Sacramento State at Fresno State - 2019 Matchup Preview
Sacramento State logo   Sacramento State Hornets at Fresno State Bulldogs  Fresno State logo
Saturday, September 21st 2019 (10:00 PM EDT)
Fresno State -24.5 (54.5)
Fresno State 34 - Sacramento State: 20

 
Hornets (0 - 2) (2 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 20 (17 - 20 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SAC coming off BYE
FRES coming off BYE
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ FRES -4)

Projected Score: SAC: 17 - FRES: 23 (40)
FRES Win prob: 95% | Cover: 52%
SAC Travel: 151 miles
Bulldogs (4 - 8) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 19 (27 - 15 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Sacramento State's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/6 Sacramento State at Arizona State+35.063.5L 7 - 19UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Sacramento State at Fresno State+24.554.5L 20 - 34UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Sacramento State's Schedule
Fresno State's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Fresno State at USC+14.550.0L 23 - 31OY
Sat 9/7 Fresno State vs Minnesota+3.046.0L 35 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Fresno State vs Sacramento State-24.554.5W 34 - 20UN
Sat 9/28 Fresno State at New Mexico State-20.063.5W 30 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Fresno State at Air Force+2.550.5L 24 - 43ON
Fri 10/18 Fresno State vs UNLV-14.552.0W 56 - 27OY
Sat 10/26 Fresno State vs Colorado State-13.557.0L 31 - 41ON
Sat 11/2 Fresno State at Hawai'i+2.069.5W 41 - 38OY
Sat 11/9 Fresno State vs Utah State-5.059.0L 35 - 37ON
Fri 11/15 Fresno State at San Diego State+1.043.0L 7 - 17UN
Sat 11/23 Fresno State vs Nevada-13.551.5L 28 - 35ON
Sat 11/30 Fresno State at San José State-1.060.5L 16 - 17UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SAC0%170%000%000%200%0%0000
FRES.2448%25.844%2.8315450%2674.0435%18.833%36%2.2843.811.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SAC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FRES0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SAC Offense117170%00000000%0%0%0%0%
FRES Defense1418.815.335.5%2.281.8 - - - - - 51%47%33%36%17%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SAC Defense120200%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
FRES Offense1425.826.548.3%41204211542674.348%51%44%50%12%.24

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Sacramento State10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Fresno State1430:2120.145%70%5.143.811.84.91.7431.2
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SAC Offense10%0%000000%0%0
FRES Defense1451%33% - - - - .012.8557%8%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SAC Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
FRES Offense1448%44%35.8154.44.331.122.8369%7%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SAC Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
FRES Defense1447%36% - - - - - - 19.071.735%26%.179%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SAC Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
FRES Offense1451%50%21.531.4267.18.512.4266.381.426%41%.385%1.6

Sacramento State's Power Ratings
Sacramento State's Power Rating: NR
Sacramento State's Offense Rating: NR
Sacramento State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #204
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Sacramento State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Sacramento State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Sacramento State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Sacramento State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Sacramento State:    Fresno State: 0.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Sacramento State:    Fresno State: -4.0




Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: 0.5 NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Fresno State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0  #80
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6  #46
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6  #98

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Sacramento State Scoring
Offense: 17 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 20 PPG
Defense on Road: 20

Sacramento State's 2019 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 2
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Fresno State 23
Sacramento State 17


Projected Total Points: 40
Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.5
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.3

Fresno State's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/07Fresno State46Sacramento State30Fresno State -18.5Sacramento State55.5Over
201909/21Fresno State34Sacramento State20Fresno State -24.5Sacramento State54.5Under
201609/10Fresno State31Sacramento State3
200709/01Fresno State24Sacramento State3
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Fresno State401 Overs
Sacramento State021 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 00 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams0 - 42 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#) SAC at (#) FRES
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSACFRES
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #80
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #204 #89
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Sacramento State on Offense
CategoryCat
SAC OffFRES Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #98
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Sacramento State Run Game
CategoryCat
SAC OffFRES Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Sacramento State Pass Game
CategoryCat
SAC OffFRES Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Fresno State on Offense
CategoryCatFRES OffSAC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #46NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Fresno State Run Game
CategoryCat
FRES OffSAC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Fresno State Pass Game
CategoryCatFRES OffSAC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
FRES 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

SAC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'19 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bulldog Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
Fresno State -24.5 (54.5)
Fresno State won vs Sacramento State this year (34-20)

Previous Matchups
Fresno State beat Sacramento State in 2024 (46-30)

  
SAC's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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SAC's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

FRES's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD