New Mexico State at New Mexico - 2019 Matchup Preview
New Mexico State logo   New Mexico State Aggies at New Mexico Lobos  New Mexico logo
Saturday, September 21st 2019 (4:30 PM EDT)
New Mexico -4 (69.0)
New Mexico 55 - New Mexico State: 52

 
Aggies (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 28 (20 - 38 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NMSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -5  (SP+ UNM -5)

Projected Score: NMSU: 21 - UNM: 30 (51)
UNM Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
NMSU Travel: 193 miles
Lobos (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (28 - 19 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
New Mexico State's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 New Mexico State at Washington State+33.065.5L 7 - 58UN
Sat 9/7 New Mexico State at Alabama+54.565.0L 10 - 62OY
Sat 9/14 New Mexico State vs San Diego State+16.551.5L 10 - 31UN
Sat 9/21 New Mexico State at New Mexico+4.069.0L 52 - 55OY
Sat 9/28 New Mexico State vs Fresno State+20.063.5L 17 - 30UY
Sat 10/5 New Mexico State vs Liberty+4.562.5L 13 - 20UN
Sat 10/12 New Mexico State at Central Michigan+10.056.5L 28 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 New Mexico State at Georgia Southern+13.553.5L 7 - 41UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 New Mexico State at Ole Miss+28.564.5L 3 - 41UN
Sat 11/16 New Mexico State vs Incarnate Word-7.560.0W 41 - 28OY
Sat 11/23 New Mexico State vs UTEP-8.056.0W 44 - 35OY
Sat 11/30 New Mexico State at Liberty+14.568.0L 28 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule
New Mexico's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 New Mexico vs Sam Houston-6.562.5W 39 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 New Mexico at Notre Dame+34.564.0L 14 - 66ON
Sat 9/21 New Mexico vs New Mexico State-4.069.0W 55 - 52ON
Sat 9/28 New Mexico at Liberty+7.572.0L 10 - 17UY
Fri 10/4 New Mexico at San José State+6.570.0L 21 - 32UN
Fri 10/11 New Mexico vs Colorado State+4.066.5L 21 - 35UN
Sat 10/19 New Mexico at Wyoming+17.549.0L 10 - 23UY
Sat 10/26 New Mexico vs Hawai'i+10.070.5L 31 - 45ON
Sat 11/2 New Mexico at Nevada+3.558.0L 10 - 21UN
Sat 11/9 New Mexico vs Air Force+21.056.5
Sat 11/16 New Mexico at Boise State+27.559.0L 9 - 42UN
Sat 11/23 New Mexico vs Air Force+24.056.5L 22 - 44OY
Sat 11/30 New Mexico vs Utah State+12.063.0L 25 - 38UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU.0739%21.643%2.8110636%2602.81.2146%27.647%43%4.3952.82.11.3
UNM.1142%27.144%2.6915336%1784.02.2847%22.349%42%3.8148.72.21.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Offense1221.62039.1%2.812.1203661062603.635%63%43%36%18%.07
UNM Defense1222.318.746.7%3.811.8 - - - - - 54%44%49%42%14%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Defense1227.637.546.3%4.391.3 - - - - - 61%37%47%43%14%.21
UNM Offense1227.128.341.6%4.022.2183311531783.761%38%44%36%18%.11

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico State1224:5220.436%48%6.352.82.11.36.22.3727.6
New Mexico1227:2917.537%33%4.848.72.21.85.52.2229.7
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense1235%43%29.4105.83.614.132.8168%10%1.03
UNM Defense1254%49% - - - - .223.3175%9%1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Defense1261%47% - - - - .183.1675%9%1
UNM Offense1261%44%42153.23.717.042.6974%12%0.82

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense1263%36%24.844.8260.35.810.51616.061.537%31%.269%1.9
UNM Defense1244%42% - - - - - - 9.381.929%38%.485%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Defense1237%43% - - - - - - 6.281.731%39%.464%1.9
UNM Offense1238%36%12.824178.17.4142117.21230%30%.366%2.3

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
New Mexico State's 2019 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.0  #123
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0  #115
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3  #126

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State:    New Mexico: -6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -22.0   New Mexico: -17.0




New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -6 NR
New Mexico's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
New Mexico's 2019 Expected Record: -
New Mexico's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.0  #119
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.6  #107
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.2  #123

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.5

New Mexico State's 2019 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Projected Score
New Mexico 30
New Mexico State 21


Projected Total Points: 51
New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

New Mexico's 2019 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/27New Mexico38New Mexico State20New Mexico -16.5New Mexico53.5Over
202409/28New Mexico State40New Mexico50New Mexico -9.5New Mexico54.0Over
202309/16New Mexico17New Mexico State27New Mexico -2.5New Mexico State52.0Under
202210/15New Mexico State21New Mexico9New Mexico -7New Mexico State38.5Under
202109/11New Mexico34New Mexico State25New Mexico -19.5New Mexico State55.5Over
201909/21New Mexico55New Mexico State52New Mexico -4New Mexico State69.0Over
201809/15New Mexico State25New Mexico42New Mexico -3New Mexico60.5Over
201709/09New Mexico28New Mexico State30New Mexico -7New Mexico State69.5Under
201609/10New Mexico State32New Mexico31New Mexico -11.5New Mexico State62.0Over
201510/03New Mexico38New Mexico State29New Mexico -14New Mexico State65.5Over
201409/20New Mexico State35New Mexico38New Mexico -3NA0
201310/05New Mexico66New Mexico State17New Mexico -7New Mexico0
201209/22New Mexico State14New Mexico27
201110/01New Mexico28New Mexico State42
201010/09New Mexico State16New Mexico14
200909/26New Mexico17New Mexico State20
200809/27New Mexico State24New Mexico35
200709/08New Mexico44New Mexico State34
200609/09New Mexico State28New Mexico34
200509/17New Mexico38New Mexico State21
200409/25New Mexico State3New Mexico38
200309/27New Mexico24New Mexico State17
200209/21New Mexico State24New Mexico13
200111/24New Mexico53New Mexico State0
200009/15New Mexico State13New Mexico16
TeamWinsCoversO/U
New Mexico1747 Overs
New Mexico State873 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 124 - 72 - 52 - 2
Road Teams12 - 137 - 42 - 25 - 2

(#) NMSU at (#) UNM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNMSUUNM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #123 #119
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #128 #118
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
New Mexico State on Offense
CategoryCat
NMSU OffUNM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #115 #123
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
New Mexico State Run Game
CategoryCat
NMSU OffUNM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
New Mexico State Pass Game
CategoryCat
NMSU OffUNM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
New Mexico on Offense
CategoryCatUNM OffNMSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #107 #126
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
New Mexico Run Game
CategoryCat
UNM OffNMSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
New Mexico Pass Game
CategoryCatUNM OffNMSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

NMSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in University Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
New Mexico -4.0 (69.0)
New Mexico won vs New Mexico State this year (55-52)

Previous Matchups
New Mexico beat New Mexico State last year (38-20)
New Mexico beat New Mexico State in 2024 (50-40)
New Mexico State beat New Mexico in 2023 (27-17)

  
NMSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UNM's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View New Mexico's Full Roster

UNM's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD