San Diego State at New Mexico State - 2019 Matchup Preview

San Diego State Aztecs at New Mexico State Aggies

Saturday, September 14th 2019 (8:00 PM EDT)
San Diego State -16.5 (51.5)
San Diego State 31 - New Mexico State: 10

Aztecs (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 15 (18 - 18 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SDSU 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -9.5 (SP+ SDSU -24)
Projected Score: SDSU: 23 - NMSU: 20 (43)
SDSU Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
SDSU Travel: 606 miles, 1 hrs behind

Aggies (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 28 (23 - 18 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SDSU Players
NMSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

San Diego State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	San Diego State vs Weber State	-14.0	36.5	W 6 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/7	San Diego State at UCLA	+7.5	44.5	W 23 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/14	San Diego State at New Mexico State	-16.5	51.5	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/21	San Diego State vs Utah State	+4.0	53.0	L 17 - 23	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	San Diego State at Colorado State	-7.5	49.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/12	San Diego State vs Wyoming	-3.5	38.5	W 26 - 22	O	Y
Sat 10/19	San Diego State at San José State	-7.5	45.5	W 27 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/26	San Diego State at UNLV	-12.0	45.0	W 20 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	San Diego State vs Nevada	-17.0	39.5	L 13 - 17	U	N
Fri 11/15	San Diego State vs Fresno State	-1.0	43.0	W 17 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/23	San Diego State at Hawai'i	+1.0	47.0	L 11 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/30	San Diego State vs BYU	+5.5	39.0	W 13 - 3	U	Y
Sat 12/21	San Diego State vs Central Michigan	-4.0	40.0	W 48 - 11	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule

New Mexico State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	New Mexico State at Washington State	+33.0	65.5	L 7 - 58	U	N
Sat 9/7	New Mexico State at Alabama	+54.5	65.0	L 10 - 62	O	Y
Sat 9/14	New Mexico State vs San Diego State	+16.5	51.5	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/21	New Mexico State at New Mexico	+4.0	69.0	L 52 - 55	O	Y
Sat 9/28	New Mexico State vs Fresno State	+20.0	63.5	L 17 - 30	U	Y
Sat 10/5	New Mexico State vs Liberty	+4.5	62.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/12	New Mexico State at Central Michigan	+10.0	56.5	L 28 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	New Mexico State at Georgia Southern	+13.5	53.5	L 7 - 41	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	New Mexico State at Ole Miss	+28.5	64.5	L 3 - 41	U	N
Sat 11/16	New Mexico State vs Incarnate Word	-7.5	60.0	W 41 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/23	New Mexico State vs UTEP	-8.0	56.0	W 44 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/30	New Mexico State at Liberty	+14.5	68.0	L 28 - 49	O	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SDSU	.13	39%	26.4	38%	2.73	162	38%	187	2.75	.11	39%	15.4	37%	39%	3.36	66.3	1.3	1.2
NMSU	.07	39%	21.6	43%	2.81	106	36%	260	2.81	.21	46%	27.6	47%	43%	4.39	52.8	2.1	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SDSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NMSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SDSU Offense	13	26.4	18.2	39%	2.75	1.3	17	349	162	187	4.1	58%	39%	38%	38%	18%	.13
NMSU Defense	12	27.6	17.7	46.3%	4.39	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	61%	37%	47%	43%	14%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SDSU Defense	13	15.4	18.3	39%	3.36	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	37%	39%	16%	.11
NMSU Offense	12	21.6	23.2	39.1%	2.81	2.1	20	366	106	260	3.6	35%	63%	43%	36%	18%	.07

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
San Diego State	13	30:12	17.3	35%	56%	7.2	66.3	1.3	1.2	5.2	2	1	27.6
New Mexico State	12	24:52	20.4	36%	48%	6.3	52.8	2.1	1.3	6.2	2.3	7	27.6

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SDSU Offense	13	58%	38%	39.9	161.7	4.1	16	.03	2.73	65%	12%	0.96
NMSU Defense	12	61%	47%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.16	75%	9%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SDSU Defense	13	49%	37%	-	-	-	-	-.04	2.35	67%	9%	0.86
NMSU Offense	12	35%	43%	29.4	105.8	3.6	14	.13	2.81	68%	10%	1.03

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SDSU Offense	13	39%	38%	12.8	23.9	187.2	7.8	14.7	14	6	.28	1.9	38%	32%	.21	6%	1.6
NMSU Defense	12	37%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.28	1.7	31%	39%	.46	4%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SDSU Defense	13	49%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.28	1.7	34%	32%	.34	7%	1.8
NMSU Offense	12	63%	36%	24.8	44.8	260.3	5.8	10.5	16	16	.06	1.5	37%	31%	.26	9%	1.9

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: NR
San Diego State's Offense Rating: NR
San Diego State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
San Diego State's 2019 Expected Record: -
San Diego State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #55
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.6 #122
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.6 #15

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: New Mexico State: -8.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: 2.0 New Mexico State: -22.0

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -8.5 NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
New Mexico State's 2019 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.0 #123
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #115
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #126

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.2
Defense: 15.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.3

San Diego State's 2019 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 11
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
San Diego State 23
New Mexico State 20

Projected Total Points: 43

New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.2
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

New Mexico State's 2019 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	09/04	San Diego State	28	New Mexico State	10	San Diego State -31	New Mexico State	51.0	Under
2019	09/14	New Mexico State	10	San Diego State	31	San Diego State -16.5	San Diego State	51.5	Under
2013	09/28	New Mexico State	16	San Diego State	26	San Diego State -17	New Mexico State	0
2010	09/11	New Mexico State	21	San Diego State	41
2009	10/03	San Diego State	34	New Mexico State	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
New Mexico State	0	2	0 Overs
San Diego State	5	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 3	1 - 2	0 - 1	1 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 2	2 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0

(#) SDSU at (#) NMSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SDSU	NMSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#55	#123
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#82	#128
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

San Diego State Injury Report

New Mexico State Injury Report

San Diego State on Offense


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	NMSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#122	#126
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

San Diego State Run Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	NMSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

San Diego State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	NMSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

New Mexico State on Offense


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	SDSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#115	#15
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico State Run Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	SDSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

New Mexico State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	SDSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NMSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Remains Poor G5

SDSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Aggie Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 3
San Diego State 16.5 (51.5)
San Diego State won at New Mexico State this year (31-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

SDSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NMSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD