South Florida at Massachusetts - 2018 Matchup Preview

South Florida Bulls at Massachusetts Minutemen

Saturday, October 6th 2018 (3:30 PM EDT)
South Florida -15 (71.5)
South Florida 58 - Massachusetts: 42

Bulls (7 - 6) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (35 - 32 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USF coming off BYE
UMASS is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -5 (SP+ USF -15)
Projected Score: USF: 37 - UMASS: 20 (57)
USF Win prob: 85% | Cover: 46%
USF Travel: 1141 miles

Minutemen (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 11 - 39 (13 - 35 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USF Players
UMASS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

South Florida's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	South Florida vs Elon	-27.0	56.5	W 34 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/8	South Florida vs Georgia Tech	+3.0	61.0	W 49 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/15	South Florida vs Illinois	-14.0	59.0	W 25 - 19	U	N
Sat 9/22	South Florida vs East Carolina	-20.5	67.5	W 20 - 13	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6	South Florida at Massachusetts	-15.0	71.5	W 58 - 42	O	Y
Fri 10/12	South Florida at Tulsa	-10.0	60.5	W 25 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/20	South Florida vs UConn	-33.0	67.5	W 38 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/27	South Florida at Houston	+10.0	76.0	L 36 - 57	O	N
Sat 11/3	South Florida vs Tulane	-6.0	60.5	L 15 - 41	U	N
Sat 11/10	South Florida at Cincinnati	+14.0	53.0	L 23 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/17	South Florida at Temple	+14.0	63.0	L 17 - 27	U	Y
Fri 11/23	South Florida vs UCF	+16.5	70.0	L 10 - 38	U	N
Thu 12/20	South Florida vs Marshall	+3.5	51.0	L 20 - 38	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule

Massachusetts's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/25	Massachusetts vs Duquesne	-21.0	68.0	W 63 - 15	O	Y
Sat 9/1	Massachusetts at Boston College	+20.5	62.5	L 21 - 55	O	N
Sat 9/8	Massachusetts at Georgia Southern	+1.5	61.0	L 13 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/15	Massachusetts at Florida International	+3.5	65.5	L 24 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/22	Massachusetts vs Charlotte	-6.5	55.5	W 49 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/29	Massachusetts at Ohio	+11.5	70.0	L 42 - 58	O	N
Sat 10/6	Massachusetts vs South Florida	+15.0	71.5	L 42 - 58	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20	Massachusetts vs Coastal Carolina	-2.5	74.0	L 13 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/27	Massachusetts at UConn	-3.5	63.5	W 22 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/3	Massachusetts vs Liberty	+1.5	66.0	W 62 - 59	O	Y
Sat 11/10	Massachusetts vs BYU	+14.0	57.0	L 16 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/17	Massachusetts at Georgia	+41.5	67.5	L 27 - 66	O	Y

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USF	.22	43%	40.5	43%	2.95	264	40%	249	3.79	.04	35%	23.4	35%	35%	3.3	87.3	1.2	2
UMASS	.21	41%	11.1	37%	2.63	136	43%	298	3.47	.14	41%	38.6	42%	36%	3.85	56.6	1.4	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UMASS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USF Offense	12	40.5	35	43%	3.79	1.2	26	513	264	249	5	60%	38%	43%	40%	13%	.22
UMASS Defense	12	38.6	34.7	40.5%	3.85	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	54%	44%	42%	36%	20%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USF Defense	12	23.4	32.3	35.3%	3.3	2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	35%	35%	20%	.04
UMASS Offense	12	11.1	12.8	41.4%	3.47	1.4	22	433	136	298	3.9	42%	56%	37%	43%	19%	.21

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
South Florida	12	30:29	25.8	44%	60%	9.3	87.3	1.2	2	8.4	3	2	32.9
Massachusetts	12	29:09	21.7	34%	63%	6.6	56.6	1.4	1.7	7	1.9	2	31.2

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USF Offense	12	60%	43%	52.8	264.1	5	30	.16	2.95	66%	9%	1.07
UMASS Defense	12	54%	42%	-	-	-	-	.14	2.88	71%	12%	1.17

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USF Defense	12	47%	35%	-	-	-	-	-.06	2.28	52%	12%	1.03
UMASS Offense	12	42%	37%	34.8	135.5	3.9	19	.09	2.63	71%	13%	1.07

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USF Offense	12	38%	40%	16.3	30.6	248.9	8.1	15.2	25	6	.35	1.9	33%	37%	.45	4%	2
UMASS Defense	12	44%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.16	1.6	35%	32%	.38	8%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USF Defense	12	52%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	20	.14	1.8	37%	33%	.35	8%	2.1
UMASS Offense	12	56%	43%	22.7	37.3	297.5	8	13.1	26	6	.31	1.6	36%	32%	.4	6%	2.1

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Florida's 2018 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.2 #83
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #69
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #80

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida: Massachusetts: -5.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -1.2 Massachusetts: -16.1

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -5.55 NR
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Massachusetts's 2018 Expected Record: -
Massachusetts's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.1 #112
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #79
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 42.2 #124

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

South Florida Scoring
Offense: 40.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.3

South Florida's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
South Florida 37
Massachusetts 20

Projected Total Points: 57

Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 11.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 12.8
Defense: 38.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.7

Massachusetts's 2018 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2018	10/06	Massachusetts	42	South Florida	58	South Florida -15	South Florida	71.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Massachusetts	0	0	1 Overs
South Florida	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0

(#) USF at (#) UMASS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USF	UMASS
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#83	#112
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#62	#99
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

South Florida Injury Report

Massachusetts Injury Report

South Florida on Offense


CategoryCat	USF Off	UMASS Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#69	#124
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Florida Run Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	UMASS Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

South Florida Pass Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	UMASS Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Massachusetts on Offense


CategoryCat	UMASS Off	USF Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#79	#80
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Massachusetts Run Game


CategoryCat	UMASS Off	USF Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Massachusetts Pass Game


CategoryCat	UMASS Off	USF Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UMASS 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

USF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 6
South Florida 15.0 (71.5)
South Florida won at Massachusetts this year (58-42)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

USF's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UMASS's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Massachusetts's Full Roster

UMASS's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD