Fresno State at Hawai'i - 2019 Matchup Preview

Fresno State Bulldogs at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Saturday, November 2nd 2019 (11:59 PM EDT)
Hawai'i -2 (69.5)
Fresno State 41 - Hawai'i: 38 (Mountain West)

Bulldogs (4 - 8) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 19 (26 - 25 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

HAW is playing their 4th straight game
FRES is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -3.5 (SP+ HAW -2)
Projected Score: FRES: 23 - HAW: 26 (49)
HAW Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
FRES Travel: 2518 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Rainbow Warriors (10 - 5) (8 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (31 - 17 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FRES Players
HAW Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Fresno State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Fresno State at USC	+14.5	50.0	L 23 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Fresno State vs Minnesota	+3.0	46.0	L 35 - 38	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Fresno State vs Sacramento State	-24.5	54.5	W 34 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/28	Fresno State at New Mexico State	-20.0	63.5	W 30 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Fresno State at Air Force	+2.5	50.5	L 24 - 43	O	N
Fri 10/18	Fresno State vs UNLV	-14.5	52.0	W 56 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Fresno State vs Colorado State	-13.5	57.0	L 31 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/2	Fresno State at Hawai'i	+2.0	69.5	W 41 - 38	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Fresno State vs Utah State	-5.0	59.0	L 35 - 37	O	N
Fri 11/15	Fresno State at San Diego State	+1.0	43.0	L 7 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/23	Fresno State vs Nevada	-13.5	51.5	L 28 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/30	Fresno State at San José State	-1.0	60.5	L 16 - 17	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule

Hawai'i's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/24	Hawai'i vs Arizona	+10.0	71.0	W 45 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Hawai'i vs Oregon State	-6.5	77.0	W 31 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/14	Hawai'i at Washington	+21.5	60.0	L 20 - 52	O	N
Sat 9/21	Hawai'i vs Central Arkansas	-16.5	66.5	W 35 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Hawai'i at Nevada	+2.0	64.0	W 54 - 3	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Hawai'i at Boise State	+11.5	60.5	L 37 - 59	O	N
Sat 10/19	Hawai'i vs Air Force	+4.5	66.5	L 26 - 56	O	N
Sat 10/26	Hawai'i at New Mexico	-10.0	70.5	W 45 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Hawai'i vs Fresno State	-2.0	69.5	L 38 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/9	Hawai'i vs San José State	-7.5	78.5	W 42 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/16	Hawai'i at UNLV	-6.5	72.5	W 21 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Hawai'i vs San Diego State	-1.0	47.0	W 14 - 11	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Hawai'i vs Army	-2.5	55.0	W 52 - 31	O	Y
Sat 12/7	Hawai'i at Boise State	+14.0	65.0	L 10 - 31	U	N
Tue 12/24	Hawai'i vs BYU	+3.0	65.5	W 38 - 34	O	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FRES	.24	48%	25.8	44%	2.83	154	50%	267	4	.04	35%	18.8	33%	36%	2.28	43.8	1	1.8
HAW	.21	46%	29	44%	3.19	109	46%	310	4	.24	45%	24.1	43%	45%	3.85	52.6	1.5	0.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FRES		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
HAW		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FRES Offense	14	25.8	26.3	48.3%	4	1	20	421	154	267	4.3	48%	51%	44%	50%	12%	.24
HAW Defense	14	24.1	17	44.8%	3.85	0.7	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	43%	45%	14%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FRES Defense	14	18.8	24.8	35.5%	2.28	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	33%	36%	17%	.04
HAW Offense	14	29	31	46.1%	4	1.5	22	419	109	310	3.7	39%	59%	44%	46%	18%	.21

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Fresno State	14	30:21	20.1	45%	70%	5.1	43.8	1	1.8	4.9	1.7	4	31.2
Hawai'i	14	29:00	21.6	33%	58%	5.9	52.6	1.5	0.7	4.9	2.1	1	27.8

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FRES Offense	14	48%	44%	35.8	154.4	4.3	31	.12	2.83	69%	7%	0.91
HAW Defense	14	56%	43%	-	-	-	-	.15	2.94	69%	9%	1.03

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FRES Defense	14	51%	33%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.85	57%	8%	0.89
HAW Offense	14	39%	44%	29.7	108.9	3.7	11	.06	3.19	76%	10%	0.74

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FRES Offense	14	51%	50%	21.5	31.4	267.1	8.5	12.4	26	6	.38	1.4	26%	41%	.38	5%	1.6
HAW Defense	14	43%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.39	1.7	31%	32%	.35	5%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FRES Defense	14	47%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.07	1.7	35%	26%	.17	9%	2
HAW Offense	14	59%	46%	22.9	38.9	310.3	8	13.6	43	12	.33	1.6	32%	31%	.28	8%	2

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Fresno State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #80
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #46
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #98

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: Hawai'i: 1.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: -4.0 Hawai'i: -1.9

Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: 1.55 NR
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: NR
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Hawai'i's 2019 Expected Record: -
Hawai'i's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.9 #69
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #27
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #113

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.8

Fresno State's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Hawai'i 26
Fresno State 23

Projected Total Points: 49

Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 29 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Hawai'i's 2019 Record
Record: 10 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/20	Hawai'i	21	Fresno State	23	Fresno State -2.5	Hawai'i	47.5	Under
2024	11/02	Fresno State	20	Hawai'i	21	Fresno State -12	Hawai'i	45.5	Under
2022	11/05	Fresno State	55	Hawai'i	13	Fresno State -27	Fresno State	62.0	Over
2021	10/02	Hawai'i	27	Fresno State	24	Fresno State -10.5	Hawai'i	64.5	Under
2020	10/24	Fresno State	19	Hawai'i	34	Fresno State -2.5	Hawai'i	64.5	Under
2019	11/02	Hawai'i	38	Fresno State	41	Hawai'i -2	Fresno State	69.5	Over
2018	10/27	Fresno State	50	Hawai'i	20	Fresno State -24.5	Fresno State	59.5	Over
2017	11/11	Hawai'i	21	Fresno State	31	Fresno State -10	NA	53.0	Under
2016	11/19	Fresno State	13	Hawai'i	14	Hawai'i -2.5	Fresno State	54.5	Under
2015	11/14	Hawai'i	14	Fresno State	42	Hawai'i -4	Fresno State	53.0	Over
2014	11/29	Fresno State	28	Hawai'i	21	Fresno State -12	Hawai'i	0
2013	09/29	Hawai'i	37	Fresno State	42	Fresno State -18.5	Hawai'i	0
2012	11/03	Fresno State	45	Hawai'i	10
2011	11/19	Hawai'i	21	Fresno State	24
2010	10/09	Fresno State	27	Hawai'i	49
2009	10/10	Hawai'i	17	Fresno State	42
2008	10/04	Fresno State	29	Hawai'i	32
2007	11/10	Hawai'i	37	Fresno State	30
2006	10/14	Fresno State	37	Hawai'i	68
2005	10/29	Hawai'i	13	Fresno State	27
2004	11/12	Fresno State	70	Hawai'i	14
2003	10/12	Hawai'i	55	Fresno State	28
2002	10/25	Fresno State	21	Hawai'i	31
2001	10/26	Hawai'i	38	Fresno State	34
2000	11/03	Fresno State	45	Hawai'i	27

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Hawai'i	11	6	4 Overs
Fresno State	14	5	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 15	6 - 5	2 - 5	4 - 0
Road Teams	15 - 10	5 - 6	0 - 4	5 - 2

(#) FRES at (#) HAW

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FRES	HAW
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#80	#69
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#89	#123
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Fresno State Injury Report

Hawai'i Injury Report

Fresno State on Offense


CategoryCat	FRES Off	HAW Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#46	#113
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Fresno State Run Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	HAW Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Fresno State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	HAW Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Hawai'i on Offense


CategoryCat	HAW Off	FRES Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#27	#98
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Hawai'i Run Game


CategoryCat	HAW Off	FRES Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Hawai'i Pass Game


CategoryCat	HAW Off	FRES Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
HAW 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'19 Profile: Remains Poor G5

FRES 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Aloha Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Hawai'i -2.0 (69.5)
Fresno State won at Hawai'i this year (41-38)

Previous Matchups
Fresno State beat Hawai'i last year (23-21)
Hawai'i beat Fresno State in 2024 (21-20)

FRES's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

HAW's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Hawai'i's Full Roster

HAW's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD