Colorado State at Fresno State - 2019 Matchup Preview

Colorado State Rams at Fresno State Bulldogs

Saturday, October 26th 2019 (7:30 PM EDT)
Fresno State -13.5 (57.0)
Colorado State 41 - Fresno State: 31 (Mountain West)

Rams (4 - 8) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 31 (28 - 32 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FRES 2nd straight Home Game
CSU coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ CSU -0)
Projected Score: CSU: 28 - FRES: 34 (62)
FRES Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
CSU Travel: 831 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Bulldogs (4 - 8) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (37 - 33 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CSU Players
FRES Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Colorado State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Colorado State vs Colorado	+12.0	55.0	L 31 - 52	O	N
Sat 9/7	Colorado State vs Western Illinois	-12.0	57.5	W 38 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Colorado State at Arkansas	+9.0	63.5	L 34 - 55	O	N
Sat 9/21	Colorado State vs Toledo	+6.0	67.5	L 35 - 41	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Colorado State at Utah State	+24.0	69.0	L 24 - 34	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Colorado State vs San Diego State	+7.5	49.0	L 10 - 24	U	N
Fri 10/11	Colorado State at New Mexico	-4.0	66.5	W 35 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	Colorado State at Fresno State	+13.5	57.0	W 41 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Colorado State vs UNLV	-7.5	63.5	W 37 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Colorado State vs Air Force	+11.0	63.5	L 21 - 38	U	N
Fri 11/22	Colorado State at Wyoming	+5.5	50.5	L 7 - 17	U	N
Fri 11/29	Colorado State vs Boise State	+13.5	56.5	L 24 - 31	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule

Fresno State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Fresno State at USC	+14.5	50.0	L 23 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Fresno State vs Minnesota	+3.0	46.0	L 35 - 38	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Fresno State vs Sacramento State	-24.5	54.5	W 34 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/28	Fresno State at New Mexico State	-20.0	63.5	W 30 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Fresno State at Air Force	+2.5	50.5	L 24 - 43	O	N
Fri 10/18	Fresno State vs UNLV	-14.5	52.0	W 56 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Fresno State vs Colorado State	-13.5	57.0	L 31 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/2	Fresno State at Hawai'i	+2.0	69.5	W 41 - 38	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Fresno State vs Utah State	-5.0	59.0	L 35 - 37	O	N
Fri 11/15	Fresno State at San Diego State	+1.0	43.0	L 7 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/23	Fresno State vs Nevada	-13.5	51.5	L 28 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/30	Fresno State at San José State	-1.0	60.5	L 16 - 17	U	N

Important Stats (2019)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CSU	.2	45%	28.1	42%	2.63	132	45%	305	3.18	.16	42%	31.2	43%	37%	4.11	65.2	2	1.6
FRES	.21	46%	30	47%	3.07	159	43%	227	3.85	.17	45%	30.1	47%	42%	3.73	52.8	1.5	2.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CSU	#90 (.16)	42% (76)		43% (80)	2.88 (96)	162	41% (81)	192	3.56 (98)	#61 (.16)	42% (78)		42% (59)	43% (94)	4 (88)	47.3	1.2	1.5
FRES	#110 (.11)	39% (110)		38% (121)	2.73 (115)	101	41% (76)	242	3.68 (91)	#17 (.08)	40% (51)		43% (74)	38% (33)	3.63 (47)	55	1.3	1.5

Overall Stats 2019

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CSU Offense	12	28.1	28.2	44.6%	3.18	2	21	437	132	305	4	43%	55%	42%	45%	20%	.2
FRES Defense	12	30.1	33	45.4%	3.73	2.5	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	47%	42%	21%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CSU Defense	12	31.2	31.6	41.8%	4.11	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	58%	40%	43%	37%	20%	.16
FRES Offense	12	30	36.5	45.7%	3.85	1.5	19	386	159	227	4.9	48%	51%	47%	43%	18%	.21

Additional Stats 2019

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Colorado State	12	30:09	21.4	40%	52%	6.7	65.2	2	1.6	8.1	2.8	2	28.2
Fresno State	12	29:03	19.3	37%	46%	6.3	52.8	1.5	2.5	7.6	1.8	1	30.3

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CSU Offense	12	43%	42%	32.9	132.2	4	18	.02	2.63	53%	13%	0.89
FRES Defense	12	48%	47%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.95	71%	12%	0.9

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CSU Defense	12	58%	43%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.17	70%	13%	1.03
FRES Offense	12	48%	47%	32.8	159.3	4.9	27	.18	3.07	70%	11%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CSU Offense	12	55%	45%	23.3	37.1	305	8.2	13.1	21	11	.35	1.7	32%	36%	.44	7%	2
FRES Defense	12	50%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.23	1.5	32%	35%	.33	9%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CSU Defense	12	40%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.16	1.7	30%	32%	.26	7%	1.7
FRES Offense	12	51%	43%	20	31	226.6	7.3	11.3	17	11	.26	1.5	30%	35%	.37	7%	2

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: NR
Colorado State's Offense Rating: NR
Colorado State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Colorado State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Colorado State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.9 #78
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #79
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #78

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: Fresno State: 0.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -3.9 Fresno State: -4.0

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: 0.5 NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Fresno State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #80
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #46
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #98

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.2
Defense: 31.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.6

Colorado State's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Fresno State 34
Colorado State 28

Total Points: 62

Based on Last 4 Games
Fresno State 35
Colorado State 26

Total Points: 61

Based on Entire Season
Fresno State 33
Colorado State 30

Total Points: 63

Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 30 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.5
Defense: 30.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33

Fresno State's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/10	Colorado State	49	Fresno State	21	Fresno State -5.5	Colorado State	47.5	Over
2024	11/23	Fresno State	28	Colorado State	22	Fresno State -3.5	Fresno State	43.5	Over
2020	10/29	Fresno State	38	Colorado State	17	Colorado State -2.5	Fresno State	58.0	Under
2019	10/26	Fresno State	31	Colorado State	41	Fresno State -13.5	Colorado State	57.0	Over
2016	11/05	Colorado State	37	Fresno State	0	Colorado State -13	Colorado State	58.5	Under
2015	11/28	Fresno State	31	Colorado State	34	Colorado State -8.5	Fresno State	60.5	Over
2012	10/06	Colorado State	7	Fresno State	28
2008	12/20	Fresno State	35	Colorado State	40
2006	09/30	Fresno State	23	Colorado State	35
2003	10/04	Colorado State	34	Fresno State	10
2002	10/04	Fresno State	32	Colorado State	30
2001	10/13	Colorado State	22	Fresno State	25

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Fresno State	5	3	4 Overs
Colorado State	7	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 6	5 - 1	2 - 1	3 - 0
Road Teams	6 - 6	1 - 5	0 - 3	1 - 2

(#) CSU at (#) FRES

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CSU	FRES
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#78	#80
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#79	#89
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Colorado State Injury Report

Fresno State Injury Report

Colorado State on Offense


CategoryCat	CSU Off	FRES Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#79	#98
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Colorado State Run Game


CategoryCat	CSU Off	FRES Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Colorado State Pass Game


CategoryCat	CSU Off	FRES Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Fresno State on Offense


CategoryCat	FRES Off	CSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#46	#78
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Fresno State Run Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	CSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Fresno State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	CSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FRES 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

CSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bulldog Stadium
Conditions: Fog
Temp: 84°

Rematch from Week 9
Fresno State -13.5 (57.0)
Colorado State won at Fresno State this year (41-31)

Previous Matchups
Fresno State beat Colorado State last year (28-22)

CSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Colorado State's Full Roster

CSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

FRES's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD