	UL Monroe	31	Arkansas State	27
2004	09/25	UL Monroe	21	Arkansas State	28
2003	10/04	Arkansas State	44	UL Monroe	41
2002	09/21	UL Monroe	21	Arkansas State	33
2001	11/17	Arkansas State	7	UL Monroe	16

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arkansas State	20	12	6 Overs
UL Monroe	5	1	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 10	7 - 6	7 - 3	0 - 3
Road Teams	10 - 15	6 - 7	3 - 0	3 - 7

(#) ULM at (#) ARST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ULM	ARST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#123	#100
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#114	#97
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

UL Monroe Injury Report

Arkansas State Injury Report

UL Monroe on Offense


CategoryCat	ULM Off	ARST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#113	#118
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UL Monroe Run Game


CategoryCat	ULM Off	ARST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

UL Monroe Pass Game


CategoryCat	ULM Off	ARST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Arkansas State on Offense


CategoryCat	ARST Off	ULM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#48	#126
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas State Run Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	ULM Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Arkansas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	ULM Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ARST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'20 Profile: Remains Average G5

ULM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'20 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 14
Arkansas State -20.5 (71.5)
Arkansas State won vs UL Monroe this year (48-15)

Previous Matchups
UL Monroe beat Arkansas State last year (28-16)
Arkansas State beat UL Monroe in 2024 (28-21)
Arkansas State beat UL Monroe in 2023 (34-24)

ULM's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UL Monroe's Full Roster

ULM's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ARST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD