UNLV at Fresno State - 2019 Matchup Preview
UNLV logo   UNLV Rebels at Fresno State Bulldogs  Fresno State logo
Friday, October 18th 2019 (10:00 PM EDT)
Fresno State -14.5 (52.0)
Fresno State 56 - UNLV: 27  (Mountain West)

 
Rebels (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 28 (35 - 29 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNLV 2nd straight Road Game
UNLV is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -9  (SP+ FRES -13)

Projected Score: UNLV: 26 - FRES: 27 (53)
FRES Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
UNLV Travel: 260 miles
Bulldogs (4 - 8) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 19 (27 - 15 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UNLV's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 UNLV vs Southern Utah-24.570.5W 56 - 23OY
Sat 9/7 UNLV vs Arkansas State+1.063.5L 17 - 43UN
Sat 9/14 UNLV at Northwestern+18.552.0L 14 - 30UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 UNLV at Wyoming+8.044.5L 17 - 53ON
Sat 10/5 UNLV vs Boise State+24.057.0L 13 - 38UN
Sat 10/12 UNLV at Vanderbilt+16.557.5W 34 - 10UY
Fri 10/18 UNLV at Fresno State+14.552.0L 27 - 56ON
Sat 10/26 UNLV vs San Diego State+12.045.0L 17 - 20UY
Sat 11/2 UNLV at Colorado State+7.563.5L 17 - 37UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 UNLV vs Hawai'i+6.572.5L 7 - 21UN
Sat 11/23 UNLV vs San José State+7.065.5W 38 - 35OY
Sat 11/30 UNLV at Nevada+6.552.0W 33 - 30OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
Fresno State's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Fresno State at USC+14.550.0L 23 - 31OY
Sat 9/7 Fresno State vs Minnesota+3.046.0L 35 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Fresno State vs Sacramento State-24.554.5W 34 - 20UN
Sat 9/28 Fresno State at New Mexico State-20.063.5W 30 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Fresno State at Air Force+2.550.5L 24 - 43ON
Fri 10/18 Fresno State vs UNLV-14.552.0W 56 - 27OY
Sat 10/26 Fresno State vs Colorado State-13.557.0L 31 - 41ON
Sat 11/2 Fresno State at Hawai'i+2.069.5W 41 - 38OY
Sat 11/9 Fresno State vs Utah State-5.059.0L 35 - 37ON
Fri 11/15 Fresno State at San Diego State+1.043.0L 7 - 17UN
Sat 11/23 Fresno State vs Nevada-13.551.5L 28 - 35ON
Sat 11/30 Fresno State at San José State-1.060.5L 16 - 17UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV.242%34.147%3.0622535%1673.74.2845%2842%45%4.3845.71.41.7
FRES.2448%25.844%2.8315450%2674.0435%18.833%36%2.2843.811.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FRES0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Offense1234.134.742.2%3.741.421392225167558%41%47%35%17%.2
FRES Defense1418.815.335.5%2.281.8 - - - - - 51%47%33%36%17%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Defense122829.345.4%4.381.7 - - - - - 49%48%42%45%16%.28
FRES Offense1425.826.548.3%41204211542674.348%51%44%50%12%.24

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UNLV1230:0420.537%55%5.445.71.41.761.8028.7
Fresno State1430:2120.145%70%5.143.811.84.91.7431.2
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense1258%47%45.2224.7523.233.0676%11%1.05
FRES Defense1451%33% - - - - .012.8557%8%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense1249%42% - - - - .152.8473%11%1.05
FRES Offense1448%44%35.8154.44.331.122.8369%7%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense1241%35%14.828.9166.85.811.32412.161.833%29%.266%2.1
FRES Defense1447%36% - - - - - - 19.071.735%26%.179%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense1248%45% - - - - - - 10.421.833%38%.515%2
FRES Offense1451%50%21.531.4267.18.512.4266.381.426%41%.385%1.6

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: NR
UNLV's Offense Rating: NR
UNLV's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UNLV's 2019 Expected Record: -
UNLV's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.4  #120
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.3  #114
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1  #114

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV:    Fresno State: 0.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -17.4   Fresno State: -4.0




Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: 0.5 NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Fresno State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0  #80
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6  #46
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6  #98

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UNLV Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.7
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

UNLV's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Fresno State 27
UNLV 26


Projected Total Points: 53
Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.5
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.3

Fresno State's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28UNLV59Fresno State14UNLV -2.5UNLV51.0Over
202310/28Fresno State31UNLV24Fresno State -10.5UNLV56.0Under
202211/11UNLV30Fresno State37Fresno State -9UNLV61.5Over
202109/24Fresno State38UNLV30Fresno State -30UNLV59.0Over
202011/07UNLV27Fresno State40Fresno State -11Fresno State57.5Over
201910/18Fresno State56UNLV27Fresno State -14.5Fresno State52.0Over
201811/03UNLV3Fresno State48Fresno State -27Fresno State58.5Under
201710/28Fresno State16UNLV26Fresno State -21.5UNLV59.0Under
201610/01UNLV45Fresno State20UNLV -11.5UNLV56.5Over
201510/16Fresno State31UNLV28UNLV -5.5Fresno State49.0Over
201410/10UNLV30Fresno State27Fresno State -9UNLV0
201310/19Fresno State38UNLV14Fresno State -21Fresno State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Fresno State857 Overs
UNLV473 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 47 - 54 - 33 - 2
Road Teams4 - 85 - 72 - 33 - 4

(#) UNLV at (#) FRES
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNLVFRES
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #120 #80
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #85 #89
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UNLV on Offense
CategoryCat
UNLV OffFRES Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #114 #98
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UNLV Run Game
CategoryCat
UNLV OffFRES Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UNLV Pass Game
CategoryCat
UNLV OffFRES Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Fresno State on Offense
CategoryCatFRES OffUNLV Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #46 #114
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Fresno State Run Game
CategoryCat
FRES OffUNLV Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Fresno State Pass Game
CategoryCatFRES OffUNLV Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
FRES 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

UNLV 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bulldog Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
Fresno State -14.5 (52.0)
Fresno State won vs UNLV this year (56-27)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat Fresno State in 2024 (59-14)
Fresno State beat UNLV in 2023 (31-24)

  
UNLV's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UNLV's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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FRES's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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FRES's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD