Fresno State at USC - 2019 Matchup Preview
Fresno State logo   Fresno State Bulldogs at USC Trojans  USC logo
Saturday, August 31st 2019 (10:30 PM EDT)
USC -14.5 (50.0)
USC 31 - Fresno State: 23

 
Bulldogs (4 - 8) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 19 (26 - 25 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -11  (SP+ USC -17)
Projected Score: FRES: 23 - USC: 30 (53)
USC Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
FRES Travel: 210 miles
Trojans (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 23 (43 - 18 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Fresno State's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Fresno State at USC+14.550.0L 23 - 31OY
Sat 9/7 Fresno State vs Minnesota+3.046.0L 35 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Fresno State vs Sacramento State-24.554.5W 34 - 20UN
Sat 9/28 Fresno State at New Mexico State-20.063.5W 30 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Fresno State at Air Force+2.550.5L 24 - 43ON
Fri 10/18 Fresno State vs UNLV-14.552.0W 56 - 27OY
Sat 10/26 Fresno State vs Colorado State-13.557.0L 31 - 41ON
Sat 11/2 Fresno State at Hawai'i+2.069.5W 41 - 38OY
Sat 11/9 Fresno State vs Utah State-5.059.0L 35 - 37ON
Fri 11/15 Fresno State at San Diego State+1.043.0L 7 - 17UN
Sat 11/23 Fresno State vs Nevada-13.551.5L 28 - 35ON
Sat 11/30 Fresno State at San José State-1.060.5L 16 - 17UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
USC's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 USC vs Fresno State-14.550.0W 31 - 23ON
Sat 9/7 USC vs Stanford-3.043.0W 45 - 20OY
Sat 9/14 USC at BYU-4.557.5L 27 - 30UN
Fri 9/20 USC vs Utah+3.553.5W 30 - 23UY
Sat 9/28 USC at Washington+12.560.5L 14 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 USC at Notre Dame+10.560.0L 27 - 30UY
Sat 10/19 USC vs Arizona-10.068.0W 41 - 14UY
Fri 10/25 USC at Colorado-10.565.0W 35 - 31ON
Sat 11/2 USC vs Oregon+3.559.5L 24 - 56ON
Sat 11/9 USC at Arizona State-5.054.0W 31 - 26ON
Sat 11/16 USC at California-4.547.5W 41 - 17OY
Sat 11/23 USC vs UCLA-12.566.0W 52 - 35OY
Fri 12/27 USC vs Iowa-1.554.5L 24 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES.2448%25.844%2.8315450%2674.0435%18.833%36%2.2843.811.8
USC.1643%35.844%2.9413441%2483.13.1539%2338%39%3.3370.21.60.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Offense1425.826.348.3%41204211542674.348%51%44%50%12%.24
USC Defense122317.939.3%3.330.8 - - - - - 49%50%38%39%18%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Defense1418.824.835.5%2.281.8 - - - - - 51%47%33%36%17%.04
USC Offense1235.84343.3%3.131.6193831342484.147%51%44%41%19%.16

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Fresno State1430:2120.145%70%5.143.811.84.91.7431.2
USC1228:4519.338%50%7.870.21.60.85.91.8328.8
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Offense1448%44%35.8154.44.331.122.8369%7%0.91
USC Defense1249%38% - - - - .092.7665%11%1.1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Defense1451%33% - - - - .012.8557%8%0.89
USC Offense1247%44%32.8134.44.117.052.9465%11%0.88

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Offense1451%50%21.531.4267.18.512.4266.381.426%41%.385%1.6
USC Defense1250%39% - - - - - - 4.221.636%30%.268%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Defense1447%36% - - - - - - 19.071.735%26%.179%2
USC Offense1251%41%20.333.3248.27.512.21810.261.631%33%.278%1.6

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Fresno State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0  #80
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6  #46
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6  #98

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State:    USC: 9.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: -4.0   USC: 13.1




USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 9.05 NR
USC's Offense Rating: NR
USC's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
USC's 2019 Expected Record: -
USC's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.1  #22
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.0  #9
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7  #59

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.8

Fresno State's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
USC 30
Fresno State 23

Projected Total Points: 53
USC Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 43
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.9

USC's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/17USC45Fresno State17USC -11USC71.0Under
201908/31USC31Fresno State23USC -14.5Fresno State50.0Over
201408/30USC52Fresno State13USC -18.5USC59.0Over
201312/21USC45Fresno State20USC -4.5USC65.0Push
200511/19USC50Fresno State42
TeamWinsCoversO/U
USC532 Overs
Fresno State011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 03 - 13 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 51 - 30 - 01 - 3

(#) FRES at (#) USC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFRESUSC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #80 #22
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #89 #4
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Fresno State on Offense
CategoryCat
FRES OffUSC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #46 #59
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Fresno State Run Game
CategoryCat
FRES OffUSC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Fresno State Pass Game
CategoryCat
FRES OffUSC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
USC on Offense
CategoryCatUSC OffFRES Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #9 #98
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
USC Run Game
CategoryCat
USC OffFRES Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
USC Pass Game
CategoryCatUSC OffFRES Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USC 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

FRES 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
USC -14.5 (50.0)
USC won vs Fresno State this year (31-23)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
FRES's OC ()
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FRES's DC ()
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USC's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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USC's DC ()
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