SMU at UCF - 2018 Matchup Preview
SMU logo SMU Mustangs at UCF KnightsUCF logo
Saturday, October 6th 2018 (7:00 PM EDT)
UCF -25 (73.5)
UCF 48 - SMU: 20  (American Athletic)

 
Mustangs (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 35 (29 - 40 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 12.5 MPH
UCF 4th straight Home Game
SMU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -13.5  (SP+ UCF -22)
Projected Score: SMU: 25 - UCF: 42 (67)
UCF Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
SMU Travel: 970 miles, 1 hrs behind
Knights (12 - 1) (9 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 43 - 23 (46 - 24 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
SMU's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 SMU at North Texas+3.570.5L 23 - 46UN
Fri 9/7 SMU vs TCU+23.559.5L 12 - 42UN
Sat 9/15 SMU at Michigan+37.054.5L 20 - 45OY
Sat 9/22 SMU vs Navy+6.557.5W 31 - 30OY
Sat 9/29 SMU vs Houston Christian-44.5
Sat 10/6 SMU at UCF+25.073.5L 20 - 48UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20 SMU at Tulane+7.055.5W 27 - 23UY
Sat 10/27 SMU vs Cincinnati+9.550.0L 20 - 26UY
Sat 11/3 SMU vs Houston+14.071.0W 45 - 31OY
Sat 11/10 SMU at UConn-18.066.0W 62 - 50ON
Fri 11/16 SMU vs Memphis+7.574.5L 18 - 28UN
Sat 11/24 SMU at Tulsa-2.552.5L 24 - 27UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
UCF's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/30 UCF at UConn-24.070.0W 56 - 17OY
Sat 9/8 UCF vs South Carolina State-32
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/21 UCF vs Florida Atlantic-14.074.5W 56 - 36OY
Sat 9/29 UCF vs Pittsburgh-13.065.5W 45 - 14UY
Sat 10/6 UCF vs SMU-25.073.5W 48 - 20UY
Sat 10/13 UCF at Memphis-5.080.5W 31 - 30UN
Sat 10/20 UCF at East Carolina-21.565.5W 37 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/1 UCF vs Temple-10.559.0W 52 - 40OY
Sat 11/10 UCF vs Navy-23.568.0W 35 - 24UN
Sat 11/17 UCF vs Cincinnati-7.560.0W 38 - 13UY
Fri 11/23 UCF at South Florida-16.570.0W 38 - 10UY
Sat 12/1 UCF vs Memphis-1.065.0W 56 - 41OY
Tue 1/1 UCF vs LSU+7.557.5L 32 - 40ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU.1139%30.436%2.4511639%2703.39.1843%35.343%43%3.9145.31.21.9
UCF.3448%43.247%3.4726547%2574.88.1141%22.741%39%2.6264.81.12.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU#38 (.24)44% (53)44% (62)2.97 (83)16944% (45)2634.41 (25)#5 (.03)37% (9)39% (35)35% (10)3.09 (13)77.71.71.6
UCF#58 (.21)46% (28)52% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (86)#63 (.16)40% (45)37% (12)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Offense1230.429.338.6%3.391.2203871162703.543%56%36%39%17%.11
UCF Defense1322.723.541.3%2.622.2 - - - - - 57%41%41%39%19%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Defense1235.339.843.5%3.911.9 - - - - - 55%43%43%43%17%.18
UCF Offense1343.24647.7%4.881.1275232652575.857%41%47%47%13%.34

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SMU1227:132033%59%5.245.31.21.97.42.1129.7
UCF1325:1026.750%62%7.464.81.12.28.12.2228.5
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Offense1243%36%33.3116.13.517-.012.4563%11%1.02
UCF Defense1357%41% - - - - .082.9661%12%1.02
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Defense1255%43% - - - - .132.8164%12%1.06
UCF Offense1357%47%45.7265.25.842.283.4780%8%1.14

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Offense1256%39%22.338.8270.4712.2287.231.837%31%.26%2
UCF Defense1341%39% - - - - - - 14.181.735%37%.328%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Defense1243%43% - - - - - - 12.271.633%38%.385%1.9
UCF Offense1341%47%17.230.2257.58.514.9297.431.730%44%.635%1.9

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
SMU's 2018 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4  #93
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0  #105
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7  #79

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU:    UCF: 10.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU: -5.4   UCF: 16.5




UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 10.75 NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UCF's 2018 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.5  #18
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.9  #11
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2  #47

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


SMU Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.3
Defense: 35.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.8

SMU's 2018 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 42
SMU 25

Total Points: 67

Based on Last 4 Games
UCF 43
SMU 23

Total Points: 65

Based on Entire Season
UCF 41
SMU 27

Total Points: 68
UCF Scoring
Offense: 43.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 46
Defense: 22.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.5

UCF's 2018 Record
Record: 12 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 8 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/05UCF41SMU19UCF -3UCF65.0Under
202111/13SMU55UCF28SMU -7SMU61.5Over
201810/06UCF48SMU20UCF -25UCF73.5Under
201711/04SMU24UCF31UCF -14SMU75.0Under
201411/22UCF53SMU7UCF -26.5UCF0
201312/07SMU13UCF17UCF -10SMU0
201211/03UCF42SMU17
201110/15SMU38UCF17
201012/04UCF17SMU7
200810/04UCF31SMU17
200711/17SMU20UCF49
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCF931 Overs
SMU233 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 36 - 04 - 02 - 0
Road Teams3 - 80 - 60 - 20 - 4

(#) SMU at (#) UCF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSMUUCF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #93 #18
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #73 #55
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCat
SMU OffUCF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #105 #47
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCatUCF OffSMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #11 #79
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCatUCF OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UCF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

SMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 82° - Wind: 13 mph
Rematch from Week 6
UCF -25.0 (73.5)
UCF won vs SMU this year (48-20)

Previous Matchups
UCF beat SMU in 2022 (41-19)

  
SMU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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SMU's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UCF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UCF's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD