Utah State at Fresno State - 2019 Matchup Preview

Utah State Aggies at Fresno State Bulldogs

Saturday, November 9th 2019 (7:00 PM EST)
Fresno State -5 (59.0)
Utah State 37 - Fresno State: 35 (Mountain West)

Aggies (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 29 (25 - 37 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FRES is playing their 5th straight game
USU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ FRES -0)
Projected Score: USU: 23 - FRES: 29 (52)
FRES Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
USU Travel: 545 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Bulldogs (4 - 8) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 19 (27 - 15 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USU Players
FRES Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Utah State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Utah State at Wake Forest	+5.0	61.0	L 35 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Utah State vs Stony Brook	-31.5	58.0	W 62 - 7	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Utah State at San Diego State	-4.0	53.0	W 23 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Utah State vs Colorado State	-24.0	69.0	W 34 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/5	Utah State at LSU	+27.0	72.5	L 6 - 42	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Utah State vs Nevada	-21.0	59.0	W 36 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Utah State at Air Force	+4.0	58.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/2	Utah State vs BYU	-3.0	51.0	L 14 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/9	Utah State at Fresno State	+5.0	59.0	W 37 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Utah State vs Wyoming	-4.0	51.0	W 26 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Utah State vs Boise State	+9.5	53.0	L 21 - 56	O	N
Sat 11/30	Utah State at New Mexico	-12.0	63.0	W 38 - 25	U	Y
Fri 12/20	Utah State vs Kent State	-7.5	71.5	L 41 - 51	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule

Fresno State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Fresno State at USC	+14.5	50.0	L 23 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Fresno State vs Minnesota	+3.0	46.0	L 35 - 38	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Fresno State vs Sacramento State	-24.5	54.5	W 34 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/28	Fresno State at New Mexico State	-20.0	63.5	W 30 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Fresno State at Air Force	+2.5	50.5	L 24 - 43	O	N
Fri 10/18	Fresno State vs UNLV	-14.5	52.0	W 56 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Fresno State vs Colorado State	-13.5	57.0	L 31 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/2	Fresno State at Hawai'i	+2.0	69.5	W 41 - 38	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Fresno State vs Utah State	-5.0	59.0	L 35 - 37	O	N
Fri 11/15	Fresno State at San Diego State	+1.0	43.0	L 7 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/23	Fresno State vs Nevada	-13.5	51.5	L 28 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/30	Fresno State at San José State	-1.0	60.5	L 16 - 17	U	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USU	.35	50%	30.9	46%	2.82	202	51%	293	4.49	.03	39%	28.7	38%	37%	2.55	70.1	1.3	2.4
FRES	.24	48%	25.8	44%	2.83	154	50%	267	4	.04	35%	18.8	33%	36%	2.28	43.8	1	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FRES		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USU Offense	13	30.9	25.2	49.9%	4.49	1.3	23	495	202	293	5.6	44%	54%	46%	51%	13%	.35
FRES Defense	14	18.8	15.3	35.5%	2.28	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	33%	36%	17%	.04

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USU Defense	13	28.7	37	39.1%	2.55	2.4	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	38%	37%	18%	.03
FRES Offense	14	25.8	26.5	48.3%	4	1	20	421	154	267	4.3	48%	51%	44%	50%	12%	.24

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Utah State	13	27:39	23.1	47%	60%	7.7	70.1	1.3	2.4	6.3	2.1	10	32.5
Fresno State	14	30:21	20.1	45%	70%	5.1	43.8	1	1.8	4.9	1.7	4	31.2

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USU Offense	13	44%	46%	36.4	202.2	5.6	37	.21	2.82	72%	8%	1.06
FRES Defense	14	51%	33%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.85	57%	8%	0.89

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USU Defense	13	51%	38%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.58	68%	11%	0.88
FRES Offense	14	48%	44%	35.8	154.4	4.3	31	.12	2.83	69%	7%	0.91

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USU Offense	13	54%	51%	23.2	35.7	293.1	8.2	12.6	32	6	.49	1.6	30%	41%	.66	4%	2.1
FRES Defense	14	47%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.07	1.7	35%	26%	.17	9%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USU Defense	13	47%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	22	.06	1.7	33%	28%	.11	7%	1.8
FRES Offense	14	51%	50%	21.5	31.4	267.1	8.5	12.4	26	6	.38	1.4	26%	41%	.38	5%	1.6

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: NR
Utah State's Offense Rating: NR
Utah State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Utah State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Utah State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.3 #82
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #77
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.0 #81

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah State: Fresno State: 0.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -4.3 Fresno State: -4.0

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: 0.5 NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Fresno State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #80
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #46
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #98

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Utah State Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 28.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 37

Utah State's 2019 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Fresno State 29
Utah State 23

Projected Total Points: 52

Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.5
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.3

Fresno State's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/22	Fresno State	17	Utah State	28	Fresno State -1.5	Utah State	50.5	Under
2023	10/13	Utah State	32	Fresno State	37	Fresno State -5.5	Utah State	56.0	Over
2020	11/14	Utah State	16	Fresno State	35	Fresno State -10.5	Fresno State	51.5	Under
2019	11/09	Fresno State	35	Utah State	37	Fresno State -5	Utah State	59.0	Over
2016	10/22	Utah State	38	Fresno State	20	Utah State -14	Utah State	51.0	Over
2015	10/10	Fresno State	14	Utah State	56	Utah State -10	Utah State	50.0	Over
2013	12/07	Fresno State	24	Utah State	17	Fresno State -6	Fresno State	0
2011	10/15	Fresno State	31	Utah State	21
2010	09/18	Utah State	24	Fresno State	41
2009	10/31	Fresno State	31	Utah State	27
2008	10/25	Utah State	28	Fresno State	30
2007	11/03	Fresno State	38	Utah State	27
2006	10/07	Utah State	13	Fresno State	12
2005	10/15	Fresno State	53	Utah State	21
2001	12/01	Fresno State	70	Utah State	21

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Fresno State	10	2	4 Overs
Utah State	5	5	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 7	3 - 4	2 - 2	1 - 2
Road Teams	7 - 8	4 - 3	2 - 1	2 - 2

(#) USU at (#) FRES

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USU	FRES
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#82	#80
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#114	#89
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Utah State Injury Report

Fresno State Injury Report

Utah State on Offense


CategoryCat	USU Off	FRES Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#77	#98
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Utah State Run Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	FRES Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Utah State Pass Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	FRES Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Fresno State on Offense


CategoryCat	FRES Off	USU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#46	#81
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Fresno State Run Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	USU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Fresno State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	USU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FRES 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

USU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bulldog Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 11
Fresno State -5.0 (59.0)
Utah State won at Fresno State this year (37-35)

Previous Matchups
Utah State beat Fresno State last year (28-17)
Fresno State beat Utah State in 2023 (37-32)

USU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Utah State's Full Roster

USU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

FRES's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD