UCF at South Florida - 2018 Matchup Preview
UCF logo UCF Knights at South Florida BullsSouth Florida logo
Friday, November 23rd 2018 (4:15 PM EST)
UCF -16.5 (70.0)
UCF 38 - South Florida: 10  (American Athletic)

 
Knights (12 - 1) (9 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 43 - 23 (41 - 17 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USF is playing their 8th straight game
UCF is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -6.5  (SP+ UCF -17.5)
Projected Score: UCF: 38 - USF: 21 (59)
UCF Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
UCF Travel: 91 miles
Bulls (7 - 6) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 32 (27 - 30 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UCF's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/30 UCF at UConn-24.070.0W 56 - 17OY
Sat 9/8 UCF vs South Carolina State-32
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/21 UCF vs Florida Atlantic-14.074.5W 56 - 36OY
Sat 9/29 UCF vs Pittsburgh-13.065.5W 45 - 14UY
Sat 10/6 UCF vs SMU-25.073.5W 48 - 20UY
Sat 10/13 UCF at Memphis-5.080.5W 31 - 30UN
Sat 10/20 UCF at East Carolina-21.565.5W 37 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/1 UCF vs Temple-10.559.0W 52 - 40OY
Sat 11/10 UCF vs Navy-23.568.0W 35 - 24UN
Sat 11/17 UCF vs Cincinnati-7.560.0W 38 - 13UY
Fri 11/23 UCF at South Florida-16.570.0W 38 - 10UY
Sat 12/1 UCF vs Memphis-1.065.0W 56 - 41OY
Tue 1/1 UCF vs LSU+7.557.5L 32 - 40ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
South Florida's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 South Florida vs Elon-27.056.5W 34 - 14UN
Sat 9/8 South Florida vs Georgia Tech+3.061.0W 49 - 38OY
Sat 9/15 South Florida vs Illinois-14.059.0W 25 - 19UN
Sat 9/22 South Florida vs East Carolina-20.567.5W 20 - 13UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6 South Florida at Massachusetts-15.071.5W 58 - 42OY
Fri 10/12 South Florida at Tulsa-10.060.5W 25 - 24UN
Sat 10/20 South Florida vs UConn-33.067.5W 38 - 30ON
Sat 10/27 South Florida at Houston+10.076.0L 36 - 57ON
Sat 11/3 South Florida vs Tulane-6.060.5L 15 - 41UN
Sat 11/10 South Florida at Cincinnati+14.053.0L 23 - 35OY
Sat 11/17 South Florida at Temple+14.063.0L 17 - 27UY
Fri 11/23 South Florida vs UCF+16.570.0L 10 - 38UN
Thu 12/20 South Florida vs Marshall+3.551.0L 20 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF.3448%43.247%3.4726547%2574.88.1141%22.741%39%2.6264.81.12.2
USF.1944%28.545%3.1319442%2443.242%3243%39%3.5164.11.71.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF#58 (.21)46% (28)52% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (86)#63 (.16)40% (45)37% (12)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9
USF#83 (.17)38% (118)39% (112)3.06 (60)18138% (106)2273.88 (74)#66 (.16)39% (36)38% (17)40% (69)4 (88)70.91.42.1



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Offense1343.240.547.7%4.881.1275232652575.857%41%47%47%13%.34
USF Defense133230.342.5%3.511.6 - - - - - 58%40%43%39%17%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Defense1322.716.841.3%2.622.2 - - - - - 57%41%41%39%19%.11
USF Offense1328.526.644.2%31.7204371942444.952%47%45%42%16%.19

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCF1325:1026.750%62%7.464.81.12.28.12.2228.5
South Florida1325:1220.439%59%7.264.11.71.66.82.2230.4
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Offense1357%47%45.7265.25.842.283.4780%8%1.14
USF Defense1358%43% - - - - .172.9979%11%1.16
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Defense1357%41% - - - - .082.9661%12%1.02
USF Offense1352%45%39.6193.54.926.213.1367%9%1.14

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Offense1341%47%17.230.2257.58.514.9297.431.730%44%.635%1.9
USF Defense1340%39% - - - - - - 11.261.734%35%.396%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Defense1341%39% - - - - - - 14.181.735%37%.328%1.8
USF Offense1347%42%19.433.2243.77.312.61712.211.531%34%.347%1.9

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UCF's 2018 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.5  #18
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.9  #11
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2  #47

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF:    South Florida: 1.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF: 16.5   South Florida: -1.2




South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 1.9 NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Florida's 2018 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.2  #83
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.1  #69
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8  #80

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


UCF Scoring
Offense: 43.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 40.5
Defense: 22.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 16.8

UCF's 2018 Record
Record: 12 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 38
South Florida 21

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
UCF 40
South Florida 17

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
UCF 37
South Florida 24

Total Points: 61
South Florida Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.6
Defense: 32 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

South Florida's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202211/26South Florida39UCF46UCF -20South Florida67.5Over
202111/26UCF17South Florida13UCF -17South Florida62.0Under
202011/27South Florida46UCF58UCF -26.0South Florida70.5Over
201911/29UCF34South Florida7UCF -24UCF61.5Under
201811/23South Florida10UCF38UCF -16.5UCF70.0Under
201711/24UCF49South Florida42UCF -10South Florida64.5Over
201611/26South Florida48UCF31South Florida -9.5South Florida66.0Over
201511/26UCF3South Florida44South Florida -22.5South Florida53.5Under
201411/28South Florida0UCF16UCF -9.5UCF0
201311/29UCF23South Florida20UCF -26South Florida0
200809/06UCF24South Florida31
200710/13South Florida64UCF12
200609/16UCF17South Florida24
200509/17South Florida31UCF14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Florida674 Overs
UCF834 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 74 - 62 - 32 - 3
Road Teams7 - 76 - 43 - 23 - 2

(#) UCF at (#) USF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCFUSF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #18 #83
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #55 #62
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCat
UCF OffUSF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #11 #80
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffUSF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffUSF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
South Florida on Offense
CategoryCatUSF OffUCF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #69 #47
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
USF OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
South Florida Pass Game
CategoryCatUSF OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

UCF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 79°
Rematch from Week 13
UCF 16.5 (70.0)
UCF won at South Florida this year (38-10)

Previous Matchups
UCF beat South Florida in 2022 (46-39)

  
UCF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UCF's Full Roster

UCF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD