New Mexico State at Alabama - 2019 Matchup Preview

New Mexico State Aggies at Alabama Crimson Tide

Saturday, September 7th 2019 (4:00 PM EDT)
Alabama -54.5 (65.0)
Alabama 62 - New Mexico State: 10

Aggies (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 28 (20 - 38 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NMSU 2nd straight Road Game
ALA 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -29.5 (SP+ ALA -54)
Projected Score: NMSU: 18 - ALA: 34 (52)
ALA Win prob: 100% | Cover: 100%
NMSU Travel: 1116 miles, 1 hrs behind

Crimson Tide (11 - 2) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (39 - 11 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NMSU Players
ALA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

New Mexico State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	New Mexico State at Washington State	+33.0	65.5	L 7 - 58	U	N
Sat 9/7	New Mexico State at Alabama	+54.5	65.0	L 10 - 62	O	Y
Sat 9/14	New Mexico State vs San Diego State	+16.5	51.5	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/21	New Mexico State at New Mexico	+4.0	69.0	L 52 - 55	O	Y
Sat 9/28	New Mexico State vs Fresno State	+20.0	63.5	L 17 - 30	U	Y
Sat 10/5	New Mexico State vs Liberty	+4.5	62.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/12	New Mexico State at Central Michigan	+10.0	56.5	L 28 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	New Mexico State at Georgia Southern	+13.5	53.5	L 7 - 41	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	New Mexico State at Ole Miss	+28.5	64.5	L 3 - 41	U	N
Sat 11/16	New Mexico State vs Incarnate Word	-7.5	60.0	W 41 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/23	New Mexico State vs UTEP	-8.0	56.0	W 44 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/30	New Mexico State at Liberty	+14.5	68.0	L 28 - 49	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule

Alabama's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Alabama vs Duke	-33.5	57.5	W 42 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Alabama vs New Mexico State	-54.5	65.0	W 62 - 10	O	N
Sat 9/14	Alabama at South Carolina	-25.5	59.5	W 47 - 23	O	N
Sat 9/21	Alabama vs Southern Miss	-36.5	63.0	W 49 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Alabama vs Ole Miss	-37.5	62.5	W 59 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Alabama at Texas A&M	-17.0	61.0	W 47 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Alabama vs Tennessee	-35.0	62.0	W 35 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/26	Alabama vs Arkansas	-32.0	56.0	W 48 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Alabama vs LSU	-5.0	65.5	L 41 - 46	O	N
Sat 11/16	Alabama at Mississippi State	-19.0	61.0	W 38 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Alabama vs Western Carolina	-58.5	61.5	W 66 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Alabama at Auburn	-3.5	51.0	L 45 - 48	O	N
Wed 1/1	Alabama vs Michigan	-8.5	62.0	W 35 - 16	U	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NMSU	.07	39%	21.6	43%	2.81	106	36%	260	2.81	.21	46%	27.6	47%	43%	4.39	52.8	2.1	1.3
ALA	.44	57%	29.5	57%	3.64	198	55%	324	4.54	.08	35%	19.2	33%	36%	2.87	53.1	1.1	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NMSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ALA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NMSU Offense	12	21.6	20	39.1%	2.81	2.1	20	366	106	260	3.6	35%	63%	43%	36%	18%	.07
ALA Defense	15	19.2	11.4	35.4%	2.87	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	44%	54%	33%	36%	20%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NMSU Defense	12	27.6	37.5	46.3%	4.39	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	61%	37%	47%	43%	14%	.21
ALA Offense	15	29.5	39.3	56.7%	4.54	1.1	25	522	198	324	5.2	49%	49%	57%	55%	11%	.44

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
New Mexico State	12	24:52	20.4	36%	48%	6.3	52.8	2.1	1.3	6.2	2.3	7	27.6
Alabama	15	30:27	24.8	52%	44%	5.7	53.1	1.1	1.3	7	2.9	6	31.3

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense	12	35%	43%	29.4	105.8	3.6	14	.13	2.81	68%	10%	1.03
ALA Defense	15	44%	33%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.5	66%	12%	0.99

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NMSU Defense	12	61%	47%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.16	75%	9%	1
ALA Offense	15	49%	57%	38.1	198.3	5.2	33	.28	3.64	79%	7%	0.87

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense	12	63%	36%	24.8	44.8	260.3	5.8	10.5	16	16	.06	1.5	37%	31%	.26	9%	1.9
ALA Defense	15	54%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.16	1.7	40%	31%	.36	8%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NMSU Defense	12	37%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.28	1.7	31%	39%	.46	4%	1.9
ALA Offense	15	49%	55%	20.1	29.2	323.6	11.1	16.1	52	8	.62	1.8	25%	46%	.73	4%	2.1

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
New Mexico State's 2019 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.0 #123
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #115
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #126

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: Alabama: 18.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -22.0 Alabama: 32.4

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 18.7 NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Alabama's 2019 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 32.4 #3
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 47.7 #2
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #3

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.5

New Mexico State's 2019 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0

Projected Score
Alabama 34
New Mexico State 18

Projected Total Points: 52

Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.4

Alabama's 2019 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	11/13	Alabama	59	New Mexico State	3	Alabama -50.0	Alabama	67.0	Under
2019	09/07	Alabama	62	New Mexico State	10	Alabama -54.5	New Mexico State	65.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Alabama	2	1	1 Overs
New Mexico State	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1

(#) NMSU at (#) ALA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NMSU	ALA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#123	#3
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#128	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

New Mexico State Injury Report

Alabama Injury Report

New Mexico State on Offense


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	ALA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#115	#3
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico State Run Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	ALA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

New Mexico State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	ALA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Alabama on Offense


CategoryCat	ALA Off	NMSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#2	#126
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Alabama Run Game


CategoryCat	ALA Off	NMSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Alabama Pass Game


CategoryCat	ALA Off	NMSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ALA 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'19 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

NMSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
Alabama -54.5 (65.0)
Alabama won vs New Mexico State this year (62-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

NMSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ALA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD