Buffalo at Ohio - 2018 Matchup Preview

Buffalo Bulls at Ohio Bobcats

Wednesday, November 14th 2018 (7:00 PM EST)
Ohio -2.5 (66.0)
Ohio 52 - Buffalo: 17 (Mid-American)

Bulls (10 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 23 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

OHIO is playing their 10th straight game
Our Line: -5 (SP+ OHIO -5)
Projected Score: BUFF: 22 - OHIO: 28 (50)
OHIO Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
BUFF Travel: 307 miles

Bobcats (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (36 - 20 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BUFF Players
OHIO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Buffalo's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Buffalo vs Delaware State	-23
Sat 9/8	Buffalo at Temple	+4.0	52.5	W 36 - 29	O	Y
Sat 9/15	Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan	-3.0	54.0	W 35 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/22	Buffalo at Rutgers	-6.0	54.0	W 42 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/29	Buffalo vs Army	-7.5	54.5	L 13 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/6	Buffalo at Central Michigan	-6.5	52.0	W 34 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/13	Buffalo vs Akron	-12.0	55.0	W 24 - 6	U	Y
Sat 10/20	Buffalo at Toledo	+3.0	63.0	W 31 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/30	Buffalo vs Miami (OH)	-7.0	53.0	W 51 - 42	O	Y
Tue 11/6	Buffalo vs Kent State	-17.0	44.5	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Wed 11/14	Buffalo at Ohio	+2.5	66.0	L 17 - 52	O	N
Fri 11/23	Buffalo at Bowling Green	-16.0	62.0	W 44 - 14	U	Y
Fri 11/30	Buffalo vs Northern Illinois	-3.0	51.0	L 29 - 30	O	N
Sat 12/22	Buffalo vs Troy	-2.0	50.5	L 32 - 42	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule

Ohio's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Ohio vs Howard	-31.0	62.0	W 38 - 32	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/15	Ohio at Virginia	+5.0	54.5	L 31 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/22	Ohio at Cincinnati	+7.0	56.5	L 30 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/29	Ohio vs Massachusetts	-11.5	70.0	W 58 - 42	O	Y
Sat 10/6	Ohio at Kent State	-11.0	69.5	W 27 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/13	Ohio at Northern Illinois	+5.5	52.0	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/20	Ohio vs Bowling Green	-16.5	67.0	W 49 - 14	U	Y
Thu 10/25	Ohio vs Ball State	-10.5	66.0	W 52 - 14	U	Y
Thu 11/1	Ohio at Western Michigan	-3.0	65.0	W 59 - 14	O	Y
Wed 11/7	Ohio at Miami (OH)	-4.5	59.0	L 28 - 30	U	N
Wed 11/14	Ohio vs Buffalo	-2.5	66.0	W 52 - 17	O	Y
Fri 11/23	Ohio vs Akron	-24.0	56.5	W 49 - 28	O	N
Wed 12/19	Ohio vs San Diego State	-2.5	49.0	W 27 - 0	U	Y

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BUFF	.21	43%	24	39%	2.91	141	44%	291	3.6	.17	45%	23.5	47%	41%	3.22	49.8	1.1	1.2
OHIO	.26	49%	27.8	51%	3.27	245	42%	189	4.49	.09	38%	21.9	34%	39%	3.11	45.4	1.6	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BUFF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
OHIO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BUFF Offense	12	24	23.2	42.6%	3.6	1.1	21	432	141	291	4	49%	49%	39%	44%	14%	.21
OHIO Defense	13	21.9	20	38.1%	3.11	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	40%	59%	34%	39%	20%	.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BUFF Defense	12	23.5	22.6	45.2%	3.22	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	59%	39%	47%	41%	13%	.17
OHIO Offense	13	27.8	36.3	48.7%	4.49	1.6	22	433	245	189	5.7	59%	39%	51%	42%	17%	.26

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Buffalo	12	29:47	21	41%	67%	5.6	49.8	1.1	1.2	4.4	1.6	0	32.4
Ohio	13	30:55	22.3	41%	67%	5.2	45.4	1.6	1.2	5.8	2.6	2	34.9

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense	12	49%	39%	35.7	141.1	4	18	.05	2.91	77%	7%	0.8
OHIO Defense	13	40%	34%	-	-	-	-	-.01	2.52	63%	10%	0.99

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense	12	59%	47%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.09	82%	8%	0.89
OHIO Offense	13	59%	51%	42.6	244.5	5.7	44	.29	3.27	75%	11%	1.11

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense	12	49%	44%	19.5	33.3	290.8	8.7	14.9	24	6	.4	1.7	32%	36%	.37	7%	1.7
OHIO Defense	13	59%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.17	1.5	38%	31%	.17	10%	1.5

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense	12	39%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.23	1.5	28%	34%	.35	5%	1.8
OHIO Offense	13	39%	42%	13.7	24.7	188.5	7.6	13.8	20	9	.22	1.5	28%	34%	.31	7%	1.9

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Buffalo's 2018 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.1 #82
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #47
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #82

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: Ohio: 4.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -1.1 Ohio: 4.0

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: 4.5 NR
Ohio's Offense Rating: NR
Ohio's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ohio's 2018 Expected Record: -
Ohio's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #54
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.2 #16
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #107

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.6

Buffalo's 2018 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Ohio 28
Buffalo 22

Projected Total Points: 50

Ohio Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.3
Defense: 21.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20

Ohio's 2018 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/28	Buffalo	26	Ohio	31	Ohio -7.0	Buffalo	44.5	Over
2024	10/26	Ohio	47	Buffalo	16	Ohio -4.0	Ohio	46.5	Over
2023	11/07	Buffalo	10	Ohio	20	Ohio -9.5	Ohio	45.5	Under
2022	11/01	Ohio	45	Buffalo	24	Buffalo -2.5	Ohio	61.0	Over
2021	10/16	Buffalo	27	Ohio	26	Buffalo -7.5	Ohio	54.5	Under
2019	10/05	Buffalo	20	Ohio	21	Ohio -3	Buffalo	53.0	Under
2018	11/14	Ohio	52	Buffalo	17	Ohio -2.5	Ohio	66.0	Over
2017	11/24	Buffalo	31	Ohio	24	Ohio -7	Buffalo	56.0	Under
2016	11/03	Ohio	34	Buffalo	10	Ohio -19	Ohio	51.5	Under
2015	10/24	Buffalo	41	Ohio	17	Ohio -2	Buffalo	53.0	Over
2014	11/05	Ohio	37	Buffalo	14	Ohio -2	Ohio	0
2013	11/05	Buffalo	30	Ohio	3	Buffalo -2.5	Buffalo	0
2012	10/06	Ohio	38	Buffalo	31
2011	10/08	Buffalo	38	Ohio	37
2010	11/04	Ohio	34	Buffalo	17
2009	11/10	Buffalo	24	Ohio	27
2008	10/28	Ohio	19	Buffalo	32
2007	10/06	Buffalo	31	Ohio	10
2006	10/21	Ohio	42	Buffalo	7
2005	10/29	Buffalo	20	Ohio	34
2004	09/25	Ohio	34	Buffalo	0
2003	10/25	Buffalo	26	Ohio	17
2002	09/28	Ohio	34	Buffalo	32
2001	11/03	Buffalo	44	Ohio	0
2000	10/06	Ohio	42	Buffalo	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ohio	16	7	5 Overs
Buffalo	9	5	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	19 - 6	10 - 2	5 - 1	5 - 1
Road Teams	6 - 19	2 - 10	1 - 5	1 - 5

(#) BUFF at (#) OHIO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BUFF	OHIO
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#82	#54
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#106	#117
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Buffalo Injury Report

Ohio Injury Report

Buffalo on Offense


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	OHIO Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#47	#107
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Buffalo Run Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	OHIO Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Buffalo Pass Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	OHIO Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Ohio on Offense


CategoryCat	OHIO Off	BUFF Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#16	#82
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ohio Run Game


CategoryCat	OHIO Off	BUFF Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Ohio Pass Game


CategoryCat	OHIO Off	BUFF Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
OHIO 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

BUFF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Peden Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 12
Ohio -2.5 (66.0)
Ohio won vs Buffalo this year (52-17)

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Buffalo last year (31-26)
Ohio beat Buffalo in 2024 (47-16)
Ohio beat Buffalo in 2023 (20-10)

BUFF's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

OHIO's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ohio's Full Roster

OHIO's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD