Toledo at Arkansas State - 2014 Matchup Preview
Toledo logo   Toledo Rockets vs Arkansas State Red Wolves  Arkansas State logo
Sunday, January 4th 2015 (9:00 PM EST)
Toledo -3.5 (70.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Toledo 63 - Arkansas State: 44  (GODADDY BOWL)

 
Rockets (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 13 (17 - 17 on Road)
'14 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Red Wolves (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (29 - 27 @ Home)
'14 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Toledo's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Toledo vs New Hampshire-10.5
Sat 9/6 Toledo vs Missouri+5.5
Fri 9/12 Toledo at Cincinnati+12.0
Sat 9/20 Toledo vs Ball State-9.0
Sat 9/27 Toledo vs Central Michigan-15.0
Sat 10/4 Toledo at Western Michigan-10.0
Sat 10/11 Toledo at Iowa State+6.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Toledo vs Massachusetts-17.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Toledo at Kent State-13.0
Tue 11/11 Toledo at Northern Illinois+3.5
Wed 11/19 Toledo vs Bowling Green-6.5
Fri 11/28 Toledo at Eastern Michigan-21.5
Sun 1/4 Toledo vs Arkansas State-3.570.5W 63 - 44OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Arkansas State's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Arkansas State vs Montana State-8.5
Sat 9/6 Arkansas State at Tennessee+14.5
Sat 9/13 Arkansas State at Miami+17.0
Sat 9/20 Arkansas State vs Utah State-1.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Arkansas State vs UL Monroe-10.0
Sat 10/11 Arkansas State at Georgia State-13.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/21 Arkansas State at Louisiana-3.059.0L 40 - 55ON
Sat 11/1 Arkansas State at Idaho-14.5
Sat 11/8 Arkansas State vs South Alabama-9.5
Sat 11/15 Arkansas State vs App State-15.0
Thu 11/20 Arkansas State at Texas State-6.558.0L 27 - 45ON
Sat 11/29 Arkansas State vs New Mexico State-23.5
Sun 1/4 Arkansas State vs Toledo+3.570.5L 44 - 63ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Important Stats (2013)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL.0948%30.850%3.5424142%207-0.4.1847%13.344%49%-0.150.81.31.7
ARST.1144%25.242%3.1220644%202-0.16.0943%27.444%39%-0.0960.21.11.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1230.817.347.7%-0.41.323447241207654%43%50%42%3%.09
ARST Defense1327.427.242.5%-0.091.5 - - - - - 51%47%44%39%1%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Defense1213.316.747.1%-0.11.7 - - - - - 57%42%44%49%2%.18
ARST Offense1325.22943.8%-0.161.1214082062024.658%41%42%44%2%.11

Additional Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1229:0822.842%50%5.850.81.31.700031.2
Arkansas State1330:4021.244%29%7.260.21.11.500232.1
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1254%50%40.2240.6626.163.5475%0%0.76
ARST Defense1351%44% - - - - .13.1167%0%0.74
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Defense1257%44% - - - - .053.2268%0%0.69
ARST Offense1358%42%44.5205.74.631.053.1270%0%0.82

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1243%42%17.830.1206.86.911.71910.01127%36%.33%1.5
ARST Defense1347%39% - - - - - - 9.11.230%30%.181%1.4
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Defense1242%49% - - - - - - 8.371.330%40%.432%1.6
ARST Offense1341%44%19.628.3202.17.110.3147.21.229%32%.332%1.6

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Toledo's 2014 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Arkansas State: 0

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Arkansas State:




Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: 0 NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas State's 2014 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Toledo Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.3
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 16.7

Toledo's 2014 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 26
Arkansas State 21

Projected Total Points: 47
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Arkansas State's 2014 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201609/02Arkansas State10Toledo31Arkansas State -2.5Toledo64.0Under
201509/26Toledo37Arkansas State7Toledo -10Toledo58.0Under
201401/04Arkansas State44Toledo63Toledo -3.5Toledo70.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas State001 Overs
Toledo332 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 21 - 21 - 10 - 1
Road Teams2 - 12 - 11 - 01 - 1

Toledo Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2014Godaddy Bowl Toledo vs Arkansas State-3.570.5W 63 - 44
2012Potato Bowl Toledo vs Utah State  L 15 - 41
2011Military Bowl Toledo vs Air Force  W 42 - 41
2010Caesars Bowl Toledo vs Florida International  L 32 - 34
Arkansas State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2014Godaddy Bowl Arkansas State vs Toledo+3.570.5L 44 - 63
2013Godaddy Bowl Arkansas State vs Ball State+6.565.0W 23 - 20
2012Com Bowl Arkansas State vs Kent State  W 17 - 13
2011Com Bowl Arkansas State vs Northern Illinois  L 20 - 38
  
(#) TOL at (#) ARST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTOLARST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCat
TOL OffARST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffARST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffARST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arkansas State on Offense
CategoryCatARST OffTOL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arkansas State Pass Game
CategoryCatARST OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ARST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TOL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ladd Peebles Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Toledo 3.5 (70.5)
Toledo won at Arkansas State this year (63-44)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ARST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD