South Florida at Illinois - 2018 Matchup Preview

South Florida Bulls vs Illinois Fighting Illini

Saturday, September 15th 2018 (3:30 PM EDT)
South Florida -14 (59.0)
South Florida 25 - Illinois: 19

Bulls (7 - 6) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (35 - 32 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ILL 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -3.5 (SP+ USF -6.5)
Projected Score: USF: 28 - ILL: 29 (57)
USF Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
USF Travel: 1002 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Fighting Illini (4 - 8) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (31 - 14 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USF Players
ILL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

South Florida's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	South Florida vs Elon	-27.0	56.5	W 34 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/8	South Florida vs Georgia Tech	+3.0	61.0	W 49 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/15	South Florida vs Illinois	-14.0	59.0	W 25 - 19	U	N
Sat 9/22	South Florida vs East Carolina	-20.5	67.5	W 20 - 13	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6	South Florida at Massachusetts	-15.0	71.5	W 58 - 42	O	Y
Fri 10/12	South Florida at Tulsa	-10.0	60.5	W 25 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/20	South Florida vs UConn	-33.0	67.5	W 38 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/27	South Florida at Houston	+10.0	76.0	L 36 - 57	O	N
Sat 11/3	South Florida vs Tulane	-6.0	60.5	L 15 - 41	U	N
Sat 11/10	South Florida at Cincinnati	+14.0	53.0	L 23 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/17	South Florida at Temple	+14.0	63.0	L 17 - 27	U	Y
Fri 11/23	South Florida vs UCF	+16.5	70.0	L 10 - 38	U	N
Thu 12/20	South Florida vs Marshall	+3.5	51.0	L 20 - 38	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule

Illinois's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Illinois vs Kent State	-18.0	57.5	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/8	Illinois vs Western Illinois	-19.5
Sat 9/15	Illinois vs South Florida	+14.0	59.0	L 19 - 25	U	Y
Fri 9/21	Illinois vs Penn State	+26.5	61.0	L 24 - 63	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6	Illinois at Rutgers	-4.5	50.0	W 38 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/13	Illinois vs Purdue	+10.5	62.0	L 7 - 46	U	N
Sat 10/20	Illinois at Wisconsin	+24.0	53.5	L 20 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/27	Illinois at Maryland	+16.5	56.0	L 33 - 63	O	N
Sat 11/3	Illinois vs Minnesota	+8.5	61.5	W 55 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/10	Illinois at Nebraska	+17.0	71.0	L 35 - 54	O	N
Sat 11/17	Illinois vs Iowa	+15.5	60.0	L 0 - 63	O	N
Sat 11/24	Illinois at Northwestern	+14.5	56.0	L 16 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USF	.22	43%	40.5	43%	2.95	264	40%	249	3.79	.04	35%	23.4	35%	35%	3.3	87.3	1.2	2
ILL	.01	38%	29.4	40%	2.57	106	33%	175	2.55	.18	46%	23.6	48%	42%	3.68	64	2.2	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ILL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USF Offense	12	40.5	35	43%	3.79	1.2	26	513	264	249	5	60%	38%	43%	40%	13%	.22
ILL Defense	12	23.6	14.4	46.3%	3.68	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	59%	40%	48%	42%	14%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USF Defense	12	23.4	32.3	35.3%	3.3	2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	35%	35%	20%	.04
ILL Offense	12	29.4	31.3	37.6%	2.55	2.2	15	280	106	175	3.3	48%	50%	40%	33%	24%	.01

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
South Florida	12	30:29	25.8	44%	60%	9.3	87.3	1.2	2	8.4	3	2	32.9
Illinois	12	28:14	14.5	34%	40%	7.1	64	2.2	1.4	4.5	1.7	1	31.3

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USF Offense	12	60%	43%	52.8	264.1	5	30	.16	2.95	66%	9%	1.07
ILL Defense	12	59%	48%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.21	82%	9%	0.86

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USF Defense	12	47%	35%	-	-	-	-	-.06	2.28	52%	12%	1.03
ILL Offense	12	48%	40%	32.2	105.6	3.3	11	.04	2.57	69%	15%	0.88

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USF Offense	12	38%	40%	16.3	30.6	248.9	8.1	15.2	25	6	.35	1.9	33%	37%	.45	4%	2
ILL Defense	12	40%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.26	1.6	28%	35%	.33	5%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USF Defense	12	52%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	20	.14	1.8	37%	33%	.35	8%	2.1
ILL Offense	12	50%	33%	14	28.3	174.8	6.2	12.5	8	19	-	1.5	36%	30%	.09	10%	1.4

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Florida's 2018 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.2 #83
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #69
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #80

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida: Illinois: -3.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -1.2 Illinois: -7.9

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: -3.95 NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Illinois's 2018 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.9 #97
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #69
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.6 #115

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

South Florida Scoring
Offense: 40.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.3

South Florida's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Illinois 29
South Florida 28

Projected Total Points: 57

Illinois Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.4

Illinois's 2018 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2018	09/15	Illinois	19	South Florida	25	South Florida -14	Illinois	59.0	Under
2017	09/15	South Florida	47	Illinois	23	South Florida -16.5	South Florida	55.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Illinois	0	1	1 Overs
South Florida	2	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1

(#) USF at (#) ILL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USF	ILL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#83	#97
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#62	#58
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

South Florida Injury Report

Illinois Injury Report

South Florida on Offense


CategoryCat	USF Off	ILL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#69	#115
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Florida Run Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	ILL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

South Florida Pass Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	ILL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Illinois on Offense


CategoryCat	ILL Off	USF Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#69	#80
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Illinois Run Game


CategoryCat	ILL Off	USF Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Illinois Pass Game


CategoryCat	ILL Off	USF Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ILL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

USF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Soldier Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 3
South Florida 14.0 (59.0)
South Florida won at Illinois this year (25-19)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

USF's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ILL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Illinois's Full Roster

ILL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD