UCF at Memphis - 2018 Matchup Preview
UCF logo UCF Knights at Memphis Tigers(#23)Memphis logo
Saturday, October 13th 2018 (3:30 PM EDT)
UCF -5 (80.5)
UCF 31 - Memphis: 30  (American Athletic)

 
Knights (12 - 1) (9 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 43 - 23 (41 - 17 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Light Rain Predicted
MEM 2nd straight Home Game
MEM is playing their 7th straight game
UCF is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -1  (SP+ UCF -7.5)
Projected Score: UCF: 30 - MEM: 32 (62)
UCF Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
UCF Travel: 684 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Tigers (8 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 43 - 32 (52 - 24 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UCF's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/30 UCF at UConn-24.070.0W 56 - 17OY
Sat 9/8 UCF vs South Carolina State-32
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/21 UCF vs Florida Atlantic-14.074.5W 56 - 36OY
Sat 9/29 UCF vs Pittsburgh-13.065.5W 45 - 14UY
Sat 10/6 UCF vs SMU-25.073.5W 48 - 20UY
Sat 10/13 UCF at Memphis-5.080.5W 31 - 30UN
Sat 10/20 UCF at East Carolina-21.565.5W 37 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/1 UCF vs Temple-10.559.0W 52 - 40OY
Sat 11/10 UCF vs Navy-23.568.0W 35 - 24UN
Sat 11/17 UCF vs Cincinnati-7.560.0W 38 - 13UY
Fri 11/23 UCF at South Florida-16.570.0W 38 - 10UY
Sat 12/1 UCF vs Memphis-1.065.0W 56 - 41OY
Tue 1/1 UCF vs LSU+7.557.5L 32 - 40ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Memphis's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Memphis vs Mercer-28
Sat 9/8 Memphis at Navy-7.067.0L 21 - 22UN
Fri 9/14 Memphis vs Georgia State-28.563.0W 59 - 22OY
Sat 9/22 Memphis vs South Alabama-31.566.0W 52 - 35ON
Fri 9/28 Memphis at Tulane-14.566.0L 24 - 40UN
Sat 10/6 Memphis vs UConn-36.077.5W 55 - 14UY
Sat 10/13 Memphis vs UCF+5.080.5L 30 - 31UY
Sat 10/20 Memphis at Missouri+8.569.5L 33 - 65ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3 Memphis at East Carolina-11.066.5W 59 - 41OY
Sat 11/10 Memphis vs Tulsa-16.566.0W 47 - 21OY
Fri 11/16 Memphis at SMU-7.574.5W 28 - 18UY
Fri 11/23 Memphis vs Houston-9.575.5W 52 - 31OY
Sat 12/1 Memphis at UCF+1.065.0L 41 - 56ON
Sat 12/22 Memphis vs Wake Forest-2.071.0L 34 - 37UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF.3448%43.247%3.4726547%2574.88.1141%22.741%39%2.6264.81.12.2
MEM.3148%42.949%3.1327944%2434.19.1840%31.940%40%4.0159.31.21.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF#58 (.21)46% (28)52% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (86)#63 (.16)40% (45)37% (12)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9
MEM#23 (.27)44% (57)46% (40)3.27 (31)17541% (71)2704.66 (14)#87 (.19)40% (47)40% (45)40% (62)4.05 (96)480.61.9



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Offense1343.240.547.7%4.881.1275232652575.857%41%47%47%13%.34
MEM Defense1431.92440.4%4.011.6 - - - - - 51%47%40%40%17%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Defense1322.716.841.3%2.622.2 - - - - - 57%41%41%39%19%.11
MEM Offense1442.951.647.6%4.191.2255232792436.456%42%49%44%14%.31

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCF1325:1026.750%62%7.464.81.12.28.12.2228.5
Memphis1428:2824.547%61%7.159.31.21.67.12.4430.3
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Offense1357%47%45.7265.25.842.283.4780%8%1.14
MEM Defense1451%40% - - - - .12.7275%11%1.08
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Defense1357%41% - - - - .082.9661%12%1.02
MEM Offense1456%49%43.9279.46.448.293.1386%9%1.15

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Offense1341%47%17.230.2257.58.514.9297.431.730%44%.635%1.9
MEM Defense1447%40% - - - - - - 9.281.836%36%.426%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Defense1341%39% - - - - - - 14.181.735%37%.328%1.8
MEM Offense1442%44%18.329.5243.28.213.32810.371.830%39%.445%2

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UCF's 2018 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.5  #18
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.9  #11
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2  #47

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF:    Memphis: 7.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF: 16.5   Memphis: 9.2




Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 7.1 NR
Memphis's Offense Rating: NR
Memphis's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Memphis's 2018 Expected Record: -
Memphis's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2  #36
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.8  #13
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.5  #87

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


UCF Scoring
Offense: 43.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 40.5
Defense: 22.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 16.8

UCF's 2018 Record
Record: 12 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Memphis 32
UCF 30

Total Points: 62

Based on Last 4 Games
Memphis 30
UCF 25

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
UCF 35
Memphis 34

Total Points: 69
Memphis Scoring
Offense: 42.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 51.6
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 24

Memphis's 2018 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202211/05Memphis28UCF35UCF -3UCF60.5Over
202110/22UCF24Memphis7UCF -1.5UCF63.5Under
202010/17Memphis50UCF49UCF -3Memphis76.5Over
201810/13Memphis30UCF31UCF -5Memphis80.5Under
201812/01UCF56Memphis41UCF -1UCF65.0Over
201712/02UCF62Memphis55UCF -7Push82.0Over
201709/30UCF40Memphis13UCF -5.5UCF68.5Under
201310/05Memphis17UCF24UCF -10.5Memphis0
201210/20Memphis17UCF35
201110/29UCF41Memphis0
201011/27Memphis17UCF37
200910/03UCF32Memphis14
200811/22Memphis21UCF28
200709/22UCF56Memphis20
200611/11Memphis24UCF26
200510/08UCF38Memphis17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Memphis134 Overs
UCF1543 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 76 - 13 - 03 - 1
Road Teams7 - 91 - 61 - 30 - 3

(#) UCF at (#) MEM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCFMEM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #18 #36
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #55 #74
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCat
UCF OffMEM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #11 #87
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffMEM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffMEM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Memphis on Offense
CategoryCatMEM OffUCF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #13 #47
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Memphis Run Game
CategoryCat
MEM OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Memphis Pass Game
CategoryCatMEM OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MEM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average P4

UCF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 60° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 14
UCF -1.0 (65.0)
UCF won at Memphis this year (56-41)

Previous Matchups
UCF beat Memphis in 2022 (35-28)

  
UCF's OC ()
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UCF's DC ()
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MEM's OC ()
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MEM's DC ()
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