New Mexico State at Liberty - 2019 Matchup Preview
New Mexico State logo   New Mexico State Aggies at Liberty Flames  Liberty logo
Saturday, November 30th 2019 (2:00 PM EST)
Liberty -14.5 (68.0)
Liberty 49 - New Mexico State: 28

 
Aggies (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 28 (20 - 38 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NMSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -12  (SP+ LIB -19)
Projected Score: NMSU: 24 - LIB: 31 (55)
LIB Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
NMSU Travel: 1597 miles, 2 hrs behind
Flames (8 - 5) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (32 - 27 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
New Mexico State's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 New Mexico State at Washington State+33.065.5L 7 - 58UN
Sat 9/7 New Mexico State at Alabama+54.565.0L 10 - 62OY
Sat 9/14 New Mexico State vs San Diego State+16.551.5L 10 - 31UN
Sat 9/21 New Mexico State at New Mexico+4.069.0L 52 - 55OY
Sat 9/28 New Mexico State vs Fresno State+20.063.5L 17 - 30UY
Sat 10/5 New Mexico State vs Liberty+4.562.5L 13 - 20UN
Sat 10/12 New Mexico State at Central Michigan+10.056.5L 28 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 New Mexico State at Georgia Southern+13.553.5L 7 - 41UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 New Mexico State at Ole Miss+28.564.5L 3 - 41UN
Sat 11/16 New Mexico State vs Incarnate Word-7.560.0W 41 - 28OY
Sat 11/23 New Mexico State vs UTEP-8.056.0W 44 - 35OY
Sat 11/30 New Mexico State at Liberty+14.568.0L 28 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule
Liberty's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Liberty vs Syracuse+19.569.0L 0 - 24UN
Sat 9/7 Liberty at Louisiana+14.065.5L 14 - 35UN
Sat 9/14 Liberty vs Buffalo+6.055.0W 35 - 17UY
Sat 9/21 Liberty vs Hampton-25.558.0W 62 - 27OY
Sat 9/28 Liberty vs New Mexico-7.572.0W 17 - 10UN
Sat 10/5 Liberty at New Mexico State-4.562.5W 20 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Liberty vs Maine-22
Sat 10/26 Liberty at Rutgers-7.544.0L 34 - 44ON
Sat 11/2 Liberty at Massachusetts-23.572.0W 63 - 21OY
Sat 11/9 Liberty at BYU+17.061.0L 24 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Liberty at Virginia+16.558.0L 27 - 55ON
Sat 11/30 Liberty vs New Mexico State-14.568.0W 49 - 28OY
Sat 12/21 Liberty vs Georgia Southern+5.059.0W 23 - 16UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU.0739%21.643%2.8110636%2602.81.2146%27.647%43%4.3952.82.11.3
LIB.1542%25.643%2.7916241%2624.18.2147%26.551%41%438.221.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LIB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Offense1221.62039.1%2.812.1203661062603.635%63%43%36%18%.07
LIB Defense1226.527.346.7%41.8 - - - - - 49%49%51%41%15%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Defense1227.637.546.3%4.391.3 - - - - - 61%37%47%43%14%.21
LIB Offense1225.631.542.3%4.18223423162262449%51%43%41%16%.15

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico State1224:5220.436%48%6.352.82.11.36.22.3727.6
Liberty1229:3023.142%60%4.338.221.85.12.2229.6
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense1235%43%29.4105.83.614.132.8168%10%1.03
LIB Defense1249%51% - - - - .233.2765%9%1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Defense1261%47% - - - - .183.1675%9%1
LIB Offense1249%43%40.7161.9430.082.7976%8%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense1263%36%24.844.8260.35.810.51616.061.537%31%.269%1.9
LIB Defense1249%41% - - - - - - 12.211.631%33%.266%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Defense1237%43% - - - - - - 6.281.731%39%.464%1.9
LIB Offense1251%41%20.437.3261.5712.82118.231.731%35%.368%2

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
New Mexico State's 2019 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.0  #123
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0  #115
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3  #126

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State:    Liberty: 1.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -22.0   Liberty: -2.6




Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 1.2 NR
Liberty's Offense Rating: NR
Liberty's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Liberty's 2019 Expected Record: -
Liberty's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6  #74
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #62
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.0  #86

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.5

New Mexico State's 2019 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 31
New Mexico State 24

Projected Total Points: 55
Liberty Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.5
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Liberty's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/14Liberty30New Mexico State27Liberty -10.5New Mexico State48.5Over
202409/07New Mexico State24Liberty30Liberty -22.5New Mexico State54.5Under
202309/09Liberty33New Mexico State17Liberty -9Liberty54.5Under
202312/01Liberty49New Mexico State35Liberty -10.5Liberty54.0Over
202211/26Liberty14New Mexico State49Liberty -24.0New Mexico State51.0Over
201910/05New Mexico State13Liberty20Liberty -4.5Liberty62.5Under
201911/30Liberty49New Mexico State28Liberty -14.5Liberty68.0Over
201810/06New Mexico State49Liberty41Liberty -3New Mexico State64.0Over
201811/24Liberty28New Mexico State21Liberty -7Push72.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Liberty745 Overs
New Mexico State244 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 35 - 33 - 22 - 1
Road Teams3 - 63 - 51 - 22 - 3

(#) NMSU at (#) LIB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNMSULIB
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #123 #74
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #128 #134
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
New Mexico State on Offense
CategoryCat
NMSU OffLIB Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #115 #86
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
New Mexico State Run Game
CategoryCat
NMSU OffLIB Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
New Mexico State Pass Game
CategoryCat
NMSU OffLIB Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Liberty on Offense
CategoryCatLIB OffNMSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #62 #126
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Liberty Run Game
CategoryCat
LIB OffNMSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Liberty Pass Game
CategoryCatLIB OffNMSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
LIB 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Top G5

NMSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 14
Liberty -14.5 (68.0)
Liberty won vs New Mexico State this year (49-28)

Previous Matchups
Liberty beat New Mexico State last year (30-27)
Liberty beat New Mexico State in 2024 (30-24)
Liberty beat New Mexico State in 2023 (49-35)

  
NMSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

LIB's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Liberty's Full Roster

LIB's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD