Nevada at Fresno State - 2019 Matchup Preview
Nevada logo   Nevada Wolf Pack at Fresno State Bulldogs  Fresno State logo
Saturday, November 23rd 2019 (10:30 PM EST)
Fresno State -13.5 (51.5)
Nevada 35 - Fresno State: 28  (Mountain West)

 
Wolf Pack (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 28 (16 - 30 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NEV coming off BYE
FRES is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -6.5  (SP+ FRES -8)
Projected Score: NEV: 17 - FRES: 28 (45)
FRES Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
NEV Travel: 189 miles
Bulldogs (4 - 8) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 19 (27 - 15 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Nevada's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Nevada vs Purdue+11.058.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 9/7 Nevada at Oregon+24.061.5L 6 - 77ON
Sat 9/14 Nevada vs Weber State-7.551.5W 19 - 13UN
Sat 9/21 Nevada at UTEP-14.051.5W 37 - 21OY
Sat 9/28 Nevada vs Hawai'i-2.064.0L 3 - 54UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Nevada vs San José State-3.060.5W 41 - 38ON
Sat 10/19 Nevada at Utah State+21.059.0L 10 - 36UN
Sat 10/26 Nevada at Wyoming+12.044.5L 3 - 31UN
Sat 11/2 Nevada vs New Mexico-3.558.0W 21 - 10UY
Sat 11/9 Nevada at San Diego State+17.039.5W 17 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Nevada at Fresno State+13.551.5W 35 - 28OY
Sat 11/30 Nevada vs UNLV-6.552.0L 30 - 33ON
Fri 1/3 Nevada vs Ohio+10.562.5L 21 - 30UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule
Fresno State's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Fresno State at USC+14.550.0L 23 - 31OY
Sat 9/7 Fresno State vs Minnesota+3.046.0L 35 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Fresno State vs Sacramento State-24.554.5W 34 - 20UN
Sat 9/28 Fresno State at New Mexico State-20.063.5W 30 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Fresno State at Air Force+2.550.5L 24 - 43ON
Fri 10/18 Fresno State vs UNLV-14.552.0W 56 - 27OY
Sat 10/26 Fresno State vs Colorado State-13.557.0L 31 - 41ON
Sat 11/2 Fresno State at Hawai'i+2.069.5W 41 - 38OY
Sat 11/9 Fresno State vs Utah State-5.059.0L 35 - 37ON
Fri 11/15 Fresno State at San Diego State+1.043.0L 7 - 17UN
Sat 11/23 Fresno State vs Nevada-13.551.5L 28 - 35ON
Sat 11/30 Fresno State at San José State-1.060.5L 16 - 17UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEV.1442%17.641%2.7615241%2773.77.1139%27.534%42%3.3356.82.11.4
FRES.2448%25.844%2.8315450%2674.0435%18.833%36%2.2843.811.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FRES0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEV Offense1317.615.541.7%3.772.1214281522774.543%55%41%41%17%.14
FRES Defense1418.815.335.5%2.281.8 - - - - - 51%47%33%36%17%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEV Defense1327.529.838.8%3.331.4 - - - - - 50%49%34%42%18%.11
FRES Offense1425.826.548.3%41204211542674.348%51%44%50%12%.24

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Nevada1329:0820.932%53%5.956.82.11.47.92.7229.3
Fresno State1430:2120.145%70%5.143.811.84.91.7431.2
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEV Offense1343%41%33.5151.94.524.072.7663%10%0.97
FRES Defense1451%33% - - - - .012.8557%8%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEV Defense1350%34% - - - - 2.6576%12%0.94
FRES Offense1448%44%35.8154.44.331.122.8369%7%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEV Offense1355%41%22.637.8276.57.312.22517.221.634%31%.277%1.8
FRES Defense1447%36% - - - - - - 19.071.735%26%.179%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEV Defense1349%42% - - - - - - 11.231.634%28%.235%2
FRES Offense1451%50%21.531.4267.18.512.4266.381.426%41%.385%1.6

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Nevada's 2019 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.3  #112
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.4  #113
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.9  #85

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Nevada:    Fresno State: 0.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -12.3   Fresno State: -4.0




Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: 0.5 NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Fresno State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0  #80
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6  #46
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6  #98

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.5
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Nevada's 2019 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Fresno State 28
Nevada 17

Projected Total Points: 45
Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.5
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.3

Fresno State's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04Fresno State20Nevada17Fresno State -12.5Nevada45.5Under
202410/18Nevada21Fresno State24Fresno State -3NA50.0Under
202309/30Fresno State27Nevada9Fresno State -25.5Nevada50.5Under
202211/19Nevada14Fresno State41Fresno State -22.5Fresno State54.0Over
202110/23Fresno State34Nevada32Fresno State -3.5Nevada64.5Over
202012/05Nevada37Fresno State26Nevada -6.5Nevada59.0Over
201911/23Fresno State28Nevada35Fresno State -13.5Nevada51.5Over
201810/06Nevada3Fresno State21Fresno State -15Fresno State59.0Under
201709/30Fresno State41Nevada21Fresno State -7.5Fresno State59.5Over
201610/08Nevada27Fresno State22Nevada -11.5Fresno State54.0Under
201511/05Fresno State16Nevada30Nevada -3.5Nevada54.0Under
201411/22Nevada20Fresno State40Nevada -6.5Fresno State0
201311/02Fresno State41Nevada23Fresno State -23Nevada0
201211/10Nevada36Fresno State52
201110/22Nevada45Fresno State38
201011/13Fresno State34Nevada35
200911/14Nevada52Fresno State14
200811/07Fresno State28Nevada41
200710/06Nevada41Fresno State49
200609/01Fresno State28Nevada19
200511/26Nevada38Fresno State35
200411/20Fresno State54Nevada17
200311/08Nevada10Fresno State27
200111/17Nevada14Fresno State61
200010/13Fresno State58Nevada21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Fresno State1655 Overs
Nevada976 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 122 - 102 - 70 - 3
Road Teams12 - 1310 - 23 - 07 - 2

(#) NEV at (#) FRES
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNEVFRES
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #112 #80
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #102 #89
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Nevada on Offense
CategoryCat
NEV OffFRES Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #113 #98
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Nevada Run Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffFRES Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Nevada Pass Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffFRES Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Fresno State on Offense
CategoryCatFRES OffNEV Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #46 #85
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Fresno State Run Game
CategoryCat
FRES OffNEV Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Fresno State Pass Game
CategoryCatFRES OffNEV Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
FRES 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

NEV 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bulldog Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
Fresno State -13.5 (51.5)
Nevada won at Fresno State this year (35-28)

Previous Matchups
Fresno State beat Nevada last year (20-17)
Fresno State beat Nevada in 2024 (24-21)
Fresno State beat Nevada in 2023 (27-9)

  
NEV's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Nevada's Full Roster

NEV's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

FRES's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD