UCF at East Carolina - 2018 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 20th 2018 (7:00 PM EDT)
UCF -21.5 (65.5)
UCF 37 - East Carolina: 10 (American Athletic)

Knights (12 - 1) (9 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 43 - 23 (41 - 17 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UCF 2nd straight Road Game
ECU 2nd straight Home Game
ECU is playing their 5th straight game
UCF is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -13 (SP+ UCF -31.5)
Projected Score: UCF: 38 - ECU: 25 (63)
UCF Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
UCF Travel: 532 miles

Pirates (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 37 (32 - 34 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UCF Players
ECU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UCF's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/30	UCF at UConn	-24.0	70.0	W 56 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/8	UCF vs South Carolina State	-32
	BYE WEEK
Fri 9/21	UCF vs Florida Atlantic	-14.0	74.5	W 56 - 36	O	Y
Sat 9/29	UCF vs Pittsburgh	-13.0	65.5	W 45 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/6	UCF vs SMU	-25.0	73.5	W 48 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/13	UCF at Memphis	-5.0	80.5	W 31 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/20	UCF at East Carolina	-21.5	65.5	W 37 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/1	UCF vs Temple	-10.5	59.0	W 52 - 40	O	Y
Sat 11/10	UCF vs Navy	-23.5	68.0	W 35 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/17	UCF vs Cincinnati	-7.5	60.0	W 38 - 13	U	Y
Fri 11/23	UCF at South Florida	-16.5	70.0	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 12/1	UCF vs Memphis	-1.0	65.0	W 56 - 41	O	Y
Tue 1/1	UCF vs LSU	+7.5	57.5	L 32 - 40	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule

East Carolina's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/2	East Carolina vs North Carolina A&T	-13.0	64.5	L 23 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/8	East Carolina vs North Carolina	+16.5	59.0	W 41 - 19	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22	East Carolina at South Florida	+20.5	67.5	L 13 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/29	East Carolina vs Old Dominion	-7.0	61.5	W 37 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/6	East Carolina at Temple	+10.0	53.5	L 6 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/13	East Carolina vs Houston	+16.0	69.5	L 20 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/20	East Carolina vs UCF	+21.5	65.5	L 10 - 37	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3	East Carolina vs Memphis	+11.0	66.5	L 41 - 59	O	N
Sat 11/10	East Carolina at Tulane	+10.5	53.0	L 18 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/17	East Carolina vs UConn	-17.0	71.5	W 55 - 21	O	Y
Fri 11/23	East Carolina at Cincinnati	+15.5	49.5	L 6 - 56	O	N
Sat 12/1	East Carolina at NC State	+24.5	59.5	L 3 - 58	O	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCF	.34	48%	43.2	47%	3.47	265	47%	257	4.88	.11	41%	22.7	41%	39%	2.62	64.8	1.1	2.2
ECU	.09	37%	22.8	37%	2.48	129	36%	285	3.13	.2	40%	37.3	37%	42%	4.26	45.6	2.1	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCF	#58 (.21)	46% (28)		52% (8)	3.62 (2)	248	38% (103)	200	3.75 (86)	#63 (.16)	40% (45)		37% (12)	42% (84)	4.37 (118)	54.4	1.6	0.9
ECU	#49 (.22)	43% (62)		44% (71)	3.07 (57)	147	43% (54)	253	3.79 (83)	#64 (.16)	40% (40)		37% (11)	43% (86)	3.85 (76)	61	2.2	1.6

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCF Offense	13	43.2	40.5	47.7%	4.88	1.1	27	523	265	257	5.8	57%	41%	47%	47%	13%	.34
ECU Defense	12	37.3	34.4	40.2%	4.26	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	37%	42%	19%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCF Defense	13	22.7	16.8	41.3%	2.62	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	57%	41%	41%	39%	19%	.11
ECU Offense	12	22.8	32.4	37.3%	3.13	2.1	23	414	129	285	3.7	38%	61%	37%	36%	20%	.09

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UCF	13	25:10	26.7	50%	62%	7.4	64.8	1.1	2.2	8.1	2.2	2	28.5
East Carolina	12	30:16	22.8	36%	54%	4.8	45.6	2.1	0.8	8.8	2.9	0	26.4

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCF Offense	13	57%	47%	45.7	265.2	5.8	42	.28	3.47	80%	8%	1.14
ECU Defense	12	49%	37%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.48	71%	14%	1.11

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCF Defense	13	57%	41%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.96	61%	12%	1.02
ECU Offense	12	38%	37%	35.5	129.4	3.7	13	.02	2.48	69%	10%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCF Offense	13	41%	47%	17.2	30.2	257.5	8.5	14.9	29	7	.43	1.7	30%	44%	.63	5%	1.9
ECU Defense	12	49%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.35	1.8	34%	35%	.4	5%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCF Defense	13	41%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.18	1.7	35%	37%	.32	8%	1.8
ECU Offense	12	61%	36%	23.8	47.3	284.8	6	12	18	15	.14	1.7	40%	35%	.33	10%	1.8

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UCF's 2018 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.5 #18
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.9 #11
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #47

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF: East Carolina: -4.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF: 16.5 East Carolina: -14.9

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -4.95 NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
East Carolina's 2018 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #110
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.3 #118
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #101

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

UCF Scoring
Offense: 43.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 40.5
Defense: 22.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 16.8

UCF's 2018 Record
Record: 12 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
UCF 38
East Carolina 25

Total Points: 63

Based on Last 4 Games
UCF 38
East Carolina 26

Total Points: 63

Based on Entire Season
UCF 39
East Carolina 24

Total Points: 63

East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.4
Defense: 37.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.4

East Carolina's 2018 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	10/22	East Carolina	34	UCF	13	UCF -5.5	East Carolina	63.0	Under
2021	10/09	UCF	20	East Carolina	16	UCF -10	East Carolina	65.0	Under
2020	09/26	East Carolina	28	UCF	51	UCF -28	East Carolina	78.0	Over
2019	10/19	UCF	41	East Carolina	28	UCF -34.5	East Carolina	65.5	Over
2018	10/20	East Carolina	10	UCF	37	UCF -21.5	UCF	65.5	Under
2017	10/14	UCF	63	East Carolina	21	UCF -35	UCF	70.0	Over
2016	10/01	East Carolina	29	UCF	47	East Carolina -5.5	UCF	61.0	Over
2015	11/19	UCF	7	East Carolina	44	East Carolina -17	East Carolina	51.5	Under
2014	12/04	East Carolina	30	UCF	32	East Carolina -6.5	UCF	0
2012	10/04	UCF	40	East Carolina	20
2011	11/19	East Carolina	38	UCF	31
2010	10/30	UCF	49	East Carolina	35
2009	09/26	East Carolina	19	UCF	14
2008	11/02	UCF	10	East Carolina	13
2007	10/06	East Carolina	52	UCF	38
2006	11/04	UCF	10	East Carolina	23
2005	10/29	East Carolina	20	UCF	30

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
East Carolina	7	5	4 Overs
UCF	10	4	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 8	3 - 6	1 - 4	2 - 2
Road Teams	8 - 9	6 - 3	2 - 2	4 - 1

(#) UCF at (#) ECU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UCF	ECU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#18	#110
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#55	#85
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

UCF Injury Report

East Carolina Injury Report

UCF on Offense


CategoryCat	UCF Off	ECU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#11	#101
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UCF Run Game


CategoryCat	UCF Off	ECU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

UCF Pass Game


CategoryCat	UCF Off	ECU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

East Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	ECU Off	UCF Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#118	#47
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

East Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	ECU Off	UCF Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

East Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	ECU Off	UCF Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

UCF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 65°

Rematch from Week 8
UCF 21.5 (65.5)
UCF won at East Carolina this year (37-10)

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat UCF in 2022 (34-13)

UCF's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UCF's Full Roster

UCF's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ECU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD