South Florida at Illinois - 2018 Matchup Preview
South Florida logo (#18)South Florida Bulls vs Illinois Fighting Illini(#9)Illinois logo
Saturday, September 15th 2018 (3:30 PM EDT)
South Florida -14 (59.0)
South Florida 25 - Illinois: 19

 
Bulls (7 - 6) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 32 (32 - 37 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ILL 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -3.5  (SP+ USF -6.5)
Projected Score: USF: 35 - ILL: 31 (66)
USF Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
USF Travel: 1002 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Fighting Illini (4 - 8) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 39 (25 - 40 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
South Florida's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 South Florida vs Elon-27.056.5W 34 - 14UN
Sat 9/8 South Florida vs Georgia Tech+3.061.0W 49 - 38OY
Sat 9/15 South Florida vs Illinois-14.059.0W 25 - 19UN
Sat 9/22 South Florida vs East Carolina-20.567.5W 20 - 13UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6 South Florida at Massachusetts-15.071.5W 58 - 42OY
Fri 10/12 South Florida at Tulsa-10.060.5W 25 - 24UN
Sat 10/20 South Florida vs UConn-33.067.5W 38 - 30ON
Sat 10/27 South Florida at Houston+10.076.0L 36 - 57ON
Sat 11/3 South Florida vs Tulane-6.060.5L 15 - 41UN
Sat 11/10 South Florida at Cincinnati+14.053.0L 23 - 35OY
Sat 11/17 South Florida at Temple+14.063.0L 17 - 27UY
Fri 11/23 South Florida vs UCF+16.570.0L 10 - 38UN
Thu 12/20 South Florida vs Marshall+3.551.0L 20 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Illinois's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Illinois vs Kent State-18.057.5W 31 - 24UN
Sat 9/8 Illinois vs Western Illinois-19.5
Sat 9/15 Illinois vs South Florida+14.059.0L 19 - 25UY
Fri 9/21 Illinois vs Penn State+26.561.0L 24 - 63ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6 Illinois at Rutgers-4.550.0W 38 - 17OY
Sat 10/13 Illinois vs Purdue+10.562.0L 7 - 46UN
Sat 10/20 Illinois at Wisconsin+24.053.5L 20 - 49ON
Sat 10/27 Illinois at Maryland+16.556.0L 33 - 63ON
Sat 11/3 Illinois vs Minnesota+8.561.5W 55 - 31OY
Sat 11/10 Illinois at Nebraska+17.071.0L 35 - 54ON
Sat 11/17 Illinois vs Iowa+15.560.0L 0 - 63ON
Sat 11/24 Illinois at Northwestern+14.556.0L 16 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF.1944%28.545%3.1319442%2443.242%3243%39%3.5164.11.71.6
ILL.1945%2649%3.2124436%1663.11.3450%39.453%46%4.2765.121.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF#83 (.17)38% (118)39% (112)3.06 (60)18138% (106)2273.88 (74)#66 (.16)39% (36)38% (17)40% (69)4 (88)70.91.42.1
ILL#31 (.25)45% (45)45% (51)3.14 (49)14044% (44)1984.23 (39)#76 (.18)46% (115)50% (127)43% (90)3.48 (37)390.91.5



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Offense1328.531.844.2%31.7204371942444.952%47%45%42%16%.19
ILL Defense1239.440.250.3%4.271.7 - - - - - 52%47%53%46%16%.34
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Defense13323742.5%3.511.6 - - - - - 58%40%43%39%17%.2
ILL Offense122625.245%3.11219410244166656%41%49%36%19%.19

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Florida1325:1220.439%59%7.264.11.71.66.82.2230.4
Illinois1228:3319.435%57%6.365.121.75.61.8129.5
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Offense1352%45%39.6193.54.926.213.1367%9%1.14
ILL Defense1252%53% - - - - .313.690%9%1.03
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Defense1358%43% - - - - .172.9979%11%1.16
ILL Offense1256%49%41.1244.3625.283.2171%13%1.14

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Offense1347%42%19.433.2243.77.312.61712.211.531%34%.347%1.9
ILL Defense1247%46% - - - - - - 15.381.631%37%.367%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Defense1340%39% - - - - - - 11.261.734%35%.396%2.1
ILL Offense1241%36%14.827.4165.7611.21014.091.631%31%.277%1.8

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Florida's 2018 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.2  #83
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.1  #69
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8  #80

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida:    Illinois: -3.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -1.2   Illinois: -7.9




Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: -3.95 NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Illinois's 2018 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.9  #97
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.1  #69
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.6  #115

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


South Florida Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.8
Defense: 32 PPG
Defense on Road: 37

South Florida's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
South Florida 35
Illinois 31

Total Points: 66

Based on Last 4 Games
South Florida 35
Illinois 32

Total Points: 67

Based on Entire Season
South Florida 35
Illinois 30

Total Points: 65
Illinois Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.2
Defense: 39.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 40.2

Illinois's 2018 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201809/15Illinois19South Florida25South Florida -14Illinois59.0Under
201709/15South Florida47Illinois23South Florida -16.5South Florida55.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Illinois011 Overs
South Florida211 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 12 - 01 - 01 - 0
Road Teams1 - 10 - 20 - 10 - 1

(#) USF at (#) ILL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSFILL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #83 #97
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #62 #58
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
South Florida on Offense
CategoryCat
USF OffILL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #69 #115
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
USF OffILL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
South Florida Pass Game
CategoryCat
USF OffILL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Illinois on Offense
CategoryCatILL OffUSF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #69 #80
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Illinois Run Game
CategoryCat
ILL OffUSF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Illinois Pass Game
CategoryCatILL OffUSF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ILL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

USF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Soldier Field
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 80° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 3
South Florida 14.0 (59.0)
South Florida won at Illinois this year (25-19)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
USF's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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USF's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ILL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ILL's DC ()
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