Fresno State at New Mexico State - 2019 Matchup Preview

Fresno State Bulldogs at New Mexico State Aggies

Saturday, September 28th 2019 (8:00 PM EDT)
Fresno State -20 (63.5)
Fresno State 30 - New Mexico State: 17

Bulldogs (4 - 8) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 19 (26 - 25 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NMSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -6.5 (SP+ FRES -18)
Projected Score: FRES: 25 - NMSU: 22 (47)
FRES Win prob: 93% | Cover: 53%
FRES Travel: 803 miles, 1 hrs behind

Aggies (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 28 (23 - 18 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FRES Players
NMSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Fresno State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Fresno State at USC	+14.5	50.0	L 23 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Fresno State vs Minnesota	+3.0	46.0	L 35 - 38	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Fresno State vs Sacramento State	-24.5	54.5	W 34 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/28	Fresno State at New Mexico State	-20.0	63.5	W 30 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Fresno State at Air Force	+2.5	50.5	L 24 - 43	O	N
Fri 10/18	Fresno State vs UNLV	-14.5	52.0	W 56 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Fresno State vs Colorado State	-13.5	57.0	L 31 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/2	Fresno State at Hawai'i	+2.0	69.5	W 41 - 38	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Fresno State vs Utah State	-5.0	59.0	L 35 - 37	O	N
Fri 11/15	Fresno State at San Diego State	+1.0	43.0	L 7 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/23	Fresno State vs Nevada	-13.5	51.5	L 28 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/30	Fresno State at San José State	-1.0	60.5	L 16 - 17	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule

New Mexico State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	New Mexico State at Washington State	+33.0	65.5	L 7 - 58	U	N
Sat 9/7	New Mexico State at Alabama	+54.5	65.0	L 10 - 62	O	Y
Sat 9/14	New Mexico State vs San Diego State	+16.5	51.5	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/21	New Mexico State at New Mexico	+4.0	69.0	L 52 - 55	O	Y
Sat 9/28	New Mexico State vs Fresno State	+20.0	63.5	L 17 - 30	U	Y
Sat 10/5	New Mexico State vs Liberty	+4.5	62.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/12	New Mexico State at Central Michigan	+10.0	56.5	L 28 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	New Mexico State at Georgia Southern	+13.5	53.5	L 7 - 41	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	New Mexico State at Ole Miss	+28.5	64.5	L 3 - 41	U	N
Sat 11/16	New Mexico State vs Incarnate Word	-7.5	60.0	W 41 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/23	New Mexico State vs UTEP	-8.0	56.0	W 44 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/30	New Mexico State at Liberty	+14.5	68.0	L 28 - 49	O	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FRES	.24	48%	25.8	44%	2.83	154	50%	267	4	.04	35%	18.8	33%	36%	2.28	43.8	1	1.8
NMSU	.07	39%	21.6	43%	2.81	106	36%	260	2.81	.21	46%	27.6	47%	43%	4.39	52.8	2.1	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FRES		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NMSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FRES Offense	14	25.8	26.3	48.3%	4	1	20	421	154	267	4.3	48%	51%	44%	50%	12%	.24
NMSU Defense	12	27.6	17.7	46.3%	4.39	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	61%	37%	47%	43%	14%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FRES Defense	14	18.8	24.8	35.5%	2.28	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	33%	36%	17%	.04
NMSU Offense	12	21.6	23.2	39.1%	2.81	2.1	20	366	106	260	3.6	35%	63%	43%	36%	18%	.07

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Fresno State	14	30:21	20.1	45%	70%	5.1	43.8	1	1.8	4.9	1.7	4	31.2
New Mexico State	12	24:52	20.4	36%	48%	6.3	52.8	2.1	1.3	6.2	2.3	7	27.6

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FRES Offense	14	48%	44%	35.8	154.4	4.3	31	.12	2.83	69%	7%	0.91
NMSU Defense	12	61%	47%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.16	75%	9%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FRES Defense	14	51%	33%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.85	57%	8%	0.89
NMSU Offense	12	35%	43%	29.4	105.8	3.6	14	.13	2.81	68%	10%	1.03

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FRES Offense	14	51%	50%	21.5	31.4	267.1	8.5	12.4	26	6	.38	1.4	26%	41%	.38	5%	1.6
NMSU Defense	12	37%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.28	1.7	31%	39%	.46	4%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FRES Defense	14	47%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.07	1.7	35%	26%	.17	9%	2
NMSU Offense	12	63%	36%	24.8	44.8	260.3	5.8	10.5	16	16	.06	1.5	37%	31%	.26	9%	1.9

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Fresno State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #80
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #46
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #98

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: New Mexico State: -8.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: -4.0 New Mexico State: -22.0

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -8.5 NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
New Mexico State's 2019 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.0 #123
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #115
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #126

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.8

Fresno State's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Fresno State 25
New Mexico State 22

Projected Total Points: 47

New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.2
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

New Mexico State's 2019 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/14	Fresno State	48	New Mexico State	0	Fresno State -19.5	Fresno State	48.5	Under
2023	12/16	Fresno State	37	New Mexico State	10	New Mexico State -3.0	Fresno State	52.5	Under
2019	09/28	New Mexico State	17	Fresno State	30	Fresno State -20	New Mexico State	63.5	Under
2011	11/12	New Mexico State	48	Fresno State	45
2010	10/16	Fresno State	33	New Mexico State	10
2009	10/24	New Mexico State	3	Fresno State	34
2008	11/15	Fresno State	24	New Mexico State	17
2007	11/30	New Mexico State	23	Fresno State	30
2006	11/11	Fresno State	23	New Mexico State	18
2005	10/08	New Mexico State	7	Fresno State	37

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
New Mexico State	1	1	0 Overs
Fresno State	9	2	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 4	3 - 0	1 - 0	2 - 0
Road Teams	4 - 6	0 - 3	0 - 2	0 - 1

(#) FRES at (#) NMSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FRES	NMSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#80	#123
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#89	#128
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Fresno State Injury Report

New Mexico State Injury Report

Fresno State on Offense


CategoryCat	FRES Off	NMSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#46	#126
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Fresno State Run Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	NMSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Fresno State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	NMSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

New Mexico State on Offense


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	FRES Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#115	#98
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico State Run Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	FRES Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

New Mexico State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	FRES Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NMSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Remains Poor G5

FRES 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Aggie Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
Fresno State 20.0 (63.5)
Fresno State won at New Mexico State this year (30-17)

Previous Matchups
Fresno State beat New Mexico State in 2024 (48-0)
Fresno State beat New Mexico State in 2023 (37-10)

FRES's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NMSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD