Minnesota at Fresno State - 2019 Matchup Preview
Minnesota logo   Minnesota Golden Gophers at Fresno State Bulldogs  Fresno State logo
Saturday, September 7th 2019 (10:30 PM EDT)
Minnesota -3 (46.0)
Minnesota 38 - Fresno State: 35

 
Golden Gophers (11 - 2) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (8 - 38 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -9  (SP+ MINN -23.5)
Projected Score: MINN: 16 - FRES: 28 (44)
MINN Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
MINN Travel: 1488 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Bulldogs (4 - 8) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 19 (27 - 15 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Minnesota's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Minnesota vs South Dakota State-14.556.0W 28 - 21UN
Sat 9/7 Minnesota at Fresno State-3.046.0W 38 - 35ON
Sat 9/14 Minnesota vs Georgia Southern-17.045.0W 35 - 32ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Minnesota at Purdue+2.057.0W 38 - 31OY
Sat 10/5 Minnesota vs Illinois-14.058.0W 40 - 17UY
Sat 10/12 Minnesota vs Nebraska-7.047.0W 34 - 7UY
Sat 10/19 Minnesota at Rutgers-28.546.0W 42 - 7OY
Sat 10/26 Minnesota vs Maryland-14.059.0W 52 - 10OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Minnesota vs Penn State+7.049.0W 31 - 26OY
Sat 11/16 Minnesota at Iowa+3.044.5L 19 - 23UN
Sat 11/23 Minnesota at Northwestern-15.541.0W 38 - 22OY
Sat 11/30 Minnesota vs Wisconsin+3.045.0L 17 - 38ON
Wed 1/1 Minnesota vs Auburn+7.054.0W 31 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule
Fresno State's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Fresno State at USC+14.550.0L 23 - 31OY
Sat 9/7 Fresno State vs Minnesota+3.046.0L 35 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Fresno State vs Sacramento State-24.554.5W 34 - 20UN
Sat 9/28 Fresno State at New Mexico State-20.063.5W 30 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Fresno State at Air Force+2.550.5L 24 - 43ON
Fri 10/18 Fresno State vs UNLV-14.552.0W 56 - 27OY
Sat 10/26 Fresno State vs Colorado State-13.557.0L 31 - 41ON
Sat 11/2 Fresno State at Hawai'i+2.069.5W 41 - 38OY
Sat 11/9 Fresno State vs Utah State-5.059.0L 35 - 37ON
Fri 11/15 Fresno State at San Diego State+1.043.0L 7 - 17UN
Sat 11/23 Fresno State vs Nevada-13.551.5L 28 - 35ON
Sat 11/30 Fresno State at San José State-1.060.5L 16 - 17UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN.1644%2345%3.3617141%2093.64.243%22.941%43%3.1339.11.91.6
FRES.2448%25.844%2.8315450%2674.0435%18.833%36%2.2843.811.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FRES0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Offense13238.344.3%3.641.9213801712094.355%43%45%41%17%.16
FRES Defense1418.815.335.5%2.281.8 - - - - - 51%47%33%36%17%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Defense1322.93842.9%3.131.6 - - - - - 48%50%41%43%15%.2
FRES Offense1425.826.548.3%41204211542674.348%51%44%50%12%.24

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Minnesota1331:5720.740%50%3.939.11.91.65.21.6231
Fresno State1430:2120.145%70%5.143.811.84.91.7431.2
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Offense1355%45%40.2171.24.324.133.3677%9%0.82
FRES Defense1451%33% - - - - .012.8557%8%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Defense1348%41% - - - - .192.872%9%1.31
FRES Offense1448%44%35.8154.44.331.122.8369%7%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Offense1343%41%14.626.6208.87.814.32014.21.831%33%.358%2
FRES Defense1447%36% - - - - - - 19.071.735%26%.179%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Defense1350%43% - - - - - - 11.231.430%34%.36%1.7
FRES Offense1451%50%21.531.4267.18.512.4266.381.426%41%.385%1.6

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: NR
Minnesota's Offense Rating: NR
Minnesota's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Minnesota's 2019 Expected Record: -
Minnesota's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.4  #13
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.8  #7
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.6  #26

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Minnesota:    Fresno State: 0.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 19.4   Fresno State: -4.0




Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: 0.5 NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Fresno State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0  #80
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6  #46
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6  #98

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense on Road: 8.3
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Minnesota's 2019 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Fresno State 28
Minnesota 16

Projected Total Points: 44
Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.5
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.3

Fresno State's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201909/07Fresno State35Minnesota38Minnesota -3NA46.0Over
201809/08Minnesota21Fresno State14Minnesota -1Minnesota50.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Fresno State001 Overs
Minnesota211 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams1 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) MINN at (#) FRES
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMINNFRES
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #13 #80
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #46 #89
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Minnesota on Offense
CategoryCat
MINN OffFRES Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #7 #98
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Minnesota Run Game
CategoryCat
MINN OffFRES Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Minnesota Pass Game
CategoryCat
MINN OffFRES Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Fresno State on Offense
CategoryCatFRES OffMINN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #46 #26
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Fresno State Run Game
CategoryCat
FRES OffMINN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Fresno State Pass Game
CategoryCatFRES OffMINN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
FRES 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

MINN 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bulldog Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Minnesota 3.0 (46.0)
Minnesota won at Fresno State this year (38-35)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
MINN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MINN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

FRES's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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FRES's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD